Friday, October 29, 2010

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Oregon Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Oregon Gubernatorial Survey 
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 48% (46%) {43%} [44%] (40%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 41% (45%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
Among Men
  • Chris Dudley (R) 47% (51%) {57%} [44%] (50%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 44% (40%) {38%} [48%] (36%)
Among Women
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 51% (52%) {48%} [41%] (44%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 36% (40%) {42%} [47%] (44%)
Among Democrats
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 82% (76%) {76%} [73%] (70%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 12% (18%) {20%} [19%] (20%)
Among Republicans
  • Chris Dudley (R) 83% (83%) {82%} [84%] (79%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 9% (12%) {10%} [7%] (13%)
Among Independents
  • Chris Dudley (R) 43% (46%) {61%} [45%] (41%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 36% (37%) {28%} [41%] (35%) 
Among Moderates
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 56% (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 34% (41%) {43%} [39%] (34%)
Portland
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 49% (48%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 42% (43%) {46%} [44%] (44%)
Rest of Oregon
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 46% (43%) {38%} [41%] (35%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 40% (49%) {56%} [49%] (53%)
College Grad
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 51% (54%) {46%} [48%] (48%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 41% (38%) {44%} [43%] (46%)
Not a College Grad
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 45% (36%) {41%} [41%] (33%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 41% (54%) {54%} [47%] (49%)
Pro-Choice
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 66% (63%) {65%} [62%] (54%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 26% (30%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
Pro-Life
  • Chris Dudley (R) 70% (75%) {75%} [68%] (71%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 18% (16%) {17%} [19%] (18%) 
Regularly Attend Religious Service
  • Chris Dudley (R) 61% (58%) {61%} [60%] (56%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 36% (33%) {34%} [28%] (37%)
Occasionally Attend Religious Service
  • Chris Dudley (R) 48% (48%) {51%} [49%] (53%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 47% (46%) {36%} [44%] (33%)
Almost Never Attend Religious Service 
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 64% (56%) {58%} [60%] (47%)
  • Chris Dudley (R) 31% (35%) {36%} [31%] (37%)
Already Voted (60%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 51%
  • Chris Dudley (R) 42%
Did Not Vote Yet (40%)
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 43%
  • Chris Dudley (R) 41%
Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?
  • Favorable 28% (29%) {34%} [32%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 39% (42%) {36%} [33%] (32%)
Survey of 580 likely and actual voters was conducted October 23-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% (45%) {44%} [46%] (38%) Democrat; 31% (32%) {32%} [32%] (35%) Republican; 21% (21%) {23%} [20%] (26%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% (36%) {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 32% (33%) {37%} [31%] (34%) Conservative; 23% (25%) {21%} [21%] (18%) Liberal.  Abortion: 60% (62%) {56%} [57%] (57%) Pro-choice; 34% (34%) {42%} [41%] (40%) Pro-life.  Attend Religious Service: 37% (37%) {36%} [37%] (38%) Regularly; 21% (19%) {25%} [22%] (22%) Occasionally; 41% (43%) {39%} [41%] (40%) Almost Never.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2010 are in parentheses.

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