Thursday, September 22, 2011

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/7NEWS New Hampshire 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Suffolk University/7NEWS New Hampshire 2012 GOP Nomination Survey
  • Mitt Romney 41% [36%] (35%)
  • Ron Paul 14% [8%] (8%)
  • Jon Huntsman 10% [4%] (0%)
  • Rick Perry 8% [2%]
  • Sarah Palin 6% [4%] (7%)
  • Michele Bachmann 5% [11%] (3%)
  • Newt Gingrich 4% [2%] (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (2%)
  • Herman Cain 1% [2%] (2%)
  • Buddy Roemer 1% [0%] (0%)
  • Gary Johnson 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Fred Karger 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Thad McCotter 0%
  • Undecided 11% [21%] (13%)
If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out of the race, who would you vote for instead?
  • Mitt Romney 21% [14%] (17%)
  • Rick Perry 20% [2%]
  • Ron Paul 9% [4%] (6%)
  • Michele Bachmann 6% [12%] (4%)
  • Newt Gingrich 5% [3%] (8%)
  • Jon Huntsman 5% [3%] (1%)
  • Herman Cain 3% [2%] (1%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% [4%] (1%)
  • Sarah Palin 2% [5%] (4%)
  • Gary Johnson 1% [1%] (1%)
  • Fred Karger 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Thad McCotter 0%
  • Buddy Roemer 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Undecided 27% [38%] (30%)
Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?
  • Mitt Romney 28% [27%] (20%)
  • Barack Obama 22% [24%] (28%)
  • Rick Perry 12% [1%]
  • Ron Paul 3% [2%] (1%)
  • Jon Huntsman 1% [0%] (0%)
  • Sarah Palin 1% [2%] (2%)
  • Michele Bachmann 1% [7%] (1%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (1%)
  • Herman Cain 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Newt Gingrich 0% [1%] (1%)
  • Gary Johnson 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Fred Karger 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Buddy Roemer 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Thad McCotter 0%
  • Undecided 32% [34%] (30%)

How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?
  • Very satisfied 16% [18%] (10%)
  • Somewhat satisfied 52% [48%] (43%)
  • Somewhat dissatisfied 19% [18%] (27%)
  • Very dissatisfied 11% [10%] (13%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 69% [64%] (65%) / 20% [19%] (22%) {+49%}
  • Ron Paul 46% [36%] (41%) / 34% [36%] (32%) {+12%}
  • Herman Cain 29% [24%] / 18% [15%] {+11%}
  • Rick Perry 36% / 32% {+4%}
  • Rick Santorum 26% [27%] / 23% [20%] {+3%}
  • Jon Hunstman 26% [19%] (8%) / 24% [18%] (7%) {+2%}
  • Michele Bachmann 33% [44%] (25%) / 45% [22%] (22%) {-12%}
  • Newt Gingrich 36% [24%] (38%) / 52% [56%] (38%) {-16%}
  • Sarah Palin 35% [37%] (42%) / 56% [50%] (46%) {-21%}
  • Barack Obama 22% [25%] (36%) / 72% [70%] (59%) {-50%}
Is Rick Perry too conservative to be elected president?
  • Yes 29%
  • No 51%
Do you trust Mitt Romney to say what he believes, even if it is unpopular?
  • Yes 60%
  • No 30%
Do you trust Rick Perry to say what he believes, even if it is unpopular?
  • Yes 54%
  • No 25%
Do you think Mitt Romney is comfortable around regular people?
  • Yes 68%
  • No 18%
Is Rick Perry over the top?
  • Yes 35%
  • No 40%
Which of the two candidates - Perry or Romney - would you like to have a beer with?
  • Romney 49%
  • Perry 29%
Which of the two candidates - Perry or Romney - would handle an international crisis better?
  • Romney 63%
  • Perry 17%
Rick Perry says evolution is a theory. Do you think evolution is a theory or a fact?
  • Fact 54%
  • Theory 32%
Mitt Romney has changed his position on several social issues. Do those changes disqualify him from getting your vote?
  • Yes 18% [24%]
  • No 72% [69%]
Do you agree or disagree that raising taxes should be an option for helping to reduce the national debt?
  • Agree 38% [28%] (32%)
  • Disagree 57% [67%] (63%)
    Do you think that the near-universal health care bill passed by Democrats last year should be repealed, modified or left alone?
    • Repealed 55% [53%] (52%)
    • Modified 30% [27%] (34%)
    • Left alone 11% [13%] (10%)
    Are your values similar to the values of the Tea Party?
    • Yes 48%
    • No 40%
    Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 18-20, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 50% [48%] (50%) Republican; 42% [39%] (38%) Independent; 6% [9%] (10%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 49% [54%] (45%) Conservative; 42% [38%] (43%) Moderate; 7% [6%] (9%) Liberal.   Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 2, 2011 are in parentheses.

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