Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

Rasmussen West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey
  • John Raese (R) 44% [42%] (44%) {42%} [35%]
  • Joe Manchin (D) 43% [47%] (48%) {48%} [51%]
  • Other 5% [2%] (4%) {4%} [5%]
  • Not sure 8% [8%] (5%) {7%} [9%]
With Leaners
  • John Raese (R) 48% [43%] (45%)
  • Joe Manchin (D) 46% [50%] (50%)
  • Other 2% [1%] (2%)
  • Not sure 4% [5%] (3%)
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Joe Manchin (D) 51% [56%] (52%)
  • John Raese (R) 49% [44%] (48%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joe Manchin 70% [71%] (70%) {73%} [74%] (80%) / 26% [27%] (29%) {26%} [24%] (18%) {+44%}
  • John Raese 50% [53%] (54%) {60%} [49%] / 41% [41%] (37%) {31%} [32%] {+9%}
How would you rate the job Joe Manchin has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 32% [36%] (35%) {36%} [38%] (40%)
  • Somewhat approve 37% [33%] (32%) {34%} [33%] (37%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 16% [18%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (14%)
  • Strongly disapprove 14% [12%] (13%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 17% [18%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (18%)
  • Somewhat approve 13% [16%] (14%) {12%} [15%] (17%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 15% [12%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (13%)
  • Strongly disapprove 53% [52%] (53%) {58%} [55%] (51%)
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 46% [45%] Democrat; 37% [37%] Republican; 17% [17%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 19, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Seventy-two percent (72%) of West Virginia Republicans support Raese. Manchin has the support of 66% of the state’s Democrats. Voters not affiliated with either party give a 3-point edge to Manchin.

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