Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arizona Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Arizona Senatorial Survey

• John McCain (R) 54% [51%] (53%) {53%} [57%] (54%)
• Rodney Glassman (D) 33% [37%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (32%)
• Some other candidate 8% [7%] (10%) {11%} [9%] (8%)
• Not sure 6% [6%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (6%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John McCain 51% [45%] (53%) {50%} [53%] (52%) / 48% [55%] (43%) {50%} [45%] (46%) {+3}
• Rodney Glassman 34% [33%] (33%) {37%} [28%] (32%) / 45% [41%] (37%) {39%} [41%] (34%) {-11%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% Republican; 30% Democrat; 28% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

McCain is favored by 82% of Republicans.  Just sixty-two percent (62%) of Democrats support Glassman.  Among voters not affiliated with either political party, McCain edges Glassman 45% to 42%.