Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 47% [49%] (48%) {44%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [52%] (49%)
  • Mike Huckabee 44% [44%] (45%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [39%] (42%)
  • Barack Obama 46% [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% [43%] (46%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [35%] (39%)
  • Barack Obama 49% [51%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {47%} [49%] (45%) [49%] (50%) {49%} [53%] (52%)
  • Newt Gingrich 40% [39%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {39%} [42%] (45%) [41%] (42%) {41%} [36%] (39%)
  • Barack Obama 52% [55%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (46%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {52%} [56%] (53%) <55%>
  • Sarah Palin 40% [38%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (45%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {44%} [43%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (41%) <35%>
  • Barack Obama 48% {46%}
  • Ron Paul 39% {36%}
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Donald Trump 34%
  • Barack Obama 50% {50%}
  • Jeb Bush 36% {37%}
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 47% [47%] (46%) {38%} [46%] (40%) {36%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (38%) {49%} [49%] (43%) {46%} [42%] (44%) {40%} [55%] (53%)
  • Mike Huckabee 42% [44%] (44%) {43%} [38%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (41%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {33%} [41%] (43%) {46%} [35%] (37%)
  • Barack Obama 46% [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (35%) {33%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {35%} [55%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% [46%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (48%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {37%} [42%] (40%) {35%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [30%] (35%)
  • Barack Obama 50% [46%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (39%) {34%} [48%] (44%) [45%] (46%) {41%} [54%] (54%)
  • Newt Gingrich 35% [40%] (44%) {37%} [36%] (50%) {42%} [34%] (40%) [38%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (38%)
  • Barack Obama 58% [51%] (53%) {48%} [52%] (42%) {40%} [50%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (42%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [52%] (51%) <46%>
  • Sarah Palin 34% [38%] (41%) {34%} [39%] (47%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (41%) {41%} [37%] (44%) <42%>
  • Barack Obama 43% {28%}
  • Ron Paul 37% {46%}
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Donald Trump 31%
  • Barack Obama 54% {51%}
  • Jeb Bush 27% {32%}
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Independent vote (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Independent vote.

Among Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee 81% [80%] (87%) {84%} [86%] (85%) {81%} [84%] (86%) {82%} [81%] (82%) {83%} [87%] (79%) {77%} [80%] (76%) {79%} [74%] (77%)
  • Barack Obama 8% [11%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [5%] (10%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
  • Mitt Romney 77% [78%] (87%) {82%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [80%] (77%) {78%} [83%] (77%) {72%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [66%] (71%)
  • Barack Obama 7% [12%] (9%) {7%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {19%} [18%] (16%)
  • Newt Gingrich 77% [72%] (81%) {80%} [84%] (83%) {73%} [82%] (82%) [76%] (80%) {76%} [73%] (75%)
  • Barack Obama 9% [14%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {11%} [10%] (6%) [13%] (11%) {16%} [16%] (14%)
  • Sarah Palin 72% [69%] (79%) {81%} [81%] (81%) {78%} [81%] (85%) {82%} [78%] (77%) {80%} [84%] (77%) {70%} [74%] (79%) {72%} [65%] (71%) <66%>
  • Barack Obama 12% [20%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (8%) {10%} [14%] (14%) {12%} [7%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (14%) {18%} [27%] (21%) <17%>
  • Ron Paul 71% {64%}
  • Barack Obama 10% {10%}
  • Jeb Bush 69% {70%}
  • Barack Obama 12% {16%}
  • Donald Trump 60%
  • Barack Obama 12%
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 90% of the Republican vote (32% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 93% of the Republican vote.

Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 82% [86%] (83%) {79%} [83%] (82%) {81%} [80%] (84%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {77%} [84%] (79%) {78%} [80%] (81%) {81%} [81%] (77%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% [10%] (11%) {17%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%) {15%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (17%)
  • Barack Obama 82% [86%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (80%) {82%} [80%] (86%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [86%] (82%) {78%} [81%] (77%) {79%} [81%] (77%)
  • Mitt Romney 10% [8%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (7%) {14%} [11%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (14%)
  • Barack Obama 86% [89%] (84%) {83%} [85%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (87%) {78%} [81%] (88%) {82%} [89%] (86%) {83%} [84%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (81%) <89%>
  • Sarah Palin 13% [9%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (14%) {11%} [15%] (10%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {15%} [10%] (12%) {13%} [10%] (15%) {15%} [14%] (15%) <7%>
  • Barack Obama 86% [88%] (84%) {81%} [86%] (83%) {83%} [82%] (86%) [82%] (84%)
  • Newt Gingrich 8% [8%] (10%) {15%} [8%] (12%) {10%} [12%] (11%) [12%] (12%)
  • Barack Obama 82%
  • Donald Trump 11%
  • Barack Obama 84% {79%}
  • Jeb Bush 10% {13%}
  • Barack Obama 86% {85%}
  • Ron Paul 10% {9%}
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 10% of the Democratic vote (39% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 11% of the Democratic vote.

Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 63% [64%] (62%) {57%} [59%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (64%) {59%} [57%] (61%) {63%} [62%] (61%) {58%} [56%] (58%) {64%} [66%] (65%)
  • Mike Huckabee 26% [25%] (28%) {31%} [29%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (26%) {30%} [30%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (32%) {28%} [25%] (26%)
  • Barack Obama 63% [62%] (60%) {59%} [55%] (55%) {58%} [59%] (62%) {55%} [54%] (58%) {65%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [64%] (63%)
  • Mitt Romney 21% [28%] (33%) {31%} [29%] (33%) {26%} [30%] (27%) {31%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [31%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (32%) {28%} [24%] (26%)
  • Barack Obama 68% [66%] (64%) {62%} [62%] (58%) {61%} [65%] (66%) [60%] (61%)
  • Newt Gingrich 19% [22%] (26%) {28%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (25%) [28%] (30%)
  • Barack Obama 72% [73%] (70%) {65%} [62%] (62%) {66%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [63%] (66%) {69%} [65%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (62%) {68%} [71%] (65%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% [20%] (22%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (24%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {23%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [22%] (30%)
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Donald Trump 22%
  • Barack Obama 64% {61%}  
  • Ron Paul 19% {24%}
  • Barack Obama 67% {63%}
  • Jeb Bush 18% {23%}
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Moderate vote (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Moderate vote.

Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 47% [46%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [38%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 42% [44%] (43%) {40%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (46%) {39%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (46%{46%} [49%] (49%)
  • Mike Huckabee 49% [46%] (52%) {52%} [48%] (44%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [44%] (47%) {52%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [41%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 45% [45%] (43%) {38%} [43%] (48%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [46%] (44%) {42%} [49%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [50%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 45% [45%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [48%] (46%) [45%] (44%) {46%} [50%] (48%)
  • Newt Gingrich 44% [44%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (46%) [46%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 47% [48%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [50%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (50%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (49%) <45%>
  • Sarah Palin 46% [43%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {48%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (47%) {44%} [41%] (47%) <43%>
  • Barack Obama 43% {43%}
  • Ron Paul 43% {41%}
  • Barack Obama 46% {48%}
  • Jeb Bush 42% {42%}
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Donald Trump 39%
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Male vote (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 55% of the Male vote.

Among Women
  • Barack Obama 49% [55%] (53%) {49%} [51%] (42%) {48%} [48%] (45%) {50%} [46%] (44%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (53%) {54%} [54%] (52%)
  • Mike Huckabee 40% [41%] (40%) {43%} [41%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (46%) {38%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [36%] (37%)
  • Barack Obama 51% [54%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (42%) {48%} [47%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {52%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [56%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% [39%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (48%) {39%} [41%] (44%) {39%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [44%] (36%) {34%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [31%] (34%)
  • Barack Obama 53% [57%] (54%) {52%} [52%] (43%) {50%} [49%] (45%) [53%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (56%)
  • Newt Gingrich 36% [34%] (37%) {38%} [38%] (47%) {35%} [39%] (43%) [35%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (33%)
  • Barack Obama 56% [62%] (56%) {53%} [55%] (44%) {52%} [52%] (46%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [51%] (54%) {55%} [56%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (56%) <65%>
  • Sarah Palin 33% [32%] (36%) {40%} [40%] (47%) {38%} [41%] (45%) {35%} [41%] (41%) {41%} [45%] (37%) {36%} [35%] (40%) {36%} [34%] (36%) <26%>
  • Barack Obama 53% {50%}
  • Ron Paul 34% {31%}
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Donald Trump 29%
  • Barack Obama 55% {52%}
  • Jeb Bush 30% {34%}
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Female vote.


If George W. Bush was allowed to seek another term as President next year and the candidates were him and Barack Obama, who would you vote for?
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • George W. Bush 44%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • George W. Bush 38%
Among Republicans
  • George W. Bush 81%
  • Barack Obama 8%
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 83%
  • George W. Bush 14%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 66%
  • George W. Bush 26%
Among Men
  • George W. Bush 49%
  • Barack Obama 44%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • George W. Bush 40%
If the choices for president next year were Democrat Barack Obama and a conservative Republican candidate endorsed by the Tea Party, who would you vote for?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Conservative Tea Party Republican 45%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Conservative Tea Party Republican 43%
If the choices for president next year were Democrat Barack Obama and a moderate Republican candidate, who would you vote for?
  • Moderate Republican 46%
  • Barack Obama 44%
Among Independents
  • Moderate Republican 47%
  • Barack Obama 40%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 36% [37%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (37%) {27%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [36%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (42%) / 30% [38%] (40%) {32%} [34%] (28%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {36%} [26%] (29%) {35%} [37%] (29%) {36%} [28%] (33%) {34%} [32%] (34%) {+6%}
  • Mitt Romney 33% [36%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [37%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (40%) / 42% [40%] (42%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {36%} [36%] (42%) {39%} [28%] (32%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {38%} [34%] (37%){36%} [36%] (35%) {-9%}
  • Sarah Palin 34% [35%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (42%) <39%> / 56% [58%] (55%) {52%} [54%] (52%) {53%} [56%] (52%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {55%} [49%] (45%) {49%} [50%] (49%) <50%> {-22%}
  • Newt Gingrich 27% [31%] (33%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {28%} [29%] (34%) [33%] (36%) {35%} [30%] (36%) / 52% [52%] (53%) {50%} [48%] (42%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [42%] (42%) {46%} [47%] (44%) {-25%}
  • John McCain 40% / 46% {-6%}
  • George W. Bush 41% / 49% {-8%}
  • Jeb Bush 29% {22%} / 37% {45%} {-8%}
  • Ron Paul 24% {22%} / 45% {36%} {-21%}
  • Donald Trump 27% / 56% {-29%}
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 30% [39%] (36%) {32%} [24%] (37%) {24%} [30%] (29%) {31%} [38%] (38%) {34%} [32%] (34%) {32%} [48%] (44%) {46%} [44%] (37%) / 35% [35%] (42%) {37%} [38%] (31%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {31%} [20%] (30%) {41%} [41%] (27%) {38%} [24%] (30%) {31%} [36%] (36%) {-5%}
  • Mitt Romney 28% [43%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (30%) {37%} [44%] (41%) {28%} [31%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {40%} [37%] (36%) / 42% [31%] (46%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (41%) {34%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [37%] (28%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {33%} [42%] (39%) {-14%}
  • Newt Gingrich 20% [28%] (31%) {21%} [24%] (32%) {27%} [27%] (29%) [34%] (31%) / 60% [51%] (54%) {56%} [51%] (40%) {43%} [51%] (51%) [45%] (44%) {-40%}
  • Sarah Palin 23% [36%] (37%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {33%} [33%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (45%) {44%} [34%] (38%) <47%> / 65% [56%] (58%) {58%} [56%] (48%) {49%} [60%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {54%} [49%] (48%) {59%} [49%] (43%) {42%} [58%] (51%) <43%> {-42%}
  • Jeb Bush 28% {19%} / 39% {42%} {-11%}
  • Ron Paul 29% {35%} / 41% {25%} {-12%}
  • John McCain 32% / 49% {-17%}
  • Donald Trump 30% / 52% {-22%}
  • George W. Bush 26% / 57% {-31%}
Among Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee 59% [60%] (68%) {56%} [59%] (63%) {50%} [57%] (55%) {55%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [65%] (56%) {70%} [66%] (66%) {70%} [64%] (67%) / 10% [17%] (18%) {14%} [15%] (11%) {18%} [14%] (10%) {17%} [14%] (17%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (19%) {17%} [20%] (18%) {+49%}
  • Sarah Palin 65% [59%] (67%) {69%} [71%] (68%) {66%} [67%] (71%) {69%} [72%] (71%) {73%} [75%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (76%) {75%} [76%] (76%) <69%> / 21% [32%] (25%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {19%} [23%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {18%} [15%] (18%) {22%} [16%] (19%) {20%} [15%](18%) <17%> {+44%}
  • Newt Gingrich 54% [55%] (58%) {54%} [61%] (60%) {50%} [55%] (62%) [56%] (65%) / 23% [26%] (27%) {23%} [21%] (17%) {22%} [19%] (17%) [21%] (17%) {+31%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% [50%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (54%) {49%} [55%] (52%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (54%) {63%} [67%] (60%) / 23% [30%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [17%] (25%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {15%} [19%] (20%) {21%} [18%] (25%) {21%} [17%] (21%) {+31%}
  • George W. Bush 81% / 13% {+68%}
  • Jeb Bush 51% {43%} / 9% {17%} {+42%}
  • John McCain 57% / 30% {+27%}
  • Ron Paul 34% {25%} / 33% {25%} {+1%}
  • Donald Trump 31% / 53% {-22%}
Among Democrats
  • Mike Huckabee 18% [15%] (15%) {17%} [13%] (15%) {12%} [15%] (12%) {13%} [16%] (11%) {17%} [13%] (14%) {13%} [26%] (22%) {21%} [27%] (25%) / 47% [59%] (57%) {44%} [50%] (40%) {42%} [42%] (51%) {52%} [40%] (40%) {48%} [56%] (42%) {55%} [43%] (46%) {50%} [40%] (45%) {-29%}
  • Mitt Romney 16% [20%] (19%) {15%} [16%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (15%) {10%} [15%] (12%) {18%} [14%] (15%) {15%} [23%] (20%) {24%} [20%] (27%) / 58% [55%] (59%) {49%} [53%] (45%) {53%} [51%] (60%) {56%} [44%] (47%) {53%} [56%] (48%) {55%} [49%] (52%) {49%} [49%] (45%) {-42%}
  • Newt Gingrich 6% [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [7%] (9%) [13%] (13%) / 76% [75%] (74%) {71%} [71%] (66%) {66%} [72%] (74%) [57%] (61%) {-70%}
  • Sarah Palin 12% [11%] (14%) {13%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [13%] (9%) {12%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [17%] (18%) <11%> / 85% [83%] (79%) {80%} [83%] (86%) {81%} [82%] (87%) {72%} [74%] (80%) {76%} [78%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (67%) {76%} [74%] (73%) <78%> {-73%}
  • John McCain 28% / 60% {-32%}
  • Donald Trump 21% / 61% {-40%}
  • Ron Paul 13% {14%} / 58% {52%} {-45%}
  • Jeb Bush 10% {6%} / 63% {71%} {-53%}
  • George W. Bush 11% / 79% {-68%}
    Among Moderates
    • Mike Huckabee 23% [23%] (24%) {25%} [21%] (23%) {22%} [20%] (22%) {22%} [28%] (21%) {22%} [25%] (24%) {29%} [40%] (34%) {33%} [40%] (36%) / 32% [48%] (48%) {39%} [37%] (32%) {35%} [35%] (37%) {44%} [29%] (37%) {43%} [45%] (34%) {43%} [30%] (36%) {38%} [36%] (41%) {-9%}
    • Mitt Romney 23% [31%] (33%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [37%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {32%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [35%] (34%) / 41% [42%] (45%) {39%} [42%] (34%) {42%} [36%] (49%) {48%} [29%] (38%) {44%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [36%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {-18%}
    • Newt Gingrich 10% [18%] (18%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {19%} [18%] (18%) [24%] (24%) {23%} [21%] (23%) / 63% [65%] (67%) {63%} [59%] (53%) {55%} [59%] (64%) [49%] (52%) {53%} [58%] (60%) {-53%}
    • Sarah Palin 19% [18%] (19%) {20%} [23%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {23%} [23%] (26%) {23%} [23%] (22%) {20%} [29%] (33%) {33%} [29%] (28%) / 72% [77%] (73%) {70%} [67%] (67%) {67%} [72%] (71%) {64%} [63%] (68%) {70%} [62%] (66%) {71%} [58%] (58%) {58%} [64%] (67%) {-53%}
    • John McCain 39% / 43% {-4%}
    • Donald Trump 30% / 49% {-19%}
    • Ron Paul 19% {20%} / 41% {38%} {-22%}
    • Jeb Bush 21% {13%} / 43% {56%} {-22%}
    • George W. Bush 26% / 63% {-37%}
    Among Men
    • Mike Huckabee 39% [40%] (42%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {25%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {40%} [34%] (34%) {41%} [47%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (47%) / 32% [41%] (40%) {35%} [36%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [30%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (35%) {40%} [28%] (32%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {+7%}
    • Mitt Romney 39% [40%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (34%) {37%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {34%} [42%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (45%) / 43% [42%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (36%) {39%} [41%] (49%) {38%} [29%] (35%) {37%} [41%] (35%) {43%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (39%) {-4%}
    • Sarah Palin 40% [37%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {45%} [37%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (46%) <48%> / 50% [54%] (51%) {48%} [49%] (54%) {50%} [56%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {54%} [46%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (49%) <38%> {-10%}
    • Newt Gingrich 34% [36%] (40%) {36%} [37%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (37%) [38%] (44%) / 51% [50%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [50%] (51%) [41%] (37%) {-17%}
    • George W. Bush 44% / 45% {-1%}
    • Jeb Bush 33% {25%} / 36% {46%} {-3%}
    • John McCain 40% / 48% {-8%}
    • Ron Paul 25% {26%} / 50% {36%} {-25%}
    • Donald Trump 28% / 58% {-30%}
    Among Women
    • Mike Huckabee 33% [34%] (35%) {34%} [33%] (38%) {30%} [35%] (32%) {27%} [35%] (34%) {32%} [37%] (32%) {35%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (37%) / 29% [35%] (40%) {29%} [33%] (23%) {28%} [24%] (26%) {38%} [22%] (27%) {32%} [29%] (23%) {33%} [28%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (32%) {+4%}
    • Mitt Romney 27% [32%] (34%) {31%} [30%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [35%] (31%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [33%] (34%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 40% [38%] (42%) {32%} [38%] (29%) {34%} [31%] (35%) {40%} [27%] (30%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {34%} [38%] (32%) {-13%}
    • Newt Gingrich 21% [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (32%) {23%} [28%] (31%) [28%] (28%) / 54% [53%] (57%) {53%} [49%] (39%) {46%} [47%] (43%) [42%] (46%) {-33%}
    • Sarah Palin 29% [32%] (34%) {37%} [35%] (37%) {30%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (43%) {37%} [42%] (32%) {36%} [37%] (45%) {40%} [36%] (39%) <29%> / 62% [63%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [56%] (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {55%} [51%] (46%) {53%} [53%] (49%) <61%> {-33%}
    • John McCain 39% / 44% {-5%}
    • Jeb Bush 26% {19%} / 38% {44%} {-12%}
    • Ron Paul 23% {18%} / 40% {37%} {-17%}
    • George W. Bush 37% / 53% {-16%}
    • Donald Trump 25% / 55% {-30%}
    Survey of 600 registered American voters was conducted February 11-14, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% [40%] (42%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [40%] {38%} (36%) [39%] Democrat; 38% [37%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {33%} [34%] {34%} (35%) [34%] Republican; 20% [23%] (23%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [26%] {28%} (29%) [27%] Independent/Other. Political views: 30% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll onducted October 16-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-18, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2009 are in angle brackets.

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