Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary

PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary
  • Mike Huckabee 25% (20%) {19%} [22%] (29%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% (22%) {19%} [17%] (23%)
  • Newt Gingrich 17% (15%) {23%} [25%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% (15%) {17%} [18%] (32%)
  • Ron Paul 9% {8%} [8%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (3%)
  • Mitch Daniels 3% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 8% (20%)
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 26% (20%) {18%} [23%] (32%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% (23%) {21%} [18%] (27%)
  • Newt Gingrich 20% (17%) {24%} [28%]
  • Ron Paul 9% {7%} [11%]
  • Mitt Romney 9% (14%) {18%} [16%] (30%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 6% (3%)
  • Mitch Daniels 3% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 7% (18%)
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 23% (16%) {22%} [17%] (22%)
  • Sarah Palin 23% (14%) {10%} [14%] (13%)
  • Mitt Romney 13% (23%) {15%} [26%] (40%)
  • Newt Gingrich 12% (10%) {17%} [15%]
  • Ron Paul 11% {9%} [6%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (2%)
  • Mitch Daniels 0% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 13% (25%)
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 25% (19%) {18%} [21%] (27%)
  • Sarah Palin 25% (20%) {16%} [18%] (26%)
  • Newt Gingrich 14% (22%) {29%} [27%]
  • Mitt Romney 11% (15%) {18%} [17%] (33%)
  • Ron Paul 8% {8%} [10%]
  • Mitch Daniels 6% (2%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (4%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 5% (12%)
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 24% (21%) {20%} [22%] (30%)
  • Newt Gingrich 21% (7%) {16%} [22%]
  • Sarah Palin 17% (23%) {23%} [16%] (21%)
  • Ron Paul 10% {7%} [11%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% (16%) {16%} [19%] (31%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 6% (2%)
  • Mitch Daniels 1% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% (28%)
If the Republican candidates for President next year were Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
  • Mike Huckabee 24% [18%]
  • Newt Gingrich 17% [23%]
  • Sarah Palin 17% [17%]
  • Ron Paul 10% [8%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% [14%]
  • Rick Perry 9% [8%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 4%
  • Mitch Daniels 3%
  • Someone else/Undecided 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 71% / 15% {+56%}
  • Sarah Palin 69% / 24% {+45%}
  • Rick Perry 65% / 26% {+39%}
  • Newt Gingrich 60% / 22% {+38%}
  • Mitt Romney 52% / 27% {+25%}
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 77% / 9% {+68%}
  • Sarah Palin 77% / 15% {+62%}
  • Rick Perry 70% / 19% {+51%}
  • Newt Gingrich 67% / 16% {+51%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 25% {+29%}
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 60% / 25% {+35%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 29% {+25%}
  • Rick Perry 52% / 42% {+10%}
  • Newt Gingrich 44% / 37% {+7%}
  • Sarah Palin 45% / 51% {-6%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 71% / 20% {+51%}
  • Sarah Palin 71% / 24% {+47%}
  • Rick Perry 64% / 29% {+35%}
  • Newt Gingrich 62% / 28% {+34%}
  • Mitt Romney 52% / 35% {+17%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 70% / 10% {+60%}
  • Sarah Palin 67% / 25% {+42%}
  • Rick Perry 65% / 23% {+42%}
  • Newt Gingrich 59% / 17% {+42%}
  • Mitt Romney 51% / 21% {+30%}
Survey of 400 usual Texas Republican primary voters was conducted January 14-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 75% {75%} [77%] (73%) Conservative; 21% {23%} [22%] (25%) Moderate; 4% {3%} [2%] (2%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 26-28, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Aron,
Do you still have that link that rated how the polling companies did for the midterm elections? I've been looking for the one you posted at ROS that only showed a few of the polling companies. I think it said the PPP leaned around 3 points in the Dems favor; but don't remember exactly how it ranked compared to the other polling companies.

Thank you.

Donna

Argo Journal said...

Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly -- by Nate Silver

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/?hp

Should 2010's "most accurate pollsters" pay for their earlier sins? -- by Steve Singiser

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/11/7/918497/-Should-2010s-most-accurate-pollsters-pay-for-their-earlier-sins

Anonymous said...

Aron,
Thank you. That is what I was looking for.

Donna