Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Rasmussen West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

Rasmussen West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey
  • John Raese (R) 46% (48%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {42%} [35%]
  • Joe Manchin (D) 44% (41%) {43%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [51%]
  • Other 4% (4%) {5%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [5%]
  • Not sure 7% (8%) {8%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [9%]
With Leaners
  • John Raese (R) 49% (50%) {48%} [43%] (45%)
  • Joe Manchin (D) 46% (44%) {46%} [50%] (50%)
  • Other 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Not sure 3% (5%) {4%} [5%] (3%)
Among Voters Certain of Their Vote
  • John Raese (R) 50% (52%) {49%} [44%] (48%)
  • Joe Manchin (D) 50% (48%) {51%} [56%] (52%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joe Manchin 70% (69%) {70%} [71%] (70%) {73%} [74%] (80%) / 28% (29%) {26%} [27%] (29%) {26%} [24%] (18%) {+42%}
  • John Raese 48% (56%) {50%} [53%] (54%) {60%} [49%] / 49% (40%) {41%} [41%] (37%) {31%} [32%] {-1%}
How would you rate the job Joe Manchin has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 39% (33%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {36%} [38%] (40%)
  • Somewhat approve 33% (36%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {34%} [33%] (37%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 17% (19%) {16%} [18%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (14%)
  • Strongly disapprove 10% (12%) {14%} [12%] (13%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 22% (18%) {17%} [18%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (18%)
  • Somewhat approve 15% (12%) {13%} [16%] (14%) {12%} [15%] (17%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 9% (13%) {15%} [12%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (13%)
  • Strongly disapprove 52% (56%) {53%} [52%] (53%) {58%} [55%] (51%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 12, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 45% (45%) {46%} [45%] Democrat; 38% (38%) {37%} [37%] Republican; 17% (17%) {17%} [17%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8, 2010 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Raese is backed by 76% of West Virginia Republicans, while Manchin is supported by 71% of Democrats. Raese holds a 13-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

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