Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Republican Nomination Survey 

• Mike Huckabee 19% {21%} (21%) [14%] {24%} (17%)
• Mitt Romney 18% {18%} (20%) [21%] {20%} (22%)
• Newt Gingrich 14% {10%} (12%) [15%] {14%} (8%)
• Sarah Palin 12% {19%} (14%) [18%] {15%} (18%)
• Donald Trump 10%
• Ron Paul 8% {7%} (7%) [10%] {8%} (8%)
• Mitch Daniels 3% {3%}
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%} (5%)
• Rick Santorum 3% {1%} (2%) [2%] {3%} (5%)
• Haley Barbour 1% {3%} (3%) [3%] {1%} (1%)
• Someone else (vol.) 4% {5%} (7%) [6%] {5%} (8%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% {4%} (4%) [0%] {5%} (2%)
• No opinion 2% {2%} (6%) [4%] {1%} (3%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 18% {18%} (21%) [20%]
• Mike Huckabee 18% {24%} (21%) [17%]
• Newt Gingrich 15% {9%} (14%) [15%]
• Sarah Palin 14% {17%} (16%) [21%]
• Donald Trump 8%
• Ron Paul 7% {7%} (4%) [7%]
• Tim Pawlenty 4% {4%} (3%) [2%]
• Mitch Daniels 3% {4%}
• Rick Santorum 3% {1%} (3%) [3%]
• Haley Barbour 2% {6%} (3%) [3%]
• Someone else (vol.) 4% {4%} (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% {3%} (2%)
• No opinion 2% {1%} (6%)

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 22% {18%} (20%) [9%]
• Mitt Romney 17% {19%} (19%) [23%]
• Newt Gingrich 14% {13%} (9%) [14%]
• Donald Trump 13%
• Ron Paul 11% {8%} (11%) [14%]
• Sarah Palin 7% {22%} (11%) [12%]
• Mitch Daniels 4% {2%}
• Rick Santorum 2% {1%} (1%) [2%]
• Tim Pawlenty 2% {3%} (3%) [5%]
• Haley Barbour 1% {1%} (2%) [2%]
• Someone else (vol.) 4% {5%} (10%)
• None/No one (vol.) 1% {4%} (7%)
• No opinion 2% {3%} (5%)

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 21% {18%} (21%) [11%]
• Newt Gingrich 16% {12%} (13%) [17%]
• Mitt Romney 15% {20%} (23%) [23%]
• Ron Paul 10% {10%} (9%) [13%]
• Donald Trump 9%
• Sarah Palin 8% {12%} (12%) [16%]
• Mitch Daniels 4% {5%}
• Tim Pawlenty 4% {5%} (4%) [3%]
• Rick Santorum 2% {1%} (2%) [2%]
• Haley Barbour 1% {4%} (3%) [4%]

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 20% {17%} (17%) [19%]
• Mike Huckabee 17% {24%} (20%) [18%]
• Sarah Palin 16% {26%} (17%) [20%]
• Newt Gingrich 12% {9%} (9%) [13%]
• Donald Trump 10%
• Ron Paul 7% {5%} (4%) [6%]
• Rick Santorum 3% {1%} (3%) [2%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {2%} (2%) [4%]
• Mitch Daniels 2% {1%}
• Haley Barbour 2% {3%} (3%) [1%]

Attended College

• Mike Huckabee 19% {21%} (18%) [15%]
• Mitt Romney 18% {20%} (25%) [28%]
• Newt Gingrich 15% {12%} (14%) [16%]
• Ron Paul 10% {8%} (6%) [9%]
• Donald Trump 7%
• Sarah Palin 7% {13%} (9%) [13%]
• Mitch Daniels 5% {4%}
• Rick Santorum 3% {2%} (3%) [2%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {4%} (4%) [3%]
• Haley Barbour 2% {2%} (2%) [2%]

No College

• Sarah Palin 19% {27%} (20%) [24%]
• Mike Huckabee 19% {22%} (24%) [13%]
• Mitt Romney 17% {16%} (13%) [12%]
• Donald Trump 14%
• Newt Gingrich 13% {9%} (9%) [14%]
• Ron Paul 7% {7%} (7%) [10%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% {3%} (1%) [4%]
• Rick Santorum 1% {0%} (2%) [2%]
• Haley Barbour 0% {5%} (4%) [4%]
• Mitch Daniels 0% {1%}

Income $50K+

• Mike Huckabee 19% {20%} (17%) [16%]
• Mitt Romney 17% {19%} (31%) [29%]
• Newt Gingrich 12% {11%} (13%) [12%]
• Donald Trump 9%
• Ron Paul 8% {10%} (6%) [7%]
• Sarah Palin 8% {16%} (9%) [12%]
• Mitch Daniels 5% {4%}
• Tim Pawlenty 5% {4%} (3%) [4%]
• Rick Santorum 3% {1%} (2%) [3%]
• Haley Barbour 2% {2%} (3%) [4%]

Income under $50K

• Mitt Romney 19% {17%} (7%) [12%]
• Mike Huckabee 19% {22%} (27%) [11%]
• Sarah Palin 17% {25%} (18%) [27%]
• Newt Gingrich 16% {10%} (9%) [19%]
• Donald Trump 11%
• Ron Paul 9% {4%} (8%) [11%]
• Rick Santorum 2% {1%} (2%) [2%]
• Tim Pawlenty 2% {2%} (4%) [2%]
• Mitch Daniels 1% {1%}
• Haley Barbour 1% {5%} (3%) [2%]

Who would be your second choice?

• Mike Huckabee 18% {14%}
• Mitt Romney 15% {18%}
• Sarah Palin 12% {19%}
• Newt Gingrich 11% {8%}
• Ron Paul 10% {8%}
• Donald Trump 6%
• Mitch Daniels 4% {4%}
• Tim Pawlenty 4% {5%}
• Rick Santorum 3% {3%}
• Haley Barbour 1% {1%}
• Someone else (vol.) 2% {5%}
• None/ No one (vol.) 9% {7%}
• No opinion 3% {4%}

Survey of 504 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents, was conducted March 11-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.