Monday, October 04, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Colorado Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Colorado Gubernatorial Survey
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 43% (46%) [36%] {43%} (42%) [46%] {41%}
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 35% (25%) [14%] {18%} (24%)
  • Dan Maes (R) 16% (21%) [24%] {31%} (27%) [43%] {41%}
  • Some other candidate 1% (1%) [6%] {3%} (2%) [5%] {5%}
  • Not sure 5% (6%) [20%] {5%} (5%) [7%] {13%}
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 43%
  • Tom Tancredo (AC) 35%
  • Dan Maes (R) 17%
  • Other 1%
  • Not sure 4% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Hickenlooper 52% (56%) [51%] {52%} (49%) [50%] {53%} (49%) [55%] {55%} (56%) [57%] / 45% (40%) [38%] {43%} (46%) [44%] {42%} (43%) [38%] {36%} (36%) [32%] {+7%}
  • Tom Tancredo 45% (42%) [34%] {38%} (39%) / 47% (51%) [52%] {52%} (51%) {-2%}
  • Dan Maes 29% (34%) [42%] {44%} (39%) [44%] {45%} / 61% (55%) [41%] {42%} (43%) [31%] {25%} {-32%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 38% Republican; 32% Democrat; 30% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8-10, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2009 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2009 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:

Maes currently carries just 30% of the voters in his own party, while Tancredo, a former GOP congressman, picks up 53% Republican support.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Colorado Democrats support Hickenlooper. Among voters not affiliated with either party, 44% favor Hickenlooper to Tancredo’s 38% and Maes’ 12%.

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