Thursday, September 30, 2010

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Senatorial Survey
  • Kelly Ayotte (R) 50% {45%} [47%] (41%)
  • Paul Hodes (D) 35% {37%} [32%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Judd Gregg 56% {52%} [51%] (54%) / 21% {26%} [25%] (23%) {+35%}
  • Jeanne Shaheen 49% {52%} [47%] (48%) / 35% {35%} [39%] (39%) {+14%}
  • Kelly Ayotte 41% {36%} [38%] (38%) / 29% {27%} [13%] (12%) {+12%}
  • Paul Hodes 29% {32%} [30%] (32%) / 39% {31%} [31%] (27%) {-10%}
Survey of 472 likely voters was conducted September 23-29, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 46% Independent; 30% Republican; 24% Democrat; Party ID breakdown: 42% Republican; 39% Democrat; 19% Independent.  Political ideology: 47% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 19% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ayotte leads Hodes by 58% to 39% among voters who have definitely decided who they will support.

Among likely voters who are very interested in the election, Ayotte holds a 56% to 36% lead.

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