Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 45% [47%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (46%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [35%] (39%)
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Michele Bachmann 41%
  • Barack Obama 48% [50%] (47%) {48%} (50%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 39% [39%] (33%) {35%} (30%)
  • Barack Obama 48% [48%] (47%)
  • Herman Cain 36% [38%] (29%)
  • Barack Obama 53% [52%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (53%) {52%} [55%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (46%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {52%} [56%] (53%) <55%>
  • Sarah Palin 37% [38%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (45%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {44%} [43%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (41%) <35%>
    Among Independents
    • Mitt Romney 46% [35%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (36%) {39%} [46%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (48%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {37%} [42%] (40%) {35%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [30%] (35%)
    • Barack Obama 37% [52%] (45%) {40%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (35%) {33%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {35%} [55%] (52%)
    • Barack Obama 42% [54%] (48%) {49%} (46%)
    • Tim Pawlenty 41% [30%] (28%) {30%} (29%)
    • Barack Obama 43% [49%] (49%)
    • Herman Cain 38% [28%] (23%)
    • Barack Obama 45%
    • Michele Bachmann 39%
    • Barack Obama 51% [57%] (51%) {52%} [57%] (58%) {58%} [51%] (53%) {48%} [52%] (42%) {40%} [50%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (42%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [52%] (51%) <46%>
    • Sarah Palin 38% [29%] (36%) {33%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [38%] (41%) {34%} [39%] (47%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (41%) {41%} [37%] (44%) <42%>
      Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Independent vote (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Independent vote.

      Among Republicans
      • Mitt Romney 83% [86%] (77%) {81%} [81%] (77%) {77%} [78%] (87%) {82%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [80%] (77%) {78%} [83%] (77%) {72%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [66%] (71%)
      • Barack Obama 8% [9%] (13%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {7%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {19%} [18%] (16%)
      • Michele Bachmann 79%
      • Barack Obama 8%
      • Tim Pawlenty 76% [78%] (64%) {67%} (59%}
      • Barack Obama 9% [10%] (10%) {9%} (11%)
      • Sarah Palin 74% [76%] (68%) {72%} [73%] (74%) {72%} [69%] (79%) {81%} [81%] (81%) {78%} [81%] (85%) {82%} [78%] (77%) {80%} [84%] (77%) {70%} [74%] (79%) {72%} [65%] (71%) <66%>
      • Barack Obama 13% [12%] (19%) {18%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [20%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (8%) {10%} [14%] (14%) {12%} [7%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (14%) {18%} [27%] (21%) <17%>
      • Herman Cain 70% [79%] (55%)
      • Barack Obama 10% [8%] (10%)
          Note: In 2008, John McCain received 90% of the Republican vote (32% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 93% of the Republican vote.

          Among Democrats
          • Barack Obama 80% [78%] (84%) {83%} [83%] (82%) {82%} [86%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (80%) {82%} [80%] (86%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [86%] (82%) {78%} [81%] (77%) {79%} [81%] (77%)
          • Mitt Romney 13% [14%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {10%} [8%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (7%) {14%} [11%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (14%)
          • Barack Obama 82%
          • Michele Bachmann 11%
          • Barack Obama 82% [81%] (81%) {81%} (83%)
          • Tim Pawlenty 10% [11%] (9%) {11%} (8%)
          • Barack Obama 83% [82%] (80%)
          • Herman Cain 8% [9%] (8%)
          • Barack Obama 87% [84%] (88%) {87%} [89%] (86%) {86%} [89%] (84%) {83%} [85%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (87%) {78%} [81%] (88%) {82%} [89%] (86%) {83%} [84%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (81%) <89%>
          • Sarah Palin 8% [10%] (9%) {10%} [8%] (10%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (14%) {11%} [15%] (10%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {15%} [10%] (12%) {13%} [10%] (15%) {15%} [14%] (15%) <7%>
            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 10% of the Democratic vote (39% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 11% of the Democratic vote.

            Among Moderates
            • Barack Obama 54% [60%] (59%) {60%} [58%] (57%) {63%} [62%] (60%) {59%} [55%] (55%) {58%} [59%] (62%) {55%} [54%] (58%) {65%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [64%] (63%)
            • Mitt Romney 33% [30%] (28%) {27%} [26%] (28%) {21%} [28%] (33%) {31%} [29%] (33%) {26%} [30%] (27%) {31%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [31%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (32%) {28%} [24%] (26%)
            • Barack Obama 60% [67%] (59%) {67%} (60%)
            • Tim Pawlenty 24% [20%] (21%) {17%} (20%)
            • Barack Obama 63%
            • Michele Bachmann 22%
            • Barack Obama 60% [64%] (60%)
            • Herman Cain 19% [19%] (16%)
            • Barack Obama 67% [73%] (68%) {71%} [73%] (67%) {72%} [73%] (70%) {65%} [62%] (62%) {66%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [63%] (66%) {69%} [65%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (62%) {68%} [71%] (65%)
            • Sarah Palin 22% [19%] (20%) {20%} [19%] (24%) {21%} [20%] (22%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (24%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {23%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [22%] (30%)
            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Moderate vote (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Moderate vote.

            Among Men
            • Mitt Romney 52% [49%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [38%] (44%)
            • Barack Obama 38% [41%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {40%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (46%) {39%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (46%{46%} [49%] (49%)
            • Michele Bachmann 48%
            • Barack Obama 41%
            • Tim Pawlenty 47% [44%] (39%) {41%} (34%)
            • Barack Obama 41% [45%] (42%) {44%} (47%)
            • Herman Cain 43% [44%] (33%)
            • Barack Obama 42% [41%] (42%)
            • Barack Obama 48% [49%] (47%) {48%} [55%] (48%) {47%} [48%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [50%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (50%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (49%) <45%>
            • Sarah Palin 45% [39%] (42%) {43%} [37%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {48%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (47%) {44%} [41%] (47%) <43%>
              Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Male vote (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 55% of the Male vote.

              Among Women
              • Barack Obama 52% [53%] (53%) {52%} [46%] (53%) {51%} [54%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (42%) {48%} [47%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {52%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [56%] (52%)
              • Mitt Romney 38% [41%] (37%) {38%} [41%] (36%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (48%) {39%} [41%] (44%) {39%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [44%] (36%) {34%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [31%] (34%)
              • Barack Obama 55%
              • Michele Bachmann 34%
              • Barack Obama 55% [54%] (52%) {52%} (52%)
              • Tim Pawlenty 32% [35%] (27%) {29%} (28%)
              • Barack Obama 55% [54%] (52%)
              • Herman Cain 29% [33%] (24%)
                • Barack Obama 59% [55%] (60%) {60%} [54%] (57%) {56%} [62%] (56%) {53%} [55%] (44%) {52%} [52%] (46%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [51%] (54%) {55%} [56%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (56%) <65%>
                • Sarah Palin 31% [37%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {40%} [40%] (47%) {38%} [41%] (45%) {35%} [41%] (41%) {41%} [45%] (37%) {36%} [35%] (40%) {36%} [34%] (36%) <26%>
                  Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Female vote.
                    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                    • Mitt Romney 36% [37%] (35%) {32%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [37%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (40%) / 42% [47%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {36%} [36%] (42%) {39%} [28%] (32%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {38%} [34%] (37%){36%} [36%] (35%) {-6%}
                    • Herman Cain 24% [20%] (9%) / 33% [38%] (29%) {-9%}
                    • Michele Bachmann 29% / 45% {-16%}
                    • Tim Pawlenty 20% [25%] (15%) {12%} (11%) / 40% [42%] (33%) {24%} (16%) {-20%}
                    • Sarah Palin 29% [29%] (30%) {33%} [31%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (42%) <39%> / 62% [59%] (63%) {60%} [61%] (57%) {56%} [58%] (55%) {52%} [54%] (52%) {53%} [56%] (52%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {55%} [49%] (45%) {49%} [50%] (49%) <50%> {-33%}
                    Among Independents
                    • Mitt Romney 45% [37%] (39%) {29%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [43%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (30%) {37%} [44%] (41%) {28%} [31%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {40%} [37%] (36%) / 39% [49%] (45%) {40%} [44%] (45%) {42%} [31%] (46%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (41%) {34%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [37%] (28%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {33%} [42%] (39%) {+6%}
                    • Herman Cain 27% [18%] (8%) / 33% [32%] (31%) {-6%}
                    • Michele Bachmann 28% / 47% {-19%}
                    • Tim Pawlenty 22% [23%] (16%) {13%} (13%) / 41% [44%] (32%) {21%} (17%) {-19%}
                    • Sarah Palin 25% [22%] (26%) {31%} [22%] (30%) {23%} [36%] (37%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {33%} [33%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (45%) {44%} [34%] (38%) <47%> / 65% [64%] (64%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {65%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [56%] (48%) {49%} [60%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {54%} [49%] (48%) {59%} [49%] (43%) {42%} [58%] (51%) <43%> {-40%}
                    Among Republicans
                    • Sarah Palin 60% [58%] (55%) {61%} [63%] (63%) {65%} [59%] (67%) {69%} [71%] (68%) {66%} [67%] (71%) {69%} [72%] (71%) {73%} [75%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (76%) {75%} [76%] (76%) <69%> / 30% [29%] (37%) {30%} [25%] (23%) {21%} [32%] (25%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {19%} [23%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {18%} [15%] (18%) {22%} [16%] (19%) {20%} [15%](18%) <17%> {+30%}
                    • Herman Cain 40% [39%] (12%) / 19% [27%] (17%) {+21%}
                    • Michele Bachmann 45% / 27% {+18%}
                    • Mitt Romney 49% [53%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {54%} [50%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (54%) {49%} [55%] (52%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (54%) {63%} [67%] (60%) / 31% [32%] (32%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {23%} [30%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [17%] (25%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {15%} [19%] (20%) {21%} [18%] (25%) {21%} [17%] (21%) {+18%}
                    • Tim Pawlenty 34% [44%] (23%) {16%} (15%) / 23% [24%] (16%) {18%} (9%) {+11%}
                    Among Democrats
                    • Mitt Romney 20% [23%] (18%) {20%} [19%] (17%) {16%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [16%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (15%) {10%} [15%] (12%) {18%} [14%] (15%) {15%} [23%] (20%) {24%} [20%] (27%) / 52% [60%] (64%) {51%} [60%] (60%) {58%} [55%] (59%) {49%} [53%] (45%) {53%} [51%] (60%) {56%} [44%] (47%) {53%} [56%] (48%) {55%} [49%] (52%) {49%} [49%] (45%) {-32%}
                    • Herman Cain 9% [5%] (7%) / 45% [51%] (39%) {-36%}
                    • Michele Bachmann 16% / 58% {-42%}
                    • Tim Pawlenty 8% [9%] (7%) {7%} (7%) / 54% [57%] (48%) {32%} (23%) {-46%}
                    • Sarah Palin 8% [7%] (10%) {10%} [8%] (12%) {12%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [13%] (9%) {12%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [17%] (18%) <11%> / 85% [83%] (85%) {82%} [87%] (86%) {85%} [83%] (79%) {80%} [83%] (86%) {81%} [82%] (87%) {72%} [74%] (80%) {76%} [78%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (67%) {76%} [74%] (73%) <78%> {-77%}
                      Among Moderates
                      • Mitt Romney 36% [35%] (34%) {27%} [31%] (30%) {23%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [37%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {32%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [35%] (34%) / 39% [47%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {39%} [42%] (34%) {42%} [36%] (49%) {48%} [29%] (38%) {44%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [36%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {-3%}
                      • Herman Cain 14% [9%] (7%) / 34% [37%] (32%) {-20%}
                      • Tim Pawlenty 14% [19%] (13%) {8%} (8%) / 40% [44%] (35%) {27%} (19%) {-26%}
                      • Michele Bachmann 17% / 53% {-36%}
                      • Sarah Palin 16% [15%] (14%) {18%} [15%] (26%) {19%} [18%] (19%) {20%} [23%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {23%} [23%] (26%) {23%} [23%] (22%) {20%} [29%] (33%) {33%} [29%] (28%) / 76% [72%] (79%) {75%} [77%] (69%) {72%} [77%] (73%) {70%} [67%] (67%) {67%} [72%] (71%) {64%} [63%] (68%) {70%} [62%] (66%) {71%} [58%] (58%) {58%} [64%] (67%) {-60%}
                      Among Men
                      • Mitt Romney 40% [41%] (40%) {32%} [29%] (34%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (34%) {37%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {34%} [42%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (45%) / 43% [48%] (46%) {42%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (36%) {39%} [41%] (49%) {38%} [29%] (35%) {37%} [41%] (35%) {43%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (39%) {-3%}
                      • Herman Cain 28% [27%] (13%) / 37% [34%] (31%) {-9%}
                      • Michele Bachmann 32% / 48% {-16%}
                      • Tim Pawlenty 26% [31%] (20%) {12%} (16%) / 44% [41%] (35%) {28%} (20%) {-18%}
                      • Sarah Palin 35% [27%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (41%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {45%} [37%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (46%) <48%> / 58% [59%] (58%) {56%} [61%] (51%) {50%} [54%] (51%) {48%} [49%] (54%) {50%} [56%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {54%} [46%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (49%) <38%> {-23%}
                      Among Women
                      • Mitt Romney 32% [34%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (30%) {27%} [32%] (34%) {31%} [30%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [35%] (31%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [33%] (34%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 41% [47%] (49%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (42%) {32%} [38%] (29%) {34%} [31%] (35%) {40%} [27%] (30%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {34%} [38%] (32%) {-9%}
                      • Herman Cain 20% [14%] (5%) / 30% [42%] (28%) {-10%}
                      • Michele Bachmann 26% / 42% {-16%}
                      • Tim Pawlenty 14% [18%] (10%) {11%} (7%) / 37% [43%] (30%) {21%} (14%) {-23%}
                      • Sarah Palin 24% [30%] (26%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {29%} [32%] (34%) {37%} [35%] (37%) {30%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (43%) {37%} [42%] (32%) {36%} [37%] (45%) {40%} [36%] (39%) <29%> / 65% [59%] (67%) {63%} [61%] (64%) {62%} [63%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [56%] (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {55%} [51%] (46%) {53%} [53%] (49%) <61%> {-41%}
                      Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
                      • Approve 46%
                      • Disapprove 48%
                      In the current negotiations between President Obama and Congressional Republicans about the debt ceiling, which side do you have more faith in?
                      • President Obama 47%
                      • Congressional Republicans 43%
                        Survey of 928 registered voters was conducted July 15-17, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% [40%] (39%) {40%} [38%] (40%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [40%] {38%} (36%) [39%] Democrat; 33% [35%] (35%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {33%} [34%] {34%} (35%) [34%] Republican; 25% [25%] (25%) {27%} [28%] (24%) {20%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [26%] {28%} (29%) [27%] Independent/Other. Political views: 36% [31%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (33%) {30%} Moderate; 21% [23%] (24%) {22%} [27%] (25%) {25%} Somewhat conservative; 17% [18%] (18%) {18%} [14%] (17%) {19%} Very conservative; 15% [19%] (17%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {18%} Somewhat liberal;  10% [9%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {8%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll onducted October 16-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-18, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2009 are in angle brackets.

                        Inside the numbers:
                        Obama's numbers are worse than they appear to be on the surface. The vast majority of the undecideds in all of these match ups disapprove of the job Obama's doing but aren't committing to a candidate yet while they wait to see how the Republican field shakes out. Here's an idea of where these various match ups might stand once all voters have made up their minds: 
                        -In the Obama/Romney head to head 21% of undecideds approve of Obama and 61% disapprove. If you allocate them based on their approval/disapprove of Obama, Romney would lead 52-48. 
                        -In the Obama/Bachmann head to head 10% of undecideds approve of Obama and 67% disapprove. If you allocate them based on their approval/disapprove of Obama, Obama would lead only 51-49. 
                        -In the Obama/Pawlenty head to head 9% of undecideds approve of Obama and 75% disapprove. If you allocate them based on their approval/disapprove of Obama, the race would be tied at 50%. 
                        -In the Obama/Cain head to head 8% of undecideds approve of Obama and 76% disapprove. If you allocate them based on their approval/disapprove of Obama, Obama would lead only 51-49. 
                        -In the Obama/Palin head to head 5% of undecideds approve of Obama and 84% disapprove. If you allocate them based on their approval/disapprove of Obama, Obama would lead only 54-46.

                        No comments: