Poll Watch: Rasmussen Kentucky Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Kentucky Senatorial Survey

• Rand Paul (R) 47% (49%) {51%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (59%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (38%)
• Jack Conway (D) 42% (38%) {38%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [41%] (34%) {38%} [36%] (34%) {39%} [38%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rand Paul 51% (56%) {56%} [58%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (69%) {56%} [53%] (57%) {54%} [57%] (51%) / 45% (39%) {39%} [36%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (28%) {31%} [33%] (26%) {26%} [25%] (23%) {+6%}
• Jack Conway 50% (46%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {51%} [47%] (44%) [47%} [44%] (40%) {47%} [46%] (49%) / 48% (45%) {48%} [43%] (40%) {35%} [43%] (45%) {36%} [39%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (27%) {+2%}

Would it be more accurate to describe Rand Paul’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 39% [47%]
• Extreme 44% [34%]

Would it be more accurate to describe Jack Conway’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 46% [43%]
• Extreme 40% [33%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 25% (24%) {22%} [20%] (25%) {24%} [21%] (21%) {28%} [24%] (20%) {28%} [22%] (29%)
• Somewhat approve 14% (16%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {13%} [14%] (17%) {14%} [19%] (18%)
• Somewhat disapprove 9% (7%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {12%} [12%] (12%) {11%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [13%] (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 51% (53%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {46%} [51%] (51%) {48%} [53%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (41%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 18, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 48% (46%) Democrat; 39% (38%) Republican; 13% (16%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 20, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

While 78% of Republicans support Paul, just 69% of Democrats support their party's candidate. Paul holds an 17-point lead over Conway among voters not affiliated with either major political party.