Poll Watch: Rasmussen Minnesota Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Minnesota Gubernatorial Survey

• Mark Dayton (D) 40% [34%] (45%) {40%} [35%] (38%)
• Tom Emmer (R) 38% [36%] (36%) {36%} [37%] (35%)
• Tom Horner (I) 15% [18%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (7%)
• Not sure 5% [8%] (10%) {14%} [16%] (20%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Mark Dayton (D) 47% [47%]
• Tom Emmer (R) 45% [44%]
• Tom Horner (I) 8% [9%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Horner 50% [50%] (35%) / 40% [33%] (36%) {+10%}
• Mark Dayton 50% [48%] (53%) {46%} [48%] (44%) / 47% [46%] (43%) {45%} [39%] (45%) {+3%}
• Tom Emmer 46% [46%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (38%) / 48% [42%] (50%) {40%} [31%] (26%) {-2%}

How would you rate the job Tim Pawlenty has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 24% [24%] (25%) {24%} [22%]
• Somewhat approve 25% [28%] (23%) {25%} [30%]
• Somewhat disapprove 14% [16%] (13%) {17%} [10%]
• Strongly disapprove 34% [31%] (37%) {32%} [36%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 30% [28%] (28%) {32%} [36%] (31%)
• Somewhat approve 20% [20%] (19%) {17%} [17%] (18%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% [9%] (11%) {12%} [12%] (11%)
• Strongly disapprove 41% [43%] (41%) {38%} [34%] (38%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 6, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 38% [36%] Republican; 37% [37%] Democrat; 26% [27%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 10, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Emmer and Dayton receive 82% support from voters in their respective parties. Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, 34% support Dayton, 31% back Horner and 27% put their vote behind Emmer.