Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 46% {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 44% {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 47% {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 51% {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 49% {52%} [52%]

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 48% {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 49% {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {-1%}
• Meg Whitman 45% {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 50% {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-5%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 39% {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 18% {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 7% {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 35% {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 5% {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 26% {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 32% {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 34% {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted September 20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 39% Democrat; 37% Republican; 24% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Both Whitman and Brown are backed by 80% of voters in their respective parties. Brown holds a 46% to 41% edge among voters not affiliated with either major political party.