Poll Watch: Rasmussen Alaska Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Alaska Senatorial Survey

• Joe Miller (R) 35% [42%] {50%}
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 34% [27%]
• Scott McAdams (D) 27% [25%] {44%}
• Other 1% [1%] {4%}
• Not sure 3% [5%] {2%}

Among Republicans

• Joe Miller (R) 55% [65%] {79%}
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 37% [27%]
• Scott McAdams (D) 6% [3%] {15%}
• Other 1% [0%] {5%}
• Not sure 1% [5%] {1%}

Among Independents

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 44% [30%]
• Scott McAdams (D) 28% [32%] {56%}
• Joe Miller (R) 20% [30%] {34%}
• Other 4% [3%] {4%}
• Not sure 5% [5%] {6%}

Among Democrats

• Scott McAdams (D) 78% [74%] {90%}
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 16% [18%]
• Joe Miller (R) 3% [7%] {7%}
• Other 0% [0%] {1%}
• Not sure 4% [2%] {2%}

Among Conservatives

• Joe Miller (R) 59% [71%] {82%}
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 31% [23%]
• Scott McAdams (D) 6% [2%] {13%}
• Other 2% [1%] {3%}
• Not sure 2% [3%] {2%}

Among Moderates

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 50% [34%]
• Scott McAdams (D) 32% [39%] {62%}
• Joe Miller (R) 14% [21%] {28%}
• Other 1% [0%] {7%} 
• Not sure 2% [5%] {4%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 38%
• Joe Miller (R) 37%
• Scott McAdams (D) 25%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott McAdams 50% [36%] {43%} / 41% [46%] {36%} {+9%}
• Lisa Murkowski 53% [55%] / 46% [44%] {+7%}
• Joe Miller 39% [45%] {50%} / 59% [51%] {44%} {-20%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 26% [21%] {31%} [26%] (27%)
• Somewhat approve 15% [21%] {15%} [14%] (12%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% [9%] {7%} [7%] (10%)
• Strongly disapprove 51% [50%] {47%} [51%] (51%)

How would you rate the job Sean Parnell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 18% [20%] {17%} [16%] (20%)
• Somewhat approve 40% [46%] {42%} [45%] (50%)
• Somewhat disapprove 27% [23%] {26%} [25%] (20%)
• Strongly disapprove 12% [10%] {14%} [13%] (9%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 13, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 53% [44%] Republican; 22% [15%] Democrat; 25% [41%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6, 2010 are in parentheses.