Thursday, September 30, 2010

Poll Watch: Craciun Research Alaska Senatorial Survey

Craciun Research Alaska Senatorial Survey
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 41%
  • Joe Miller (R) 30%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 19%
  • Undecided 10%
Among Independents
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 45%
  • Joe Miller (R) 24%
  • Scott McAdams 20%
  • Undecided 11%
Among Republicans
  • Joe Miller (R) 57%
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 35%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 2%
  • Undecided 5%
Among Democrats
  • Scott McAdams (D) 50%
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 30%
  • Joe Miller (R) 4%
  • Undecided 15%
Moderate
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 53%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 20%
  • Joe Miller (R) 14%
  • Undecided 13%
Somewhat Conservative
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 47%
  • Joe Miller (R) 43%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 4%
  • Undecided 6%
Very Conservative
  • Joe Miller (R) 79%
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 15%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 2%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Men
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 37%
  • Joe Miller (R) 33%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 21%
  • Undecided 9%
Among Women
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 44%
  • Joe Miller (R) 27%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 18%
  • Undecided 11%
Survey of 300 likely voters was conducted September 24-25, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 57% Independent/Other; 27% Republican; 15% Democrat.  Political ideology: 41% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 16% Very conservative; 12% Somewhat liberal; 6% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Senatorial Survey
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 50% {45%} [47%] (41%)
  • Paul Hodes (D) 35% {37%} [32%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Judd Gregg 56% {52%} [51%] (54%) / 21% {26%} [25%] (23%) {+35%}
  • Jeanne Shaheen 49% {52%} [47%] (48%) / 35% {35%} [39%] (39%) {+14%}
  • Kelly Ayotte 41% {36%} [38%] (38%) / 29% {27%} [13%] (12%) {+12%}
  • Paul Hodes 29% {32%} [30%] (32%) / 39% {31%} [31%] (27%) {-10%}
Survey of 472 likely voters was conducted September 23-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 46% Independent; 30% Republican; 24% Democrat; Party ID breakdown: 42% Republican; 39% Democrat; 19% Independent.  Political ideology: 47% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 19% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ayotte leads Hodes by 58% to 39% among voters who have definitely decided who they will support.

Among likely voters who are very interested in the election, Ayotte holds a 56% to 36% lead.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Democratic Nomination

Gallup 2012 Democratic Nomination



Survey of 859 Democrats and Democratic leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, was conducted September 25-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Political Survey

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 42%
  • Disapprove 49%
Among Democrats
  • Approve 77%
  • Disapprove 11%
Among Republicans
  • Approve 10%
  • Disapprove 86%
Among Independents
  • Approve 35%
  • Disapprove 56%
If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?
  • Republican candidate 44%
  • Democratic candidate 38%
Among Democrats
  • Democratic candidate 82%
  • Republican candidate 7%
Among Republicans
  • Republican candidate 89%
  • Democratic candidate 3%
Among Independents
  • Republican candidate 37%
  • Democratic candidate 22%
Among Voters Extremely/Very Interested in the November Elections
  • Republican candidate 51%
  • Democratic candidate 36%
If Barack Obama campaigns for a candidate, would you be much more likely to vote for that candidate, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for that candidate?
  • Much more likely 17%
  • Somewhat more likely 18%
  • Somewhat less likely 11%
  • Much less likely 37%
Among Democrats
  • Much more likely 37%
  • Somewhat more likely 31%
  • Somewhat less likely 7%
  • Much less likely 9%
Among Republicans
  • Much more likely 2%
  • Somewhat more likely 6%
  • Somewhat less likely 15%
  • Much less likely 68%
Among Independents
  • Much more likely 5%
  • Somewhat more likely 14%
  • Somewhat less likely 9%
  • Much less likely 39%
If Sarah Palin campaigns for a candidate, would you be much more likely to vote for that candidate, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for that candidate?
  • Much more likely 12%
  • Somewhat more likely 20%
  • Somewhat less likely 13%
  • Much less likely 38%
Among Democrats
  • Much more likely 6%
  • Somewhat more likely 8%
  • Somewhat less likely 11%
  • Much less likely 63%
Among Republicans
  • Much more likely 21%
  • Somewhat more likely 36%
  • Somewhat less likely 15%
  • Much less likely 11%
Among Independents
  • Much more likely 8%
  • Somewhat more likely 16%
  • Somewhat less likely 12%
  • Much less likely 32%
If Bill Clinton campaigns for a candidate, would you be much more likely to vote for that candidate, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for that candidate?
  • Much more likely 17%
  • Somewhat more likely 22%
  • Somewhat less likely 12%
  • Much less likely 28%
Among Democrats
  • Much more likely 31%
  • Somewhat more likely 36%
  • Somewhat less likely 7%
  • Much less likely 9%
Among Republicans
  • Much more likely 8%
  • Somewhat more likely 10%
  • Somewhat less likely 18%
  • Much less likely 50%
Among Independents
  • Much more likely 10%
  • Somewhat more likely 15%
  • Somewhat less likely 12%
  • Much less likely 28%
Thinking about the health care law that was passed earlier this year, would you favor repealing the new law to keep it from going into effect, or would you oppose repealing the new law?
  • Favor repealing 46%
  • Oppose repealing 42%
Among Democrats
  • Favor repealing 24%
  • Oppose repealing 63%
Among Republicans
  • Favor repealing 72%
  • Oppose repealing 20%
Among Independents
  • Favor repealing 44%
  • Oppose repealing 42%
Thinking about the tax cuts passed during George W. Bush’s term that are set to expire this year, would you favor or oppose continuing the tax cuts for those making less than $250,000 a year?
  • Favor 76%
  • Oppose 18%
Among Democrats
  • Favor 65%
  • Oppose 28%
Among Republicans
  • Favor 86%
  • Oppose 8%
Among Independents
  • Favor 79%
  • Oppose 17%
Would you favor or oppose continuing the Bush tax cuts for all Americans -- including those making $250,000 or more a year?
  • Favor 45%
  • Oppose 48%
Among Democrats
  • Favor 28%
  • Oppose 65%
Among Republicans
  • Favor 68%
  • Oppose 25%
Among Independents
  • Favor 41%
  • Oppose 52%
If taxes go up on people considered wealthy -- that is, those making $250,000 or more a year -- do you think that would help or hurt the nation’s economy, or would it not make much of a difference either way?
  • Help 33%
  • Hurt 27%
  • No difference 35%
Among Democrats
  • Help 47%
  • Hurt 12%
  • No difference 36%
Among Republicans
  • Help 20%
  • Hurt 46%
  • No difference 31%
Among Independents
  • Help 27%
  • Hurt 26%
  • No difference 44%
Some people believe raising taxes is a necessity because of the size of the federal deficit. Others believe raising taxes is a mistake because it will hurt the economy. Which comes closer to your view -- is raising taxes right now a necessity or a mistake?
  • Necessity 19%
  • Mistake 71%
Among Democrats
  • Necessity 30%
  • Mistake 58%
Among Republicans
  • Necessity 7%
  • Mistake 88%
Among Independents
  • Necessity 20%
  • Mistake 64%
Thinking about the federal government’s economic stimulus plan, about half of that money -- nearly four hundred billion dollars -- hasn’t been spent yet. Would you favor or oppose legislation that would stop the government from spending the remaining stimulus money?
  • Favor 54%
  • Oppose 36%
Among Democrats
  • Favor 35%
  • Oppose 53%
Among Republicans
  • Favor 70%
  • Oppose 24%
Among Independents
  • Favor 58%
  • Oppose 30%
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: the federal government has gotten totally out of control and will threaten the country’s basic liberties unless American voters clean house and commit to drastic change.
  • Agree 67%
  • Disagree 28%
Among Democrats
  • Agree 46%
  • Disagree 48%
Among Republicans
  • Agree 86%
  • Disagree 11%
Among Independents
  • Agree 76%
  • Disagree 18%
Regardless of whether you support the Tea Party movement or not, do you support or oppose the main issues the Tea Party has raised -- specifically calling for lower taxes, less government spending and less government regulation?
  • Support 70%
  • Oppose 22%
Among Democrats
  • Support 49%
  • Oppose 40%
Among Republicans
  • Support 91%
  • Oppose 5%
Among Independents
  • Support 75%
  • Oppose 17%
Survey of 900 registered voters was conducted September 28-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% Democrat; 36% Republican; 19% Independent.

Poll Watch: Marist New York Gubernatorial Survey

Marist New York Gubernatorial Survey
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 56%
  • Carl Paladino (R) 40%
Among Democrats
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 82%
  • Carl Paladino (R) 15%
Among Republicans
  • Carl Paladino (R) 69%
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 27%
Among Independents
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 49%
  • Carl Paladino (R) 46%
Among Men
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 49%
  • Carl Paladino (R) 47% 
Among Women
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 64%
  • Carl Paladino (R) 31%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Andrew Cuomo 60% / 31% {+29%}
  • Carl Paladino 34% / 48% {-14%}
Would you rate the job New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?
  • Excellent 12%
  • Good 40%
  • Fair 29%
  • Poor 11%
Would you rate the job President Barack Obama is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor?
  • Excellent 13%
  • Good 30%
  • Fair 27%
  • Poor 29%
Survey of 591 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Illinois Gubernatorial Survey 
  • Bill Brady (R) 42% {39%} [34%] (43%)
  • Pat Quinn (D) 35% {30%} [30%] (33%)
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 6%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 4% {11%} [9%]
  • Lex Green (L) 2%
  • Undecided 11% {20%} [27%] (24%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat Quinn’s job performance?
  • Approve 24% {23%} [27%] (25%) {25%}
  • Disapprove 60% {53%} [50%] (53%) {55%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Brady?
  • Favorable 36% {25%} [22%] (25%)
  • Unfavorable 44% {30%} [22%] (20%)
Do you think Bill Brady is or is not qualified to be Governor of Illinois?
  • Qualified 45%
  • Not qualified 33%
  • Not sure 22%
Survey of 470 likely voters was conducted September 23-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% {41%} [42%] (42%) {47%} Democrat; 32% {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} Republican; 26% {26%} [29%] (28%) {23%} Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 40% {39%} [43%] (44%) {38%} Moderate; 37% {38%} [34%] (36%) {36%} Conservative; 23% {22%} [23%] (20%) {26%} Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-5, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey
  • Brian Sandoval (R) 53% [52%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (57%) {55%} [54%] (53%) {55%} [53%] (45%) 
  • Rory Reid (D) 40% [39%] (33%) {36%} [40%] (36%) {33%} [31%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Brian Sandoval 59% [59%] (64%) {60%} [62%] (63%) {62%} [62%] (53%) {49%} [55%] (53%) / 38% [36%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {27%} [29%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {+21%} 
  • Rory Reid 43% [44%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [43%] (40%) / 52% [50%] (49%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [48%] (52%) {-9%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 33% Republican; 30% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Sandoval is backed by 88% of Republicans in the state, while Reid is supported by 67% of Nevada Democrats. The Republican holds a 9-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Kentucky Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Kentucky Senatorial Survey
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% {51%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (59%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (38%)
  • Jack Conway (D) 38% {38%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [41%] (34%) {38%} [36%] (34%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Rand Paul 56% {56%} [58%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (69%) {56%} [53%] (57%) {54%} [57%] (51%) / 39% {39%} [36%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (28%) {31%} [33%] (26%) {26%} [25%] (23%) {+17%}
  • Jack Conway 46% {45%} [47%] (49%) {51%} [47%] (44%) [47%} [44%] (40%) {47%} [46%] (49%) / 45% {48%} [43%] (40%) {35%} [43%] (45%) {36%} [39%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (27%) {+1%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 24% {22%} [20%] (25%) {24%} [21%] (21%) {28%} [24%] (20%) {28%} [22%] (29%)
  • Somewhat approve 16% {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {13%} [14%] (17%) {14%} [19%] (18%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 7% {11%} [10%] (10%) {12%} [12%] (12%) {11%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [13%] (12%)
  • Strongly disapprove 53% {53%} [53%] (48%) {46%} [51%] (51%) {48%} [53%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (41%)
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 46% Democrat; 38% Republican; 16% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 20, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

While 82% of Republicans support Paul, just 67% of Democrats support their party's candidate. Paul holds an 18-point lead over Conway among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Wisconsin Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Wisconsin Senatorial Survey
  • Ron Johnson (R) 53% [50%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [44%]
  • Russ Feingold (D) 41% [43%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [46%]
With Leaners
  • Ron Johnson (R) 54% [51%]
  • Russ Feingold (D) 42% [44%]
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Ron Johnson (R) 55% [53%]
  • Russ Feingold (D) 45% [47%]
Among Democrats
  • Russ Feingold (D) 80% [86%] (87%) {87%} [88%] (91%) {86%} [89%]
  • Ron Johnson (R) 16% [8%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [6%]
Among Republicans
  • Ron Johnson (R) 96% [94%] (89%) {89%} [90%] (93%) {89%} [89%]
  • Russ Feingold (D) 3% [6%] (9%) {6%} [5%] (4%) {2%} [4%]
Among Independents
  • Ron Johnson (R) 58% [59%] (47%) {45%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [38%]
  • Russ Feingold (D) 34% [31%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (33%) {43%} [44%]
Among Liberals
  • Russ Feingold (D) 84% [90%] (93%) {88%} [92%] (89%) {87%} [92%]
  • Ron Johnson (R) 13% [9%] (6%) {10%} [6%] (10%) {10%} [3%]
Among Moderates
  • Russ Feingold (D) 59% [56%] (55%) {63%} [54%] (59%) {55%} [56%]
  • Ron Johnson (R) 36% [36%] (29%) {25%} [35%] (27%) {28%} [32%]
Among Conservatives
  • Ron Johnson (R) 84% [85%] (83%) {81%} [82%] (83%) {78%} [73%]
  • Russ Feingold (D) 13% [13%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {18%} [18%]
Among Men
  • Ron Johnson (R) 63% [57%] (46%) {51%} [54%] (55%) {52%} [56%]
  • Russ Feingold (D) 33% [38%] (47%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {41%} [37%]
Among Women
  • Russ Feingold (D) 50% [49%] (46%) {48%} [50%] (54%) {51%} [55%]
  • Ron Johnson (R) 46% [46%] (48%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {38%} [34%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Ron Johnson 58% [61%] (53%) {51%} [51%] (51%) {46%} [42%] / 36% [33%] (36%) {33%} [36%] (30%) {30%} [25%] {+22%}
  • Russ Feingold 49% [51%] (53%) {50%} [52%] (53%) {52%} [53%] (51%) {51%} [50%] (47%) / 48% [46%] (44%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (48%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {+1%}
How would you rate the job Jim Doyle has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 22% [17%] (17%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {13%} [18%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (11%)
  • Somewhat approve 16% [22%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (25%) {34%} [24%] (25%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 18% [16%] (13%) {17%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (18%) {15%} [20%] (20%)
  • Strongly disapprove 42% [41%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (42%) {38%} [40%] (42%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 31% [29%] (31%) {30%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [32%] (31%) {29%} [27%] (26%)
  • Somewhat approve 17% [20%] (17%) {19%} [23%] (21%) {20%} [17%] (17%) {23%} [20%] (20%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 4% [9%] (5%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (12%) {6%} [14%] (8%)
  • Strongly disapprove 46% [40%] (46%) {41%} [41%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (40%) {42%} [38%] (46%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% [40%] Democrat; 34% [35%] Republican; 25% [24%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 26, 2010 are in parentheses.

Carl Paladino Threatens NY Post Reporter: "I'll Take You Out, Buddy!"

Breaking: Carl Paladino To Reporter: "I'll Take You Out, Buddy!"

Paladino and Post reporter square off

Paladino smears Cuomo as cheater

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida Senatorial Survey

If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kendrick Meek the Democrat, Marco Rubio the Republican, and Charlie Crist running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Marco Rubio 46% [32%] (33%) {33%} [30%]
  • Charlie Crist 33% [39%] (39%) {37%} [32%]
  • Kendrick Meek 18% [16%] (13%) {17%} [24%]
Among Independents
  • Charlie Crist 45% [50%] (50%) {51%} [38%]
  • Marco Rubio 40% [25%] (28%) {26%} [29%]
  • Kendrick Meek 12% [10%] (8%) {10%} [15%]
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio 83% [68%] (69%) {64%} [64%]
  • Charlie Crist 13% [22%] (23%) {28%} [30%]
  • Kendrick Meek 1% [1%] (0%) {2%} [0%]
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist 46% [45%] (42%) {37%} [27%]
  • Kendrick Meek 43% [36%] (33%) {44%} [55%]
  • Marco Rubio 8% [6%] (7%) {7%} [5%]
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio 48% [39%] (38%) {39%} [36%]
  • Charlie Crist 36% [39%] (40%) {36%} [30%]
  • Kendrick Meek 13% [12%] (13%) {13%} [21%]
Among Women
  • Marco Rubio 42% [25%] (29%) {29%} [25%]
  • Charlie Crist 31% [40%] (37%) {38%} [34%]
  • Kendrick Meek 23% [19%] (13%) {20%} [27%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 49% [35%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (32%) {24%} [15%] (14%) / 35% [28%] (24%) {28%} [22%] (14%) {11%} [9%] (11%) {+14%}
  • Charlie Crist 45% [53%] (49%) {52%} [48%] (52%) {58%} [60%] (60%) / 47% [33%] (35%) {33%} [35%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-2%}
  • Kendrick Meek 29% [24%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [14%] (12%) / 39% [25%] (17%) {13%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [5%] (7%) {-10%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charlie Crist is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 51% [56%] (53%) {57%} [49%] (50%) {59%} [60%] (62%)
  • Disapprove 43% [35%] (37%) {35%} [39%] (38%) {31%} [30%] (28%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 54% [62%] (59%) {62%} [50%] (51%) {65%} [63%] (61%)
  • Disapprove 37% [28%] (30%) {33%} [37%] (36%) {17%} [27%] (31%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 31% [39%] (38%) {49%} [49%] (62%) {62%} [66%] (68%)
  • Disapprove 63% [52%] (57%) {44%} [42%] (32%) {30%} [28%] (21%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 72% [68%] (65%) {61%} [52%] (40%) {54%} [54%] (59%)
  • Disapprove 24% [24%] (23%) {31%} [37%] (43%) {34%} [35%] (30%)
Survey of 1,151 Florida voters was conducted September 23-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22-27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 8-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 12 – 18, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2-7, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPIC California Political Survey

PPIC California Political Survey

Senatorial Election
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 42% [39%] {48%} (44%) [48%]
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 35% [34%] {39%} (43%) [40%]
  • Someone else 6%
  • Don't Know 17% [22%] {13%} (13%) [12%]
Gubernatorial Election
  • Meg Whitman (R) 38% [34%] {37%} (44%) [36%]
  • Jerry Brown (D) 37% [37%] {42%} (39%) [41%]
  • Someone else 7%
  • Don't Know 18% [23%] {21%} (17%) [23%]
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barbara Boxer is handling her job as U.S. Senator?
  • Approve 43%
  • Disapprove 52%
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Dianne Feinstein is handling her job as U.S. Senator?
  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 44%
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Arnold Schwarzenegger is handling his job as governor of California
  • Approve 28% [25%]
  • Disapprove 66% [66%]
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president of the United States?
  • Approve 48% [50%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 48% [46%] {43%}
Since taking office, have Barack Obama’s economic policies made economic conditions better, worse, or not had an effect so far?
  • Better 32%
  • Worse 33%
  • No effect 33%
Overall, do you think that Congress and the Obama administration are doing more than enough, just enough, or not enough to help create jobs?
  • More than enough 6%
  • Just enough 23%
  • Not enough 68%
Proposition 19 is called the ‘Legalizes Marijuana Under California but Not Federal Law. Permits Local Governments to Regulate and Tax Commercial Production, Distribution, and Sale of Marijuana. Initiative Statute.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?
  • Yes 52%
  • No 41%
In general, do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not?
  • Yes, legal 51%
  • No, illegal 45%
Proposition 23 is called the ‘Suspends Implementation of Air Pollution Control Law (AB 32) Requiring Major Sources of Emissions to Report and Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions That Cause Global Warming, Until Unemployment Drops to 5.5 Percent or Less for Full Year. Initiative Statute.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 23?
  • Yes 43%
  • No 42%
Proposition 25 is called the ‘Changes Legislative Vote Requirement to Pass Budget and Budget-related Legislation from Two-Thirds to a Simple Majority. Retains Two-Thirds Vote Requirement for Taxes. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 25?
  • Yes 48%
  • No 35%
Do you think it is a good idea or bad idea to lower the vote requirement to pass a state budget and state taxes from a two-thirds vote to a simple majority or 50 percent plus one vote?
  • Good idea 44%
  • Bad idea 46%
Do you favor or oppose raising the state taxes paid by California corporations to address the state budget deficit?
  • Favor 42%
  • Oppose 50%
Do you favor or oppose allowing gay and lesbian couples to be legally married?
  • Favor 53%
  • Oppose 42%
Proposition 8, which eliminated the right of same-sex couples to marry, was approved by voters in November 2008. Last month, a United States district court struck down Proposition 8, ruling it unconstitutional. Do you agree or disagree with the court’s ruling that Proposition 8 is unconstitutional?
  • Agree 42%
  • Disagree 53%
Survey of 1,104 likely voters was conducted September 19-26, 2010.  The margin of error is ± 3.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-16, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Party registration breakdown: 45% [45%] Democrat; 31% [31%] Republican; 23% [22%] Independent.  Political ideology: 9% [11%] very liberal; 23% [20%] somewhat liberal; 29% [30%] middle-of-the-road; 24% [24%] somewhat conservative; 14% [13%] very conservative.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
  • Deval Patrick (D) 43% (42%) [39%] {38%} (41%) [45%] {35%} (35%) [33%]
  • Charlie Baker (R) 39% (38%) [34%] {32%} (34%) [31%] {27%} (32%) [28%]
  • Tim Cahill (I) 11% (11%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [14%] {23%} (19%) [25%]
With Leaners
  • Deval Patrick (D) 47% (45%) [44%] 
  • Charlie Baker (R) 42% (42%) [42%] 
  • Tim Cahill (I) 6% (5%) [8%]
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Deval Patrick (D) 52% (51%) [50%]
  • Charlie Baker (R) 42% (44%) [39%]
  • Tim Cahilll (I) 6% (5%) [10%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Deval Patrick 55% (52%) [48%] {51%} (52%) [53%] {49%} (43%) [42%] / 43% (46%) [50%] {48%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (55%) [56%] {+12%}
  • Charlie Baker 52% (50%) [48%] {36%} (46%) [41%] {43%} (46%) [42%] / 40% (34%) [36%] {46%} (35%) [34%] {32%} (26%) [29%] {+12%}
  • Tim Cahill 37% (40%) [40%] {44%} / 54% (45%) [44%] {38%} {-17%}
How would you rate the job Deval Patrick has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 23% (19%) [21%] {18%} (14%) [12%] {12%} (14%) [11%]
  • Somewhat approve 25% (30%) [25%] {32%} (34%) [36%] {34%} (25%) [23%]
  • Somewhat disapprove 17% (18%) [19%] {13%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (24%) [27%]
  • Strongly disapprove 34% (32%) [33%] {36%} (30%) [31%] {33%} (37%) [37%]
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 34% (34%) [33%] {37%} (33%) [42%] {37%} (34%) [31%]
  • Somewhat approve 20% (20%) [23%] {19%} (23%) [21%] {19%} (20%) [24%]
  • Somewhat disapprove 11% (10%) [9%] {10%} (11%) [11%] {11%} (11%) [9%]
  • Strongly disapprove 34% (35%) [34%] {35%} (32%) [26%] {33%} (35%) [35%]
Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted September 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% (41%) Democrat; 21% (18%) Republican; 37% (41%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 23, 2009 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Washington Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Washington Senatorial Survey
  • Dino Rossi (R) 47% [46%] (48%) {44%} [47%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (48%)
  • Patty Murray (D) 46% [49%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [46%] (46%)
With Leaners
  • Dino Rossi (R) 48% [46%] (50%) {46%}
  • Patty Murray (D) 47% [51%] (47%) {50%}
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Patty Murray (D) 52% [51%] (50%) {52%}
  • Dino Rossi (R) 48% [49%] (50%) {48%}
Among Republicans
  • Dino Rossi (R) 91% [85%] (90%) {92%}
  • Patty Murray (D) 7% [12%] (10%) {7%}
Among Democrats
  • Patty Murray (D) 90% [93%] (89%) {89%}
  • Dino Rossi (R) 5% [6%] (8%) {6%}
Among Independents
  • Dino Rossi (R) 60% [52%] (62%) {47%}
  • Patty Murray (D) 32% [42%] (32%) {46%}
Among Men
  • Dino Rossi (R) 57% [49%] (57%) {47%}
  • Patty Murray (D) 38% [48%] (40%) {47%}
Among Women
  • Patty Murray (D) 54% [53%] (52%) {52%}
  • Dino Rossi (R) 41% [43%] (44%) {44%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Dino Rossi 50% [50%] (54%) {53%} [52%] (55%) {52%} [52%] (52%) {52%} [51%] (54%) / 46% [48%] (44%) {43%} [44%] (39%) {44%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (41%) {+4%} 
  • Patty Murray 47% [52%] (50%) {52%} [51%] (49%) {54%} [52%] (52%) {53%} [53%] (51%) / 48% [45%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (49%) {44%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [41%] (45%) {-1%
How would you rate the job Christine Gregoire has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 21% [23%] (22%) {24%} [21%] (19%) {22%} [25%] (21%) {22%} [19%] (18%) 
  • Somewhat approve 21% [20%] (20%) {20%} [25%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [21%] (23%) 
  • Somewhat disapprove 15% [18%] (17%) {11%} [14%] (16%) {15%} [16%] (18%) {18%} [18%] (19%) 
  • Strongly disapprove 40% [36%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [42%] (38%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 33% [33%] (31%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {29%} [35%] (37%) {36%} [31%] (30%) 
  • Somewhat approve 15% [16%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (22%) {22%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (21%) 
  • Somewhat disapprove 6% [10%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {9%} [6%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (8%) 
  • Strongly disapprove 45% [40%] (41%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {39%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [40%] (40%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 38% [36%] Democrat; 30% [33%] Republican; 32% [31%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 18, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Rudy Ready for Return to the Ring

Rudy Giuliani, visiting Seattle to endorse Dino Rossi, raise funds for Dave Reichert, and officially open a new branch for his law firm, sat down with Q13 FOX News for the following interview, in which the former New York City mayor and presidential candidate gave the clearest indication to date that he intends on pursuing the presidency again in 2012.



Q: Let's talk a little more about clean energy and clean tech. You guys are kind of focused on that. You're going to be holding a roundtable. What are you telling people about clean tech because, politically, it's been tough. It's been tough to sell.

GIULIANI: Well, you know, I think the focus on cap-and-trade has kind of warped a little of the discussion of all this because cap-and-trade, whether you agree with it or not, would be unrealistic right now because the technologies don't exist for people to avoid the emissions. Cap-and-trade would make more sense, if at all, if there were those technologies. And that's where we should be spending our time on. We should be spending our time developing clean technologies. Technologies that allow us to produce the energy that we need without the emission of carbon, without endangering the environment. Or technologies that reduce that risk, even if we can't get that perfection right away. And our firm has been involved in this for decades, before it even had a title like 'clean tech.' We've represented companies and government agencies in every aspect of this. So, it's something that we have both in Texas, because of our presence there, and a long history with the energy industry. Because of our presence in Washington with a very strong government-relations arm. Our presence in New York where a lot of the financing is done. This is something where we can really help companies that are seeking to, in some way, enter into clean tech, whether we're talking about wind, or solar, or we're talking about bio-fuels, or remediation situations -- hybrid vehicles, electronic vehicles. All these things offer a great deal of hope. No one of them is a magic bullet, which sometimes in the past has been like a mistake that's been made. But each one of them, if they make, the way I've always looked at it, if they make a 10 or 15 percent contribution, you add up enough 10 or 15 percent contributions, and you're at 100 percent.

Now, I think we understand that. And we understand all aspects of it. We understand the start of the financing. The local, state and federal relations that are involved, the taxing issues that are involved. So, we think this is a good place to build that practice that we have a lot of experience in.

Q: How do you get from point A to point B, and what's government's role in that?

GIULIANI: In developing a law firm, or getting clean tech? (Laughs)

Q:  No, we know you're an expert in developing a law firm. But, in terms of implementing clean tech, this technology, obviously is going to take a partnership between government and the people funding the research, and the implementation, and also private industry as well. So, what's the answer? It's a really tough economy right now, and you know, here in Washington, we've got Hanford, the biggest cleanup site in the whole world there. And we've also got some great wind farms just over the mountains in eastern Washington. So, how do you sell it, and how do you put all the pieces together, especially in terms of what government's role is?

GIULIANI:  Well, the research and development dollars from the federal government, I think, come out to about $5 billion. That is substantially less than, what is it, $60 or $70 billion in defense? And it's less than the pharmaceutical companies spend. I mean, Pfizer alone spends five or six billion on research and development on pharmaceutical products, which, of course, are enormously important. So, whether the answer is on the private side or the government side, there has to be an answer. And I think, probably, the answer comes from both. I'm generally a bigger believer in private financing. I think the way the pharmaceutical industries have financed the development of our miracle medicines and our cures for cancer, and our remediation for cancer, and heart disease -- almost all of that has come from the private sector. It's had some government help.

Q: A lot of it. NIH is tremendously helpful.

GIULIANI: But the amount of government dollars dwarfs in comparison to the private dollars the pharmaceutical companies have put in for medical research. On the defense side, it's been largely government. So, here there should be a greater government -- $5 billion is too little, but then there also should be private dollars, venture capital dollars, other dollars, that follow this. This is the business of the future. Not enough visionaries have recognized that yet. People in China recognize it. This is the business of the future. Whoever solves the transition problem for energy. It won't be one person. It will be many. But, whoever gets involved in that solution, they're going to be the great companies of the future. The government can help by seeding that vision, but that vision has to happen in the private sector.

Q: I want to ask you about -- you did such a great job in New York, of turning the public safety issue around. And here in Seattle, here in King County, we're really facing big budget shortfalls for next year. And both governments yesterday came out with their revisions of how much money in Seattle -- it's something like $67 million they have to cut from the city budget -- so, I wanted to ask you, if you were, I mean, we have to solve the public safety issue, and they're saying, that we're not going to probably investigate a lot of property crimes, because we just can't. So, if you were to advise them, given your background, in coming up with the solutions in New York. What would you say, in a tough economy, how do you keep law and order?

GIULIANI:  In a tough economy, cutting law enforcement is like repeating the mistakes of history. In my city, in the 1970's, New York City almost went bankrupt. New York City did a massive revision based on a directive from the State of New York to cut its budget. And the mistake that was made, it cut its police department, with everything else. Cut its police department down to the lowest they've ever been. Crime began to soar, and it took us 30 years to get control -- 30 years. It took us until 1994 or '95 to get control of it. Well, I would say then, cut everything but law enforcement. I know that sounds like special pleading for law enforcement, but it isn't. It's special pleading for the community. Because when you go through difficult times, that's just when crime can start to really emerge. And, there are a lot of strategies for fighting crime. I used the Broken Windows theory. I used the CompStat program. I used community policing. But, it wouldn't have worked if we didn't have enough police officers. I had to add roughly 5,000 more police officers. And that cost more money. So, I faced a deficit when I became mayor of New York City, as big or bigger than the deficits now, and 10 percent unemployment. I cut everything. I cut all spending -- spending I agreed with, spending I disagreed with; except I increased the size of the police. I took a tremendous amount of criticism for that. People don't criticize anymore because crime is down 70 percent.

New York City went from being the crime capital of America to being the safest large city in America. It developed the CompStat program that won the award from the Kennedy School of Government as the most innovative program in government. You've got to have priorities. That's what governing is about. Ronald Reagan demonstrated that in the 1980's. He cut everything but the military. Had he cut the military, I'm not sure the Soviet Union would be gone, or at least it wouldn't have been gone as fast. So, part of leadership is exercising a vision and having priorities. Priorities should be -- you should only spend as much money as you have. And when you're in a fiscally damaging situation, you need to do the same thing a family or a business does -- government should. You figure out what your realistic revenues are going to be, without raising taxes, without driving people out, because then the revenues will decrease. And then, you cut your budget to meet those revenues. If you, in your family, knew your expenses were now $2,000 a month, but you're only earning $1,500 a month, you would go and cut $500 from your spending, no matter how difficult it was, to stay at $1,500. That's what government has to do. It's got to be what I call results-oriented. If you need a five percent reduction, it has to be a five percent reduction. And if you have to eliminate a few things from that, like say in a family budget, you have to eliminate medicines. You need the medicines, maybe to stay alive or function, then you eliminate that from the cuts. So you eliminate the police. Virtually everything else has to be a part of it.

Q:  I want to get your take briefly on the mid-term elections coming up. I'd like just, first of all, just for you to give me your take on the political landscape right now. We've seen the Tea Party emerge to the right of many Republicans, and unseating some of them. How would you fit in, in this scenario, if you were in the political game today.

GIULIANI:  I never fitted in perfectly with any movement or group or ideology because I've never -- I've always felt I was an independent person having to exercise my own independent judgment about things. And I'd almost feel like I'd lost my ability to give people creative solutions if I started to think of myself as defined solely by an ideology.

But I understand the Tea Party movement, completely, and I see it differently than maybe some of the critics do. I see it as a grassroots movement that began with the anger at higher taxes, and the anger at out-of-control government spending, and the anger at a growing government, and has become much deeper than that. It's become, a sort of sense that, maybe, with this massive government build-up, we're beginning to lose some of our liberty and freedom. And that's in jeopardy. And I think that's why you see the emotion.

This has reached something that doesn't always get reached in America. And that is Americans' great desire for, in each generation, a little bit more freedom of choice; a little bit more reliance on the private individual. And that's where I see the Tea Party movement. Are there excesses? Of course. Are there some people that shouldn't be there because they're crazy? Yeah, but there are Republicans, Democrats, liberals, conservatives, and Independents who have some people that are crazy. Everybody has that group. We could find them in every group.

But the core of the Tea Party movement is a reaction to big government and it's a very quintessential American feeling. After all, America is the only country I think that really has developed to an art form the desire to keep government limited. I mean, think of all these European governments, social democracies. They’re gigantic. Asian governments. African governments. They began under this authoritarian, large model. It’s our coutry that has given the world an understanding that the most creative kind of government, the most productive kind of government, is the least government. Government where necessary. But not where it isn’t necessary, because government is largely inefficient when it operates in the areas where the private sector should be operating.

The Tea Party, I think, is driven by the fact that this administration of President Obama, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid – have gone further in the direction of big government than any administration in history, and appears to have a very, very strong anti-business bias -- anti-big business, medium-size business, small business. They seem to want to have the government take over the decision-making because they believe the government can decide it better.

Q:  How big a swing do you think we’ll see away from the Democrats?

GIULIANI:  I think we’re going to see a very big swing away from big government. I think that the results of this big government have been catastrophic. The president did a stimulus program. The stimulus program was supposed to reduce unemployment below eight percent. Unemployment is above nine percent. It was supposed to create two million jobs. We’ve lost two and half to three million jobs. His results, with regard to his vision of big government and social democracy for our economy, have been catastrophic. Our economy, which wants to recover, his programs have held back that recovery.

Why are people uncertain about investing? They’re uncertain about investing because they have no idea what President Obama is going to do about our tax rates next year. Here we are, just a short way away from next year, and we have no idea if the tax rates are going to be the same, 20 percent higher, 30 percent higher, in some cases, 50 percent higher. That creates uncertainty. That’s created solely by the lack of decision-making on the part of the Obama administration.

Q:  If you were in the White House through this whole crisis, what would you have done differently? I know that’s probably a four or five-hour answer if you…

GIULIANI:  No, real quick. I would have immediately cut spending to fit the reduced revenues. I would have used it as an opportunity to make government efficient as I did when I was mayor of New York City. I always found when we had deficits easier to govern, and do a budget, because you didn’t have a lot of money to throw around. This administration did just the opposite. At a time of a very deep recession, they spent more money than we’ve ever spent before. They took our federal deficit to the highest levels any president had ever had. President Obama has added more to the deficit than our last ten presidents combined. Now, this is an extraordinary thing to do in the middle of a recession. And if we’re wondering why we’re not coming out of it, we’re not coming out of it because of the grossly inefficient spending that was done by this administration. They have put a burden on us that is making it very, very difficult for the economy to revive, even though it wants to.

Q: I know that a lot of people are wondering if and when you'll get back into the political game. I know you're busy right now, but could you foresee a day under the right circumstances that you would come back?

GIULIANI: Well, first of all, I feel like I am partially in the political arena anyway. I do spend a great deal of time working in my law firm, Bracewell Giuliani. A great deal of time working with my security firm, Giuliani Partners. But, that gives me the opportunity, including giving speeches, to go around the world. I was in South Africa earlier this summer -- or the middle part of the summer. I'm going to Scotland and Colombia a little later this year. So, I spend a lot of time traveling. I'm very involved in security issues all over the world. And I'm very involved in this election because I really do think we have to put a stop to the massive overspending of the Obama-Pelosi era. So, yeah, I see myself at some point getting, re-- I just don't know when yet. A lot of it will depend on what kind of conclusions I draw at the end of this election cycle; about what the Republican party needs. I believe we need the strongest possible alternative to President Obama's administration because I believe that they are determined, and are trying, and have already taken steps to take us to a different kind of economy -- more like a European social democracy economy rather than the quintessential American private economy that made us so great.

Q:  In term of security, I mean, we’re looking out at the waterfront here in Seattle, and security is something we’re always thinking about, especially post-9/11. What do you think America’s vulnerabilities are that you’re concerned about right now?

GIULIANI:  Well, I’m always concerned about it because of something President Bush used to say, which is that we couldn’t be right just 99 percent of the time. We had to right 100 percent. And they’re always thinking of something new, something different.

I think, just without giving away any secrets, I’ll just state what has already been stated many times, but it’s kind of obvious. We’ve spent a lot of time dealing with airport security, and with that, we still had breaches of it, like on Christmas Day, which only because he was inefficient, not because of security, was that attack on Detroit foiled. But, with that, we have pretty good airport security.

The ports have not gotten the attention that the airports have gotten. They’re harder in some ways, and in other ways, they’re not, because you can get more control over the shipments. We’re not dealing with individual rights and individual liberties, and we’re dealing with cargo. And there are a lot of things that could be done that would make the ports more secure. A lot of it has to do with being able to search the cargo at the port of embarkation, where it’s first loaded, and then using technology to trace it as it comes to Seattle or Los Angeles or New York, or wherever. And that’s an area that should be getting the same emphasis that airport security gets because this is a heck of a way to attack us if they focus on it. And I know it’s getting more, but this is probably late in coming.

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Poll Watch: MPR/Humphrey Institute Minnesota 2012 Presidential Survey

MPR/Humphrey Institute Minnesota 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Tim Pawlenty 40%
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Sarah Palin 34%
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Michele Bachmann 34%
Survey of 750 likely Minnesota voters was conducted September 22-26, 2010. The margin for error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Susquehanna (R) Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

Susquehanna (R) Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey
  • Pat Toomey (R) 45%
  • Joe Sestak (D) 42%
  • Other 2%
  • Undecided 11%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 41%
  • Disapprove 49%
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 23-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Florida Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Florida Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42% (36%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 31% (34%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 23% (24%)
Among Democrats
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 53% (54%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 38% (36%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 7% (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio (R) 78% (70%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 16% (21%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 3% (5%)
Among Independents
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% (29%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 36% (45%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 14% (16%)
Among Liberals
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 49% (45%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 44% (44%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 2% (8%)
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (I) 42% (42%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 27% (18%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 25% (31%)
Among Conservatives
  • Marco Rubio (R) 68% (64%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 18% (21%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 11% (12%)
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 44% (39%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 33% (33%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 19% (20%)
Among Women
  • Marco Rubio (R) 40% (32%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 28% (35%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 27% (28%)
GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • Rick Scott (R) 47% (42%)
  • Alex Sink (D) 45% (49%)
Among Democrats
  • Alex Sink (D) 89% (85%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 10% (10%)
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 83% (76%)
  • Alex Sink (D) 9% (15%)
Among Independents
  • Rick Scott (R) 50% (37%)
  • Alex Sink (D) 37% (50%)
Among Liberals
  • Alex Sink (D) 83% (69%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 14% (17%)
Among Moderates
  • Alex Sink (D) 83% (67%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 14% (24%)
Among Conservatives
  • Rick Scott (R) 70% (67%)
  • Alex Sink (D) 22% (25%)
Among Men
  • Rick Scott (R) 49% (45%)
  • Alex Sink (D) 45% (47%)
Among Women
  • Alex Sink (D) 45% (50%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 45% (39%)
Survey of 786 likely voters was conducted September 24-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 2-7, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Illinois Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Illinois Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 43%
  • Mark Kirk (R) 42%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 8%
Among Men
  • Mark Kirk (R) 45%
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 39%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 9%
Among Women
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 47%
  • Mark Kirk (R) 38%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 7%
Among Democrats
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 83%
  • Mark Kirk (R) 10%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 4%
Among Republicans
  • Mark Kirk (R) 85%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 6%
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 3%
Among Independents
  • Mark Kirk (R) 43%
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 27%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 13%
Among Liberals
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 77%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 11%
  • Mark Kirk (R) 10%
Among Moderates
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 51%
  • Mark Kirk (R) 32%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 7%
Among Conservatives
  • Mark Kirk (R) 67%
  • Alexi Giannoulias (D) 19%
  • LeAlan Jones (G) 4%
GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • Bill Brady (R) 40%
  • Pat Quinn (D) 38%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 14%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 4%
Among Men
  • Bill Brady (R) 43%
  • Pat Quinn (D) 38%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 14%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 3%
Among Women
  • Pat Quinn (D) 39%
  • Bill Brady (R) 36%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 14%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 6%
Among Democrats
  • Pat Quinn (D) 66%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 16%
  • Bill Brady (R) 10%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 6%
Among Republicans
  • Bill Brady (R) 82%
  • Pat Quinn (D) 8%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 6%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 4%
Among Independents
  • Bill Brady (R) 40%
  • Pat Quinn (D) 30%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 19%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 3%
Among Liberals
  • Pat Quinn (D) 72%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 14%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 6%
  • Bill Brady (R) 5%
Among Moderates
  • Pat Quinn (D) 43%
  • Bill Brady (R) 30%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 19%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 4%
Among Conservatives
  • Bill Brady (R) 68%
  • Pat Quinn (D) 17%
  • Scott Lee Cohen (I) 8%
  • Rich Whitney (G) 3%
Survey of 828 likely voters was conducted September 24-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research California Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research California Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 52% (48%)
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 43% (44%)
Among Democrats
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 93% (87%)
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 5% (8%)
Among Republicans
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 92% (92%)
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 4% (5%)
Among Independents
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 53% (40%)
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 39% (45%)
Among Liberals
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 93% (88%)
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 6% (5%)
Among Moderates
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 59% (57%)
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 32% (35%)
Among Conservatives
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 78% (77%)
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 19% (18%)
Among Men
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 48% (46%)
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 45% (47%)
Among Women
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 58% (48%)
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 39% (43%)
GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • Jerry Brown (D) 52% (46%)
  • Meg Whitman (R) 43% (48%)
Among Democrats
  • Jerry Brown (D) 85% (84%)
  • Meg Whitman (R) 11% (10%)
Among Republicans
  • Meg Whitman (R) 79% (93%)
  • Jerry Brown (D) 15% (4%)
Among Independents
  • Meg Whitman (R) 53% (48%)
  • Jerry Brown (D) 40% (43%)
Among Liberals
  • Jerry Brown (D) 89% (80%)
  • Meg Whitman (R) 6% (16%)
Among Moderates
  • Jerry Brown (D) 59% (52%)
  • Meg Whitman (R) 36% (42%)
Among Conservatives
  • Meg Whitman (R) 74% (76%)
  • Jerry Brown (D) 22% (20%)
Among Men
  • Meg Whitman (R) 47% (51%)
  • Jerry Brown (D) 47% (43%)
Among Women
  • Jerry Brown (D) 55% (47%)
  • Meg Whitman (R) 40% (46%)
Survey of 786 likely voters was conducted September 24-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 2-7, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Alaska Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Alaska Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION
  • Joe Miller (R) 38%
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 36%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 22%
Among Men
  • Joe Miller (R) 45%
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 30%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 20%
Among Women
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 43%
  • Joe Miller (R) 30%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 23%
Among Republicans
  • Joe Miller (R) 63%
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 32%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 2%
Among Independents
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 38%
  • Joe Miller (R) 35%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 21%
Among Democrats
  • Scott McAdams (D) 55%
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 39%
  • Joe Miller (R) 4% 
Among Conservatives
  • Joe Miller (R) 67%
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 27%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 3%
Among Moderates
  • Lisa Murkowski (R) 46%
  • Scott McAdams (D) 29%
  • Joe Miller (R) 20%
GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
  • Sean Parnell (R) 57%
  • Ethan Berkowitz (D) 38%
Survey of 927 likely voters was conducted September 24-28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina Senatorial Survey 
  • Richard Burr (R) 49% {43%} (39%) [38%] {43%} (43%) [41%] {43%}
  • Elaine Marshall (D) 36% {38%} (37%) [33%] {42%} (37%) [36%] {33%}
  • Michael Beitler (L) 4% {6%} (7%) [10%]
Do you approve or disapprove of Republican Senator Richard Burr's job performance?
  • Approve 47% {38%} (32%) [34%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {35%}
  • Disapprove 38% {42%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (41%) [37%] {35%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elaine Marshall?
  • Favorable 37% {25%} (23%) [22%] {23%} (19%) [17%] {19%}
  • Unfavorable 34% {21%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (11%) [12%] {10%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michael Beitler?
  • Favorable 9% {6%} (6%) [6%]
  • Unfavorable 24% {13%} (13%) [11%]
Survey of 681 likely voters was conducted September 23-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-10, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 48% {45%} (46%) [46%] Democrat; 35% {40%} (34%) [36%] Republican; 18% {16%} (20%) [18%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 45% {43%} (48%) [44%] Conservative; 38% {41%} (36%) [38%] Moderate; 17% {16%} (17%) [19%] Liberal.

Poll Watch: Daily Kos/PPP (D) New Mexico Gubernatorial Survey

Daily Kos/PPP (D) New Mexico Gubernatorial Survey
  • Susana Martinez (R) 50%
  • Diane Denish (D) 42%
  • Undecided 8%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Susana Martinez 48%  / 41% {+7%}
  • Diane Denish 42% / 45% {-3%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama's job performance?
  • Approve 43%
  • Disapprove 52%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bill Richardson's job performance?
  • Approve 27%
  • Disapprove 64%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeff Bingaman's job performance?
  • Approve 50%
  • Disapprove 34%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Tom Udall's job performance?
  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 36%
Survey of 1,307 likely voters was conducted September 25-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 49% Democrat; 35% Republican; 16% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey 
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41% (41%) [40%] {38%} (35%) [36%] {37%} (39%) [34%] {37%} (42%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 30% (30%) [30%] {33%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (31%) [38%] {30%} (22%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 21% (23%) [21%] {21%} (20%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {22%} (25%)
  • Other 3% (2%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 5% (4%) [5%] {7%} (8%) [14%] {11%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (11%)
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Marco Rubio (R) 54% (53%) [56%]
  • Charlie Crist (I) 27% (21%) [25%]
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 19% (26%) [19%]
Among Voters Not Certain of Their Vote
  • Charlie Crist (I) 44% (52%) [45%]
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 30% (22%) [29%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 26% (26%) [26%]
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (I) 41% (33%) [36%] {36%} (41%) [36%] {47%} (x) [44%] {33%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 41% (45%) [41%] {48%} (43%) [32%] {28%} (x) [35%] {46%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 9% (16%) [13%] {10%} (8%) [14%] {7%} (x) [14%] {10%}
  • Other 4% (3%) [4%] {1%} (5%)
  • Not Sure 5% (4%) [6%] {4%} (4%) [18%] {18%} (x) [6%] {11%}
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio (R) 78% (72%) [73%] {66%} (65%) [60%] {66%} (68%) [58%] {62%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 15% (19%) [19%] {25%} (23%) [29%] {24%} (23%) [30%] {28%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 2% (5%) [3%] {4%} (5%) [4%] {1%} [5%] {3%}
  • Other 2% (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%)
  • Not Sure 4% (3%) [3%] {4%} (7%) [7%] {9%} [7%] {7%}
Among Independents
  • Charlie Crist (I) 38% (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 28% (27%) [29%] {38%} (30%) [35%] {38%} (x) [28%] {40%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 22% (24%) [19%] {5%} (13%) [8%] {18%} (x) [11%] {18%}
  • Other 5% (3%) [7%] {2%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 7% (5%) [7%] {18%} (16%) [19%] {3%} (x) [21%] {15%}
Among Liberals
  • Charlie Crist (I) 50% (41%) [53%] {38%} (34%) [45%] {50%} (x) [56%] {44%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 35% (45%) [35%] {49%} (31%) [38%] {32%} (x) [33%] {35%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 6% (10%) [8%] {4%} (14%) [5%] {5%} {5%} (x) [4%] {8%}
  • Other (2%) [2%] {2%} (5%)
  • Not Sure (2%) [1%] {9%} (17%) [12%] {13%} [6%] {13%}
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (I) 46% (42%) [36%] {51%} (54%) [41%] {52%} (x) [55%] {35%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 27% (26%) [29%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {22%} (x) [12%] {29%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 18% (22%) [26%] {21%} (16%) [20%] {17%} (x) [22%] {21%}
  • Other 3% (4%) [2%] {2%} (2%)
  • Not Sure 6% (5%) [7%] {9%} (7%) [18%] {9%} (x) [12%] {14%}
Among Conservatives
  • Marco Rubio (R) 69% (70%) [66%] {65%} (59%) [58%] {70%} (x) [57%] {64%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 15% (16%) [14%] {21%} (21%) [24%] {20%} (x) [22%] {21%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 8% (9%) [9%] {7%} (13%) [5%] {2%} (x) [14%] {9%}
  • Other 3% (1%) [6%] {1%} (2%)
  • Not Sure 4% (4%) [6%] {6%} (4%) [13%] {7%} (x) [7%] {6%}
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 47% (53%) [42%] {46%} (38%) [43%] {48%} (x) [38%] {45%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 26% (26%) [29%] {31%} (35%) [29%] {33%} (x) [36%] {31%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 20% (16%) [21%] {16%} (23%) [10%] {13%} (x) [16%] {16%}
  • Other 2% (3%) [4%] {1%} (2%)
  • Not Sure 4% (3%) [4%] {6%} (2%) [17%] {6%} (x) [10%] {8%}
Among Women
  • Marco Rubio (R) 36% (32%) [38%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {27%} (x) [30%] {30%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 33% (33%) [31%] {34%} (32%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 21% (29%) [20%] {25%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (x) [18%] {28%}
  • Other 4% (2%) [4%] {2%} (4%)
  • Not Sure 6% (4%) [6%] {8%} (13%) [12%] {15%} (x) [12%] {14%}
Among Whites
  • Marco Rubio (R) 49% (52%) [46%] {45%} (41%) [43%] {45%} (x) [40%] {43%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 30% (27%) [31%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {38%} (x) [36%] {32%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 12% (15%) [15%] {13%} (16%) [9%] {8%} (x) [12%] {15%}
  • Other 3% (3%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 6% (4%) [5%] {7%} (6%) [14%] {9%} (x) [12%] {10%}
Among Blacks
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 58% (58%) [70%] {53%} (72%) [31%] {40%} (x) [63%] {84%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 25% (41%) [7%] {29%} (14%) [38%] {38%} (x) [22%] {4%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 6% (1%) [11%] {6%} (8%) [10%] {1%} (x) [14%] {4%}
  • Other 5% (0%) [6%] {0%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 6% (1%) [6%] {12%} (2%) [21%] {21%} (x) [0%] {7%}
Among Hispanics/Other
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 48% (49%) [22%] {42%} (8%) [50%] {33%} (x) [14%] {22%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 32% (39%) [46%] {30%} (44%) [31%] {45%} (x) [62%] {32%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 15% (9%) [24%] {20%} (22%) [8%] {22%} (x) [14%] {25%}
  • Other 5% (2%) [0%] {2%} (1%)
  • Not Sure 0% (2%) [9%] {7%} (25%) [11%] {0%} [10%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Charlie Crist 57% (55%) [56%] {58%} (59%) [56%] {62%} (57%) [57%] {55%} (49%) [55%] {58%} (59%) {64%} (57%) / 40% (44%) [42%] {39%} (37%) [42%] {37%} (41%) [40%] {40%} (48%) [41%] {40%} (38%) {35%} (36%) {+17%}
  • Marco Rubio 54% (53%) [51%] {46%} (42%) [51%] {46%} (46%) [42%] {51%} (48%) [51%] {51%} (51%) {41%} / 39% (42%) [41%] {41%} (44%) [41%] {38%} (43%) [48%] {37%} (34%) [27%] {31%} (29%) {31%} {+15%}
  • Kendrick Meek 40% (45%) [41%] {31%} (32%) [36%] {30%} (33%) [32%] {38%} (33%) [42%] {38%} (41%) {37%} (37%) / 50% (46%) [47%] {46%} (41%) [40%] {39%} (36%) [36%] {31%} (39%) [33%] {36%] (33%) {34%} (36%) {-10%
How would you rate the job Charlie Crist has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 17% (18%) [20%] {15%} (20%) [19%] {22%} (22%) [22%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {10%} (9%) [13%] {17%} (15%)
  • Somewhat approve 38% (35%) [32%] {43%} (33%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [40%] {40%} (31%) [37%] {41%} (43%) [36%] {42%} (45%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 23% (25%) [25%] {25%} (23%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [18%] {26%} (35%) [30%] {30%} (25%) [29%] {21%} (20%)
  • Strongly disapprove 21% (21%) [21%] {15%} (21%) [18%] {12%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (19%) [15%] {17%} (20%) [20%] {19%} (16%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 34% (31%) [27%] {30%} (32%) [29%] {33%} (32%) [32%] {33%} (29%) [31%] {25%} (29%) [29%] {27%} (32%)
  • Somewhat approve 14% (15%) [19%] {14%} (15%) [14%] {13%} (18%) [15%] {11%} (14%) [14%] {17%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (14%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 5% (8%) [9%] {9%} (8%) [12%] {8%} (6%) [10%] {8%} (9%) [10%] {11%} (9%) [11%] {10%} (12%)
  • Strongly disapprove 47% (46%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [45%] {45%} (43%) [43%] {46%} (46%) [44%] {47%} (46%) [47%] {47%} (38%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% (40%) Republican; 35% (34%) Democrat; 25% (25%) Independent/Other.  Racial breakdown: 79% (78%) White; 21% (22%) Non-White.  Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16, 2010 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Nevada Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Nevada Senatorial Survey
  • Harry Reid (D) 47% [46%] (45%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [39%] (40%) {40%} [38%] (40%) {40%} [43%]
  • Sharron Angle (R) 45% [46%] (45%) {47%} [43%] (46%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [47%]
With Leaners
  • Harry Reid (D) 48% [48%] (50%) {48%}
  • Sharron Angle (R) 47% [48%] (47%) {50%}
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Harry Reid 52% [51%] (48%) {51%}
  • Sharron Angle 48% [49%] (52%) {49%}
Among Men
  • Sharron Angle (R) 53% [56%] (60%) {58%}
  • Harry Reid (D) 41% [40%] (37%) {41%}
Among Women
  • Harry Reid (D) 54% [54%] (62%) {55%}
  • Sharron Angle (R) 41% [40%] (35%) {42%}
Among Democrats
  • Harry Reid (D) 85% [87%] (90%) {92%}
  • Sharron Angle (R) 13% [12%] (7%) {6%}
Among Republicans
  • Sharron Angle (R) 82% [84%] (86%) {89%}
  • Harry Reid (D) 15% [12%] (11%) {10%}
Among Independents
  • Sharron Angle (R) 50% [49%] (47%) {60%}
  • Harry Reid (D) 40% [40%] (50%) {37%}
Among Liberals
  • Harry Reid (D) 74% [87%] (96%) {93%}
  • Sharron Angle (R) 15% [10%] (3%) {4%}
Among Moderates
  • Harry Reid (D) 63% [65%] (68%) {65%}
  • Sharron Angle (R) 31% [31%] (29%) {32%}
Among Conservatives
  • Sharron Angle (R) 76% [76%] (82%) {89%}
  • Harry Reid (D) 23% [22%] (15%) {10%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Harry Reid 48% [45%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {48%} [46%] (43%) {37%} [39%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (45%) / 50% [51%] (51%) {55%} [55%] (55%) {49%} [54%] (56%) {62%} [58%] (55%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {-2%}
  • Sharron Angle 43% [41%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (47%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [40%] (37%) {39%} [40%] / 56% [55%] (51%) {56%} [56%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (30%) {33%} [37%] {-13%}
How would you rate the job Jim Gibbons has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 10% [8%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (8%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {9%} [7%]
  • Somewhat approve 24% [29%] (26%) {27%} [28%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (27%) {35%} [28%] (30%) {26%} [28%]
  • Somewhat disapprove 20% [17%] (20%) {17%} [21%] (20%) {17%} [24%] (21%) {20%} [24%] (17%) {27%} [24%]
  • Strongly disapprove 41% [42%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (44%) {46%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [37%] (42%) {36%} [37%]
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 35% [34%] (33%) {24%} [26%] (30%) {27%} [32%] (31%) {33%} [27%] (27%) {29%} [29%] (37%)
  • Somewhat approve 12% [12%] (15%) {21%} [17%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (17%) {9%} [17%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (9%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 7% [5%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (6%) {9%} [10%] (9%) {9%} [11%] (8%)
  • Strongly disapprove 45% [46%] (43%) {48%} [49%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (45%) {49%} [47%] (45%) {41%} [44%] (45%)
Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted September 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 33% Republican; 30% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 9, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2009 are in parentheses.

Plouffe Licks His Chops Eyeing Potential Palin Candidacy

In a joint interview with RCP and CNN, David Plouffe, Obama's 2008 (and likely 2012) campaign manager, leaves little doubt that the White House is salivating over the possibility of Tea Party darling, Sarah Palin, being the president's opponent in two years. 

Plouffe also sought to discourage more electorally viable moderate Republicans from even competing for the GOP nomination (see Christie, Chris; Giuliani, Rudy).

Scott Conroy of RCP reports:

In spite of Palin's recent string of successes in endorsing Republican candidates in contested primaries, Plouffe said that he welcomed her rising influence in the GOP.

"I think that long term, the more sway and power she has in the Republican Party, the worse off the Republican Party will be," he said. "But they should not take advice from me. It's not my business to give advice to the Republican Party, but if the Republican Party believes that Sarah Palin is their savior, more power to them."

Asked about Palin's insinuations that Pete Rouse-who is expected to become Obama's interim chief of staff-may be helming a White House operation designed to undermine her politically, Plouffe smiled tightly.

"Well that's--just like a lot of things--nuts," he said. "But we don't spend much time thinking about her."

Plouffe added that the upcoming nominating cycle will be "fascinating" for Republicans "because no matter whether she runs or not, sort of that Palin-Limbaugh-Beck wing of their party is going to be the most dominant factor in most primaries and caucuses, in Iowa, in South Carolina, Nevada, so you're going to have to nominate someone who does very well in that wing."

Plouffe, who was in Ohio to stump alongside Governor Ted Strickland, said that recent primary results suggested that there would not be a niche for a moderate Republican candidate to fill in 2012.

"If you're a moderate Republican thinking about running for the primary in any office in 2011 or 2012, you're going to think twice because you're going to get the Mike Castle treatment," Plouffe said, referring to the moderate GOP congressman's defeat in the Delaware Senate primary. "So they're going to nominate more and more extreme Republicans who are doing very well in that sort of Palin-Limbaugh-Beck base."