Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mike Huckabee 47% [44%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [39%] (42%)
• Barack Obama 44% [47%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [52%] (49%)

• Barack Obama 46% [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [42%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [35%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 47% [49%] (45%) {47%} [49%] (45%) [49%] (50%) {49%} [53%] (52%)
• Newt Gingrich 43% [42%] (46%) {39%} [42%] ( 45%) [41%] (42%) {41%} [36%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] (46%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {52%} [56%] (53%) <55%>
• Sarah Palin 43% [43%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (45%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {44%} [43%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (41%) <35%>

• Barack Obama 48%
• Glenn Beck 39%

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 43% [38%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (41%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {33%} [41%] (43%) {46%} [35%] (37%)
• Barack Obama 38% [46%] (40%) {36%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (38%) {49%} [49%] (43%) {46%} [42%] (44%) {40%} [55%] (53%)

• Barack Obama 41% [41%] (35%) {33%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {35%} [55%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 38% [40%] (48%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {37%} [42%] (40%) {35%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [30%] (35%)

• Barack Obama 46% [49%] (39%) {34%} [48%] (44%) [45%] (46%) {41%} [54%] (54%)
• Newt Gingrich 37% [36%] (50%) {42%} [34%] (40%) [38%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 48% [52%] (42%) {40%} [50%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (42%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [52%] (51%) <46%>
• Sarah Palin 34% [39%] (47%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (41%) {41%} [37%] (44%) <42%>

• Barack Obama 48%
• Glenn Beck 29%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Independent vote (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Independent vote.

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 84% [86%] (85%) {81%} [84%] (86%) {82%} [81%] (82%) {83%} [87%] (79%) {77%} [80%] (76%) {79%} [74%] (77%)
• Barack Obama 8% [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [5%] (10%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {17%} [15%] (13%)

• Mitt Romney 82% [80%] (82%) {79%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [80%] (77%) {78%} [83%] (77%) {72%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [66%] (71%)
• Barack Obama 7% [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {19%} [18%] (16%)

• Newt Gingrich 80% [84%] (83%) {73%} [82%] (82%) [76%] (80%) {76%} [73%] (75%)
• Barack Obama 9% [7%] (6%) {11%} [10%] (6%) [13%] (11%) {16%} [16%] (14%)

• Sarah Palin 81% [81%] (81%) {78%} [81%] (85%) {82%} [78%] (77%) {80%} [84%] (77%) {70%} [74%] (79%) {72%} [65%] (71%) <66%>
• Barack Obama 11% [7%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (8%) {10%} [14%] (14%) {12%} [7%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (14%) {18%} [27%] (21%) <17%>

• Glenn Beck 75%
• Barack Obama 9%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 90% of the Republican vote (32% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 93% of the Republican vote.

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 79% [83%] (82%) {81%} [80%] (84%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {77%} [84%] (79%) {78%} [80%] (81%) {81%} [81%] (77%)
• Mike Huckabee 17% [11%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%) {15%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (17%)

• Barack Obama 81% [86%] (83%) {83%} [82%] (86%) [82%] (84%)
• Newt Gingrich 15% [8%] (12%) {10%} [12%] (11%) [12%] (12%)

• Barack Obama 83% [85%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (87%) {78%} [81%] (88%) {82%} [89%] (86%) {83%} [84%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (81%) <89%>
• Sarah Palin 14% [11%] (14%) {11%} [15%] (10%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {15%} [10%] (12%) {13%} [10%] (15%) {15%} [14%] (15%) <7%>

• Barack Obama 82% [83%] (80%) {82%} [80%] (86%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [86%] (82%) {78%} [81%] (77%) {79%} [81%] (77%)
• Mitt Romney 12% [9%] (14%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (7%) {14%} [11%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (14%)

• Barack Obama 81%
• Glenn Beck 14%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 10% of the Democratic vote (39% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 11% of the Democratic vote.

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% [59%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (64%) {59%} [57%] (61%) {63%} [62%] (61%) {58%} [56%] (58%) {64%} [66%] (65%)
• Mike Huckabee 31% [29%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (26%) {30%} [30%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (32%) {28%} [25%] (26%)

• Barack Obama 59% [55%] (55%) {58%} [59%] (62%) {55%} [54%] (58%) {65%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [64%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 31% [29%] (33%) {26%} [30%] (27%) {31%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [31%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (32%) {28%} [24%] (26%)

• Barack Obama 62% [62%] (58%) {61%} [65%] (66%) [60%] (61%)
• Newt Gingrich 28% [25%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (25%) [28%] (30%)

• Barack Obama 65% [62%] (62%) {66%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [63%] (66%) {69%} [65%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (62%) {68%} [71%] (65%)
• Sarah Palin 25% [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (24%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {23%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [22%] (30%)

• Barack Obama 64%
• Glenn Beck 22%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Moderate vote (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Moderate vote.

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 52% [48%] (44%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [44%] (47%) {52%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [41%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 38% [43%] (48%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [46%] (44%) {42%} [49%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [50%] (46%)

• Newt Gingrich 49% [46%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (46%) [46%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 41% [44%] (47%) {44%} [48%] (46%) [45%] (44%) {46%} [50%] (48%)

• Mitt Romney 48% [47%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [38%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 40% [40%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (46%) {39%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (49%)

• Sarah Palin 47% [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {48%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (47%) {44%} [41%] (47%) <43%>
• Barack Obama 45% [43%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [50%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (50%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (49%) <45%>

• Glenn Beck 44%
• Barack Obama 41%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Male vote (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 55% of the Male vote.

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% [51%] (42%) {48%} [48%] (45%) {50%} [46%] (44%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (53%) {54%} [54%] (52%)
• Mike Huckabee 43% [41%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (46%) {38%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [36%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 50% [50%] (42%) {48%} [47%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {52%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [56%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [38%] (48%) {39%} [41%] (44%) {39%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [44%] (36%) {34%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [31%] (34%)

• Barack Obama 53% [55%] (44%) {52%} [52%] (46%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [51%] (54%) {55%} [56%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (56%) <65%>
• Sarah Palin 40% [40%] (47%) {38%} [41%] (45%) {35%} [41%] (41%) {41%} [45%] (37%) {36%} [35%] (40%) {36%} [34%] (36%) <26%>

• Barack Obama 52% [52%] (43%) {50%} [49%] (45%) [53%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (56%)
• Newt Gingrich 38% [38%] (47%) {35%} [39%] (43%) [35%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (33%)

• Barack Obama 53%
• Glenn Beck 36%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Female vote.

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 35% [32%] (37%) {27%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [36%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (42%) / 32% [34%] (28%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {36%} [26%] (29%) {35%}[37%](29%){36%}[28%] (33%){34%}[32%](34%) {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 33% [35%] (32%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [37%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (40%) / 35% [37%] (33%) {36%} [36%] (42%) {39%} [28%] (32%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {38%} [34%] (37%){36%} [36%] (35%) {-2%}
• Sarah Palin 38% [37%] (37%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (42%) <39%> / 52% [54%] (52%) {53%} [56%] (52%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {55%} [49%] (45%) {49%} [50%] (49%) <50%> {-14%}
• Newt Gingrich 30% [31%] (32%) {28%} [29%] (34%) [33%] (36%) {35%} [30%] (36%) / 50% [48%] (42%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [42%] (42%) {46%} [47%] (44%) {-20%}
• Glenn Beck 31% / 41% {-10%}

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 32% [24%] (37%) {24%} [30%] (29%) {31%} [38%] (38%) {34%} [32%] (34%) {32%} [48%] (44%) {46%} [44%] (37%) / 37% [38%] (31%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {31%} [20%] (30%) {41%} [41%] (27%) {38%} [24%](30%){31%}[36%](36%) {-5%}
• Mitt Romney 31% [34%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (30%) {37%} [44%] (41%) {28%} [31%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {40%} [37%] (36%) / 36% [40%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (41%) {34%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [37%] (28%) {33%} [31%] (28%){33%}[42%](39%) {-5%}
• Sarah Palin 34% [33%] (36%) {33%} [33%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (45%) {44%} [34%] (38%) <47%> / 58% [56%] (48%) {49%} [60%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {54%} [49%] (48%) {59%} [49%] (43%) {42%}[58%] (51%) <43%> {-24%}
• Newt Gingrich 21% [24%] (32%) {27%} [27%] (29%) [34%] (31%) / 56% [51%] (40%) {43%} [51%] (51%) [45%] (44%) {-35%}
• Glenn Beck 24% / 52% {-28%}

Among Republicans

• Sarah Palin 69% [71%] (68%) {66%} [67%] (71%) {69%} [72%] (71%) {73%} [75%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (76%) {75%} [76%] (76%) <69%> / 18% [19%] (16%) {19%} [23%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {18%} [15%] (18%) {22%} [16%] (19%) {20%} [15%](18%) <17%> {+51%}
• Mike Huckabee 56% [59%] (63%) {50%} [57%] (55%) {55%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [65%] (56%) {70%} [66%] (66%) {70%} [64%] (67%) / 14% [15%] (11%) {18%} [14%] (10%) {17%} [14%] (17%) {14%}[11%](13%){12%}[13%](19%){17%}[20%] (18%) {+42%}
• Mitt Romney 56% [57%] (54%) {49%} [55%] (52%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (54%) {63%} [67%] (60%) / 20% [18%] (18%) {18%} [17%] (25%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {15%} [19%] (20%) {21%} [18%] (25%){21%} [17%](21%) {+36%}
• Newt Gingrich 54% [61%] (60%) {50%} [55%] (62%) [56%] (65%) / 23% [21%] (17%) {22%} [19%] (17%) [21%] (17%) {+31%}
• Glenn Beck 59% / 14% {+45%}

Among Democrats

• Mike Huckabee 17% [13%] (15%) {12%} [15%] (12%) {13%} [16%] (11%) {17%} [13%] (14%) {13%} [26%] (22%) {21%} [27%] (25%) / 44% [50%] (40%) {42%} [42%] (51%) {52%} [40%] (40%) {48%}[56%](42%){55%}[43%](46%){50%}[40%] (45%) {-27%}
• Mitt Romney 15% [16%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (15%) {10%} [15%] (12%) {18%} [14%] (15%) {15%} [23%] (20%) {24%} [20%] (27%) / 49% [53%] (45%) {53%} [51%] (60%) {56%} [44%] (47%) {53%}[56%](48%) {55%}[49%](52%){49%} [49%] (45%) {-34%}
• Newt Gingrich 13% [9%] (8%) {10%} [7%] (9%) [13%] (13%) / 71% [71%] (66%) {66%} [72%] (74%) [57%] (61%) {-58%}
• Sarah Palin 13% [10%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [13%] (9%) {12%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [17%] (18%) <11%> / 80% [83%] (86%) {81%} [82%] (87%) {72%} [74%] (80%) {76%} [78%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (67%) {76%} [74%] (73%) <78%> {-67%}
• Glenn Beck 11% / 60% {-49%}

Among Conservatives

• Sarah Palin 73% [69%] (65%) {60%} [69%] (70%) {70%} [69%] (69%) {73%} [80%] (65%) {69%} [68%] (73%) {72%} [73%] (67%) / 18% [21%] (21%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {17%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [12%](19%){22%}[20%](18%) {21%}[17%](20%) {+55%}
• Mike Huckabee 54% [56%] (62%) {43%} [60%] (52%) {54%} [57%] (57%) {59%}[66%](53%){59%}[61%](65%){68%}[60%](56%) / 14% [18%] (13%) {17%} [11%] (10%) {14%} [13%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (12%) {15%} [13%] (16%) {17%} [19%] (18%) {+40%}
• Newt Gingrich 53% [59%] (56%) {45%} [55%] (61%) [52%] (59%) {61%} [51%] (59%) / 21% [22%] (17%) {22%} [22%] (18%) [20%] (18%) {23%} [22%] (18%) {+32%}
• Mitt Romney 48% [55%] (48%) {44%} [49%] (49%) {56%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [46%] (49%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {58%} [59%] (54%) / 20% [19%] (21%) {18%} [20%] (25%) {17%} [15%] (15%) {16%} [22%](16%){20%}[22%](20%){22%}[18%](19%) {+28%}
• Glenn Beck 61% / 15% {+46%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 30% [29%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [37%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {32%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [35%] (34%) / 39% [42%] (34%) {42%} [36%] (49%) {48%} [29%] (38%) {44%} [37%](37%){41%}[36%](39%){40%}[42%](44%) {-9%}
• Mike Huckabee 25% [21%] (23%) {22%} [20%] (22%) {22%} [28%] (21%) {22%} [25%] (24%) {29%} [40%] (34%){33%}[40%](36%) / 39% [37%] (32%) {35%} [35%] (37%) {44%} [29%] (37%) {43%}[45%](34%){43%}[30%](36%){38%}[36%](41%) {-14%}
• Newt Gingrich 17% [19%] (19%) {19%} [18%] (18%) [24%] (24%) {23%} [21%] (23%) / 63% [59%] (53%) {55%} [59%] (64%) [49%] (52%) {53%} [58%] (60%) {-46%}
• Sarah Palin 20% [23%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {23%} [23%] (26%) {23%} [23%] (22%) {20%} [29%] (33%) {33%} [29%] (28%) / 70% [67%] (67%) {67%} [72%] (71%) {64%} [63%] (68%) {70%} [62%] (66%){71%}[58%](58%){58%}[64%](67%) {-50%}
• Glenn Beck 13% / 53% {-40%}

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 35% [32%] (36%) {25%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {40%} [34%] (34%) {41%} [47%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (47%) / 35% [36%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [30%] (33%) {38%}[45%](35%){40%}[28%](32%){39%}[33%](36%) {0%}
• Mitt Romney 37% [40%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (34%) {37%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {34%} [42%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (45%) / 40% [37%] (36%) {39%} [41%] (49%) {38%} [29%] (35%) {37%} [41%] (35%) {43%} [37%](38%){38%}[34%](39%) {-3%}
• Sarah Palin 41% [40%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {45%} [37%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (46%) <48%> / 48% [49%] (54%) {50%} [56%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {54%} [46%] (43%) {45%} [46%](49%) <38%> {-7%}
• Newt Gingrich 36% [37%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (37%) [38%] (44%) / 46% [47%] (45%) {46%} [50%] (51%) [41%] (37%) {-10%}
• Glenn Beck 36% / 40% {-4%}

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 34% [33%] (38%) {30%} [35%] (32%) {27%} [35%] (34%) {32%} [37%] (32%) {35%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (37%) / 29% [33%] (23%) {28%} [24%] (26%) {38%} [22%] (27%) {32%} [29%] (23%) {33%}[28%](34%){30%}[32%](32%) {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 31% [30%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [35%] (31%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [33%] (34%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 32% [38%] (29%) {34%} [31%] (35%) {40%} [27%] (30%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [32%](36%){34%} [38%] (32%) {-1%}
• Sarah Palin 37% [35%] (37%) {30%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (43%) {37%} [42%] (32%) {36%} [37%] (45%) {40%} [36%] (39%) <29%> / 56% [57%] (50%) {55%} [56%] (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {55%} [51%] (46%) {53%} [53%] (49%) <61%> {-19%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% [26%] (32%) {23%} [28%] (31%) [28%] (28%) / 53% [49%] (39%) {46%} [47%] (43%) [42%] (46%) {-28%}
• Glenn Beck 27% / 42% {-15%}

Survey of 590 American voters was conducted September 10-13, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% [39%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [40%] {38%} (36%) [39%] Democrat; 36% [35%] (34%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {33%} [34%] {34%} (35%) [34%] Republican; 23% [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [26%] {28%} (29%) [27%] Independent/Other. Political views: 42% [42%] (38%) {44%} [44%] (37%) {47%} [48%] {40%} (47%) [41%] Moderate; 39% [39%] (43%) {38%} [38%] (42%) {35%} [35%] {41%} (39%) [41%] Conservative; 19% [19%] (19%) {18%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [16%] {19%} (14%) [18%] Liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-18, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2009 are in angle brackets.