Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% {50%} [52%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (53%) {56%} [48%] (52%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {58%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 42% {44%} [43%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (40%) {33%} [45%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (36%) {34%}

With Leaners

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 56% {51%} [54%] (50%) {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% {46%} [43%] (45%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 57% {54%} [56%] (56%) {59%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% {46%} [44%] (44%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 58% {54%} [59%] (61%) {62%} [59%] (61%) {64%} [66%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (70%) / 42% {44%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [39%] (36%) {32%} [32%] (23%) {28%} [26%] (27%) {+16%}
• Linda McMahon 43% {48%} [46%] (56%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {38%} [54%] (55%) {45%} [46%] (51%) / 56% {50%} [52%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [42%] (31%) {45%} [42%] (34%) {-13%}

In political terms, please tell me whether Richard Blumenthal is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 3% [8%]
• Somewhat conservative 6% [10%]
• Moderate 32% [21%] 
• Somewhat liberal 31% [29%]
• Very liberal 23% [18%]

In political terms, please tell me whether Linda McMahon is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 40% [27%]
• Somewhat conservative 38% [32%]
• Moderate 12% [17%]
• Somewhat liberal 3% [6%]
• Very liberal 3% [4%]

Would it be more accurate to describe Richard Blumenthal’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 56% [55%]
• Extreme 32% [29%]

Would it be more accurate to describe Linda McMahon’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream  43% [52%]
• Extreme 48% [36%]

How would you rate the job Jodi Rell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 15% {18%} [17%] (21%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {15%} [20%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 45% {42%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [36%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 27% {24%} [29%] (24%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {24%} [29%] (28%) {20%} [19%] ( 23%)
• Strongly disapprove 13% {15%} [12%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (16%) {21%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [14%] (10%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 37% {33%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {39%} [36%] (44%)
• Somewhat approve 17% {20%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [23%] (22%) {27%} [20%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [21%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 39% {37%} [38%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (37%) {32%} [29%] (32%) {34%} [35%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (30%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% {43%} [40%] (40%) Democrat; 31% {31%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 27% {26%} [29%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10, 2009 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Blumenthal has the backing of 89% of Connecticut Democrats, while 83% of Republicans support McMahon.  The Democratic candidate has a two-point lead among voters not affiliated with either party.