UNH/WMUR New Hampshire Senatorial Survey
- Kelly Ayotte (R) 50% {45%} [47%] (41%)
- Paul Hodes (D) 35% {37%} [32%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Judd Gregg 56% {52%} [51%] (54%) / 21% {26%} [25%] (23%) {+35%}
- Jeanne Shaheen 49% {52%} [47%] (48%) / 35% {35%} [39%] (39%) {+14%}
- Kelly Ayotte 41% {36%} [38%] (38%) / 29% {27%} [13%] (12%) {+12%}
- Paul Hodes 29% {32%} [30%] (32%) / 39% {31%} [31%] (27%) {-10%}
Survey of 472 likely voters was conducted September 23-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party registration breakdown: 46% Independent; 30% Republican; 24% Democrat; Party ID breakdown: 42% Republican; 39% Democrat; 19% Independent. Political ideology: 47% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 19% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 19-27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-21, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Ayotte leads Hodes by 58% to 39% among voters who have definitely decided who they will support.
Among likely voters who are very interested in the election, Ayotte holds a 56% to 36% lead.
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