Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Wisconsin Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Wisconsin Gubernatorial Survey
  • Scott Walker (R) 50% [46%] (50%) {47%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {46%} [48%] (49%) {48%}
  • Tom Barrett (D) 41% [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (41%) {44%} [42%] (40%) {38%}
With Leaners
  • Scott Walker (R) 51% [50%] (51%)
  • Tom Barrett (D) 42% [44%] (43%)
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • Scott Walker (R) 57% [52%] (55%)
  • Tom Barrett (D) 43% [48%] (45%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Scott Walker 57% [53%] (58%) {55%} [49%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (52%) {48%} [55%] (55%) {56%} / 38% [37%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (36%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {33%} [28%] (29%) {27%} {+19%}
  • Tom Barrett 47% [46%] (52%) {45%} [46%] (50%) {49%} [42%] (48%) {40%} [53%] (49%) {44%} / 48% [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (36%) {46%} [34%] (36%) {41%} {-1%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 11, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% Democrat; 34% Republican; 26% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 10, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 13, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 17, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 26, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-four percent (94%) of Republicans in Wisconsin support Walker.  Barrett draws support from 81% of Democrats.  Among voters not affiliated with either political party, the Republican holds a 16-point lead. 

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