Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 46% {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 41% {42%} [40%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 48% {50%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 42% {44%} [44%] (46%) {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 51% {53%} [53%] (51%) {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 47% {47%} [47%] (49%) {52%} [52%]

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 49% {52%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 47% {47%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {+2%}
• Meg Whitman 43% {47%} [44%] (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 53% {49%} [50%] (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-10%}

In political terms, please tell me whether Meg Whitman is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 32% (23%)
• Somewhat conservative 37% (36%)
• Moderate 14% (21%)
• Somewhat liberal 5% (6%)
• Very liberal 1% (3%)

In political terms, please tell me whether Jerry Brown is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 4% (6%)
• Somewhat conservative 3% (4%)
• Moderate 20% (18%)
• Somewhat liberal 36% (29%)
• Very liberal 30% (31%)

Would it be more accurate to describe Meg Whitman's views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 46% (44%)
• Extreme 38% (33%)

Would it be more accurate to describe Jerry Brown's views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 46% (42%)
• Extreme 43% (39%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 34% {33%} [32%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 20% {24%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 6% {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 38% {36%} [37%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 5% {4%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 27% {28%} [24%] (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 34% {36%} [31%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 33% {31%} [35%] (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% {43%} [40%] (39%) Democrat; 34% {37%} [36%] (37%) Republican; 24% {20%} [24%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Whitman is backed by 84% of California Republicans, while Brown draws support from 76% of Democrats. Brown holds a 16-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.