Poll Watch: Daily Kos/PPP (D) Alaska Senatorial Survey

Daily Kos/PPP (D) Alaska Senatorial Survey

In the election for US Senate will you vote for Democrat Scott McAdams, Republican Joe Miller, or someone else? (If someone else) Are you planning to vote for nonaffiliated candidate Tim Carter, nonaffiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, Libertarian Fredrick Haase, or are you going to write in Lisa Murkowski or are you planning to write in someone else?

• Joe Miller (R) 35% (38%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 33% (34%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 26% (22%)
• Fredrick Haase (L) 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Undecided 4% (6%)

Among Independents

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 38% (38%)
• Joe Miller (R) 29% (33%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 25% (21%)
• Fredrick Haase (L) 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Undecided 5% (7%)

Among Republicans

• Joe Miller (R) 61% (59%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 31% (32%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 4% (5%)
• Fredrick Haase (L) 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Undecided 2% (4%)

Among Democrats

• Scott McAdams (D) 63% (57%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 25% (28%)
• Joe Miller (R) 8% (7%)
• Fredrick Haase (L) 1%
• Undecided 3% (8%)

Among Conservatives

• Joe Miller (R) 66% (69%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 24% (23%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 5% (3%)
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%
• Fredrick Haase (L) 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Undecided 3% (6%)

Among Moderates

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 47% (48%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 30% (29%)
• Joe Miller (R) 15% (16%)
• Fredrick Haase (L) 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Undecided 5% (7%)

Among Men

• Joe Miller (R) 40% (42%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 31% (35%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 23% (19%)
• Fredrick Haase (L) 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Undecided 4% (5%)

Among Women

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 36% (33%)
• Joe Miller (R) 31% (34%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 29% (25%)
• Fredrick Haase (L) 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Undecided 4% (8%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lisa Murkowski?

• Favorable 48%
• Unfavorable 46%

Among Independents

• Favorable 52%
• Unfavorable 41% 

Among Republicans

• Favorable 41%
• Unfavorable 55%

Among Democrats

• Favorable 51%
• Unfavorable 42% 

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 33%
• Unfavorable 62% 

Among Moderates

• Favorable 63%
• Unfavorable 30%

Among Men

• Favorable 43%
• Unfavorable 51%

Among Women

• Favorable 53%
• Unfavorable 41%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Miller?

• Favorable 35% (36%)
• Unfavorable 58% (52%)

Among Independents

• Favorable 28% (32%)
• Unfavorable 65% (54%)

Among Republicans

• Favorable 59% (57%)
• Unfavorable 33% (32%)

Among Democrats

• Favorable 10% (8%)
• Unfavorable 85% (84%)

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 64% (66%)
• Unfavorable 28% (20%)

Among Moderates

• Favorable 17% (15%)
• Unfavorable 77% (72%)

Among Men

• Favorable 38% (40%)
• Unfavorable 56% (48%)

Among Women

• Favorable 32% (33%)
• Unfavorable 61% (55%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott McAdams?

• Favorable 44% (23%)
• Unfavorable 26% (24%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

• Favorable 35%
• Unfavorable 57%

Among Independents

• Favorable 29%
• Unfavorable 63%

Among Republicans

• Favorable 59%
• Unfavorable 30%

Among Democrats

• Favorable 8%
• Unfavorable 86%

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 64%
• Unfavorable 25%

Among Moderates

• Favorable 17%
• Unfavorable 77%

Among Men

• Favorable 37%
• Unfavorable 55%

Among Women

• Favorable 33%
• Unfavorable 59%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 39% (42%)
• Disapprove 48% (50%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 38% (44%)
• Disapprove 55% (53%)

Survey of 1,678 likely voters was conducted October 9-10, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 47% (42%) Independent/Other; 33% (38%) Republican; 20% (20%) Democrat. Political ideology: 43% (44%) Moderate; 41% (42%) Conservative; 16% (14%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2010 are in parentheses.