Poll Watch: Rasmussen Missouri Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 50% [51%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [44%] (46%) 
• Robin Carnahan (D) 41% [40%] (40%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [46%] (46%)

With Leaners

• Roy Blunt (R) 52% [53%] (54%)
• Robin Carnahan (D) 44% [43%] (41%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Roy Blunt (R) 57% [55%] (60%)
• Robin Carnahan (D) 43% [45%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Roy Blunt 53% [52%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (55%) {54%} [54%] (56%) {49%} [56%] (54%) {56%} [50%] (57%) / 42% [42%] (37%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {33%} [38%] (36%) {43%} [37%] (40%) {34%} [43%] (33%) {+10%} 
• Robin Carnahan 45% [43%] (42%) {45%} [48%] (50%) {51%} [52%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [51%] (52%) / 52% [54%] (53%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (42%) {-7%}

How would you rate the job Jay Nixon has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 15% [13%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (14%) {18%} [18%] (15%) {14%} [18%] (15%) [17%} [16%] 
• Somewhat approve 38% [42%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [47%] 
• Somewhat disapprove 28% [26%] (30%) {27%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (29%) {23%} [20%] 
• Strongly disapprove 15% [14%] (13%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {9%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (12%) {11%} [13%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 31% [25%] (23%) {29%} [31%] (27%) {33%} [28%] (28%) {22%} [26%] (25%) {27%} [29%] (30%) 
• Somewhat approve 15% [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (18%) {14%} [18%] (14%) {18%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [18%] (14%) 
• Somewhat disapprove 6% [9%] (9%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {13%} [11%] (10%) [12%} [10%] (12%) 
• Strongly disapprove 47% [49%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (49%) [46%} [43%] (44%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage.  Party ID breakdown: 39% Republican; 39% Democrat; 22% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-eight (88%) of Missouri Republicans back Blunt, while 86% of the state’s Democrats give their vote to Carnahan. Blunt leads Carnahan 59% to 33% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.