Poll Watch: Rasmussen Maryland Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Maryland Gubernatorial Survey

• Martin O’Malley (D) 49% [45%] (46%) {45%} [47%] (49%)
• Bob Ehrlich (R) 45% [44%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%)

With Leaners

• Martin O’Malley (D) 50% [47%]
• Bob Ehrlich (R) 47% [47%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Martin O'Malley (D) 52% [52%]
• Bob Ehrlich (R) 48% [48%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bob Ehrlich 58% [56%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (55%) / 38% [38%] (37%) {42%} [39%] (36%) {+20%}
• Martin O’Malley 54% [55%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (54%) / 43% [42%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (40%) {+11%}

How would you rate the job Martin O’Malley has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 25% [27%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (18%)
• Somewhat approve 26% [27%] (29%) {34%} [28%] (35%)
• Somewhat disapprove 16% [19%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (19%)
• Strongly disapprove 30% [26%] (30%) {26%} [29%] (23%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 42% [41%] (42%) {39%} [44%] (38%)
• Somewhat approve 14% [15%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (21%)
• Somewhat disapprove 6% [7%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (8%)
• Strongly disapprove 36% [38%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (32%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 15, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 52% Democrat; 28% Republican; 21% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 8, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 20, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

While 84% of Republicans back Ehrlich, 76% of Democrats put their vote behind O’Malley. Ehrlich leads O’Malley 63% to 36% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.