Thursday, August 11, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 46% {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Rick Perry 40%
  • Barack Obama 50% {46%}
  • Michele Bachmann 40% {43%}
  • Barack Obama 50% {46%} [48%]
  • Herman Cain 37% {42%} [37%]
  • Barack Obama 52% {50%} [52%] (52%) {52%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [52%] (48%)
  • Sarah Palin 39% {42%} [38%] (40%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 39% {50%} [47%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 38% {33%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)
  • Rick Perry 43%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Barack Obama 43% {36%}
  • Michele Bachmann 38% {53%}
  • Barack Obama 42% {38%} [47%]
  • Herman Cain 33% {48%} [37%]
  • Barack Obama 53% {38%} [45%] (51%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {48%} [51%] (42%)
  • Sarah Palin 35% {51%} [29%] (40%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [33%] (46%)
    Among Men
    • Mitt Romney 49% {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
    • Barack Obama 38% {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)
    • Rick Perry 49%
    • Barack Obama 42%
    • Michele Bachmann 47% {46%}
    • Barack Obama 43% {43%}
    • Herman Cain 45% {45%} [40%]
    • Barack Obama 42% {43%} [46%]
    • Sarah Palin 46% {45%} [41%] (46%) {38%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (51%)
    • Barack Obama 45% {46%} [51%] (47%) {54%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (39%)
    Among Women
    • Barack Obama 52% {49%} [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
    • Mitt Romney 38% {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)
    • Barack Obama 55% {49%}
    • Michele Bachmann 34% {41%}
    • Barack Obama 54%
    • Rick Perry 32%
    • Barack Obama 56% {49%} [50%]
    • Herman Cain 31% {39%} [35%]
    • Barack Obama 58% {52%} [53%] (57%) {50%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (55%)
    • Sarah Palin 32% {39%} [36%] (35%) {41%} [36%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (35%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Mitt Romney 32% {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 46% {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-14%}
    • Rick Perry 22% / 36% {-14%}
    • Herman Cain 19% {24%} [20%] / 34% {36%} [28%] {-15%}
    • Michele Bachmann 29% {34%} / 48% {42%} {-19%}
    • Sarah Palin 31% {35%} [31%] (32%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 60% {57%} [62%] (59%) {60%} [57%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (55%) {-29%}
    Among Republicans
    • Sarah Palin 62% {63%} [61%] (57%) {63%} [66%] (71%) {73%} [68%] (62%) / 25% {26%} [29%] (34%) {28%} [26%] (23%) {17%} [24%] (24%) {+37%}
    • Mitt Romney 51% {53%} [52%] (43%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [57%] (44%) / 28% {26%} [27%] (34%) {32%} [25%] (25%) {20%} [21%] (22%) {+23%}
    • Rick Perry 39% / 17% {+22%}
    • Michele Bachmann 44% {39%} / 30% {29%} {+14%}
    • Herman Cain 35% {37%} [30%] / 22% {22%} [16%] {+13%}
    Among Independents
    • Rick Perry 23% / 38% {-15%}
    • Herman Cain 19% {34%} [26%] / 36% {35%} [33%] {-17%}
    • Mitt Romney 27% {30%} [35%] (36%) {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 48% {49%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-21%}
    • Michele Bachmann 22% {37%} / 56% {44%} {-34%}
    • Sarah Palin 27% {44%} [21%] (30%) {26%} [29%] (32%) {29%} [36%] (38%) / 62% {50%} [64%] (59%) {67%} [67%] (62%) {64%} [52%] (50%) {-35%}
      Among Men
      • Herman Cain 25% {27%} [25%] / 36% {39%} [34%] {-11%}
      • Mitt Romney 36% {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 48% {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-12%}
      • Rick Perry 26% / 40% {-14%}
      • Sarah Palin 37% {38%} [32%] (37%) {31%} [39%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (42%) / 56% {54%} [61%] (55%) {63%} [54%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (50%) {-19%}
      • Michele Bachmann 31% {35%} / 52% {43%} {-21%}
      Among Women
      • Rick Perry 18% / 32% {-14%}
      • Mitt Romney 29% {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 44% {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-15%}
      • Michele Bachmann 27% {33%} / 44% {40%} {-17%}
      • Herman Cain 15% {20%} [17%] / 32% {32%} [23%] {-17%}
      • Sarah Palin 25% {31%} [30%] (28%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {39%} [31%] (30%) / 64% {59%} [62%] (64%) {56%} [59%] (60%) {55%} [60%] (60%) {-39%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
      • Approve 46% {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
      • Disapprove 50% {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)
      Survey of 780 North Carolina voters was conducted August 4-7, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 48% {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 35% {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 18% {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 28% {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 19% {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 7% {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

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