Monday, October 31, 2011

WPRI Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

WPRI Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 35%
  • Neither 7%
  • Don’t know 13%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Rick Perry 30%
  • Neither 10%
  • Don’t know 12%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Herman Cain 31%
  • Neither 8%
  • Don’t know 11%
Overall, do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
  • Strongly approve 23%
  • Somewhat approve 31%
  • Somewhat disapprove 14%
  • Strongly disapprove 28%
Survey of 605 adults, 484 of whom are registered to vote, was conducted October 23-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 29% Democrat; 23% Republican; 33% Independent; 13% Other/No preference.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: UW Washington 2012 Presidential Survey

UW Washington 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 50.2%
  • Mitt Romney 40.7%
  • Barack Obama 54.0%
  • Rick Perry 40.7%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% / 43% {+9%}
  • Mitt Romney 36% / 42% {-6%}
  • Rick Perry 21% / 51% {-30%}
Survey of 938 registered voters was conducted October 10-30, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 44% {44%} [39%] (41%) {42%} [44%]
  • Ron Paul 35% {34%} [38%] (37%) {34%} [35%]
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-21, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted between January 17-18, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Rick Perry 46%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Mitt Romney 41%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Herman Cain 42%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points

Poll Watch: UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Presidential Survey

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
  • Herman Cain 27%
  • Rick Perry 26% (4%)
  • Ron Paul 12% (10%)
  • Mitt Romney 9% (7%)
  • Newt Gingrich 8% (11%)
  • Michele Bachmann 2% (7%)
  • Jon Huntsman 1% (1%)
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Rick Santorum 1% (3%)
  • Someone else 1% (10%)
  • Don’t know 11% (14%)
GENERAL ELECTION
  • Rick Perry 45%
  • Barack Obama 37%
  • Someone else 10%
  • Don't know 8%
  • Herman Cain 40%
  • Barack Obama 35%
  • Someone else 13%
  • Don't know 12%
  • Ron Paul 38%
  • Barack Obama 33%
  • Someone else 17%
  • Don't know 13%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
  • Barack Obama 34%
  • Someone else 19%
  • Don't know 11%
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has done as president?
  • Approve strongly 15% (20%)
  • Approve somewhat 18% (15%)
  • Disapprove somewhat 8% (9%)
  • Disapprove strongly 49% (46%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has done handling the economy?
  • Approve strongly 11%
  • Approve somewhat 17%
  • Disapprove somewhat 8%
  • Disapprove strongly 53%
How would you rate the job Rick Perry has done as governor?
  • Approve strongly 14% (12%)
  • Approve somewhat 25% (29%)
  • Disapprove somewhat 13% (14%)
  • Disapprove strongly 31% (28%)
How would you rate the job Rick Perry has done handling the Texas economy?
  • Approve strongly 19%
  • Approve somewhat 23%
  • Disapprove somewhat 12%
  • Disapprove strongly 29%
Regardless of how you view Rick Perry, do you think his candidacy has helped, hurt, or had no effect on Texas's image among voters outside of the state.
  • Helped Texas’s image 19%
  • Hurt Texas’s image 37%
  • Had no effect on Texas’s image 34%
Some say that Rick Perry’s leadership in promoting policies such as low taxes, lenient regulation, and small government, is the main reason the Texas economy has fared better than the national economy. Others say that long-existing economic policies such as a constitutional requirement for a balanced budget, no income tax, and a lenient regulatory environment, in addition to Texas’ natural resources, have been the main reasons the Texas economy has fared better than the national economy. Which would you say is closer to your own view:
  • Rick Perry’s leadership has helped Texas fare better than the rest of the country 21%
  • Long-standing policies have helped Texas fare better than the rest of the country 65%
Survey of 800 registered voters, including a subsample of 395 registered Republicans, was conducted October 19-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.46 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.93 percentage points among registered Republicans.  Party ID breakdown: 34% Republican; 29% Democrat; 27% Independent; 6% Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-18, 2011 are in parentheses.

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Rick Perry on Fox News Sunday

Reliable Sources Roundtable: Flirting with Birtherism

Reliable Sources Roundtable: The Origins of "Leading From Behind"

CNN State of the Union: Interview with Ron Paul

Meet the Press Roundtable

David Plouffe on Meet the Press

This Week Roundtable: Can Cain Stay on Top?

This Week Green Room: Flat Tax Politics

This Week: Interview with Michele Bachmann

Fox News Sunday: Panel Plus

Herman Cain on Face the Nation

Saturday, October 29, 2011

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey
  • Herman Cain 23% (10%)
  • Mitt Romney 22% (23%)
  • Ron Paul 12% (7%)
  • Michele Bachmann 8% (22%)
  • Newt Gingrich 7% (7%)
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Rick Santorum 5% (4%)
  • Jon Huntsman 1% (2%)
Second Choice
  • Herman Cain 19% (10%)
  • Newt Gingrich 13% (5%)
  • Mitt Romney 11% (10%)
  • Michele Bachmann 6% (18%)
Among Tea Party Supporters
  • Herman Cain 27%
  • Mitt Romney 15%
  • Ron Paul 13%
  • Michele Bachmann 10%
Among Born-Again Christians
  • Herman Cain 26%
  • Michele Bachmann 11%
  • Rick Santorum 9%
  • Mitt Romney 9%
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Jon Huntsman 0%
Very Conservative
  • Herman Cain 24%
  • Michele Bachmann 12%
  • Newt Gingrich 11%
        Inside the numbers:
        Fifty-nine percent (59%) of likely caucusgoers say they could be persuaded to support another candidate. Fifteen percent have no first choice right now. Just a quarter who have a first choice say their minds are made up.

        Men give Herman Cain his first-place showing: 26 percent prefer him; Mitt Romney gets 18 percent. (For women, it is almost an exact flip; they prefer Romney 27 percent to Cain’s 17 percent.)

        Mitt Romney is second only to Michele Bachmann as the candidate likely caucusgoers like least. He is most disliked by those who describe themselves as very conservative (30 percent).

        More tea party supporters (19 percent) pick Romney as their least liked than any other candidate.

        Romney is strongest among those 65 and older, but they’re an iffy voting pool this year, less committed to caucusing than they’ve been in the past.

        In contrast, only 3 percent name Cain as their least-liked candidate.

        Romney earns the support of just 10 percent of those who say they definitely plan to vote in the caucuses (Cain is at 27 percent). And Cain dominates Romney among those who identify themselves as very conservative, by more than 3 to 1.

        However, Romney is the favorite of women, seniors, first-time caucusgoers and those who call themselves moderates or liberals. He also leads among those whose minds are made up.

        Cain leads by at least a 5-point margin among men, the most conservative voters, tea party supporters, born-again Christians and those ages 35 to 54.

        Another factor favoring Cain over Romney: More than half of likely caucusgoers think a representative of the core conservative base can win the White House in 2012. Only a third see a need to select a more moderate candidate with appeal to independents.

        Romney is more popular than any other candidate with the under-35 age group. He’s the first choice for 27 percent of them, compared to 21 percent for Herman Cain and 18 percent for Ron Paul. He also is top choice among seniors, with 33 percent. Cain is at 15 percent, his poorest showing among any age group.

        Among those who say their minds are made up, Romney gets 24 percent, tying with Paul for first.

        Born-again Christians make up 37 percent of the poll. Similarly, of the 45 percent of respondents who consider themselves very conservative on social issues, Cain leads the field with 24 percent, again by a 2 to 1 margin over Bachmann.

        Those who definitely intend to caucus don’t like Mitt Romney much. This group is 38 percent of those polled, but Romney is the first choice of just 10 percent of them. Cain is the strongest among definite attenders with 27 percent.

        Seventy-one percent (71%) of likely Republican caucusgoers say business experience is more important than having held elective office. Twenty-two percent say time in elective office is more critical.

        Among those who say business experience makes the best presidential resume, Cain leads Romney, 29 percent to 22 percent. Among those who think experience in office is more important, it’s Romney with 24 percent, and Perry at 16 percent.

        In the caucuses four years ago, an entrance poll showed that 27 percent of voters were 65 and older. But that age group makes up only 14 percent of this poll.

        A disproportionate number of older Iowans reached by the Register’s pollster said they won’t caucus this year, so they didn’t meet the qualifications to participate in the poll. And among those who did qualify, many are tentative about their plans to caucus.

        Among likely caucusgoers 65 and older, Romney is the most popular. Fully 33 percent of this age group picked Romney as their first choice.

        Least popular with seniors is Minnesota’s Michele Bachmann, with 2 percent support. Texas’s Rick Perry is the top choice for only 3 percent of those 65 and older.

        Nine percent (9%) of likely caucusgoers say they like Newt Gingrich the least, a better ranking than Michele Bachmann (16 percent), Mitt Romney (14 percent), Ron Paul (12 percent) and Rick Perry (11 percent).

        Were something to arise during the campaign to lessen Herman Cain’s appeal, Romney would be the biggest beneficiary — but Gingrich is next. He would get 23 percent of Cain defectors.

        Ron Paul does better with younger voters than older people — he’s the first choice for 18 percent of those under 35. But it’s Mitt Romney who wins this age group, with 27 percent. Cain gets 21 percent.
          Survey of 400 likely Republican caucus-goers was conducted October 23-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-22, 2011 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

          Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey
          • Barack Obama 45% {44%} [49%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (41%) {43%} [44%] (45%)
          • Rick Perry 38% {36%} [35%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (44%) {40%} [39%] (28%)
          Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 26-27, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29-30, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 17-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 1-14, 2011 are in parentheses.

          President Obama Delivers Weekly Address: We Can't Wait to Create Jobs

          Rep. Bobby Schilling (R-IL) Delivers Weekly Republican Address

          Herman Cain 2012 Ad: "Everybody Needs Toucan Stubs"

          Friday, October 28, 2011

          Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

          PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey
          • Barack Obama 46% (47%) {51%} [48%] (46%)
          • Mitt Romney 43% (42%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
          • Barack Obama 49% (50%)
          • Herman Cain 42% (36%)
          • Barack Obama 48%
          • Ron Paul 39%
          • Barack Obama 51% (51%)
          • Michele Bachmann 40% (39%)
          • Barack Obama 50% (50%)
          • Rick Perry 39% (40%)
          • Barack Obama 52% {53%} [51%] (50%)
          • Newt Gingrich 38% {35%} [39%] (41%)
          Among Independents
          • Ron Paul 43%
          • Barack Obama 39%
          • Mitt Romney 42% (37%) {36%} [33%] (36%)
          • Barack Obama 38% (40%) {47%} [45%] (43%)
          • Barack Obama 43% (46%)
          • Herman Cain 42% (29%)
          • Barack Obama 46% (48%)
          • Michele Bachmann 37% (34%)
          • Barack Obama 46% (48%)
          • Rick Perry 35% (33%)
          • Barack Obama 50% {53%} [50%] (51%)
          • Newt Gingrich 35% {29%} [35%] (35%)
          Among Moderates
          • Barack Obama 61% (57%) {67%} [64%] (61%)
          • Mitt Romney 29% (25%) {22%} [20%] (25%)
          • Barack Obama 65% (61%)
          • Herman Cain 25% (19%)
          • Barack Obama 64%
          • Ron Paul 22%
          • Barack Obama 69% {71%} [66%] (69%)
          • Newt Gingrich 21% {17%} [22%] (22%)
          • Barack Obama 68% (62%)
          • Rick Perry 19% (23%)
          • Barack Obama 69% (62%)
          • Michele Bachmann 19% (21%)
          Among Men
          • Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {46%} [44%] (45%)
          • Barack Obama 40% (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
          • Ron Paul 46%
          • Barack Obama 40%
          • Herman Cain 48% (40%)
          • Barack Obama 43% (44%)
          • Barack Obama 45% (45%)
          • Michele Bachmann 44% (43%)
          • Barack Obama 46% (45%)
          • Rick Perry 43% (44%)
          • Barack Obama 48% {45%} [46%] (48%)
          • Newt Gingrich 42% {41%} [44%] (42%)
          Among Women
          • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {56%} [53%] (47%)
          • Mitt Romney 38% (38%) {33%} [32%] (40%)
          • Barack Obama 54% (55%)
          • Herman Cain 37% (33%)
          • Barack Obama 55% (55%)
          • Michele Bachmann 36% (36%)
          • Barack Obama 54% (53%)
          • Rick Perry 35% (37%)
          • Barack Obama 55% {59%} [55%] (52%)
          • Newt Gingrich 35% {30%} [35%] (39%)
          • Barack Obama 54%
          • Ron Paul 33%
            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
            • Herman Cain 35% (19%) / 42% (34%) {-7%}
            • Mitt Romney 31% (32%) {29%} [30%] (33%) / 53% (48%) {49%} [41%] (45%) {-22%}
            • Michele Bachmann 27% (32%) / 54% (46%) {-27%}
            • Ron Paul 25% / 52% {-27%}
            • Newt Gingrich 26% {15%} [26%] (28%) / 59% {67%} [49%] (54%) {-33%}
            • Rick Perry 20% (27%) / 59% (39%) {-39%}
            Among Republicans
            • Herman Cain 63% (34%) / 14% (21%) {+49%}
            • Mitt Romney 53% (54%) {46%} [49%] (56%) / 32% (26%) {30%} [21%] (22%) {+21%}
            • Michele Bachmann 47% (58%) / 30% (22%) {+17%}
            • Newt Gingrich 51% {29%} [50%] (61%) / 34% {45%} [21%] (21%) {+17%}
            • Rick Perry 41% (49%) / 33% (12%) {+8%}
            • Ron Paul 32% / 44% {-12%}
            Among Independents
            • Herman Cain 37% (18%) / 40% (33%) {-3%}
            • Ron Paul 34% / 43% {-9%}
            • Mitt Romney 30% (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) / 50% (44%) {43%} [38%] (46%) {-20%}
            • Michele Bachmann 22% (28%) / 57% (46%) {-35%}
            • Newt Gingrich 24% {13%} [22%] (23%) / 60% {69%} [54%] (56%) {-36%}
            • Rick Perry 16% (26%) / 62% (37%) {-46%}
            Among Men
            • Herman Cain 40% (25%) / 42% (36%) {-2%}
            • Ron Paul 34% / 49% {-15%}
            • Mitt Romney 35% (33%) {34%} [35%] (35%) / 51% (48%) {50%} [42%] (50%) {-16%}
            • Michele Bachmann 29% (38%) / 54% (44%) {-25%}
            • Newt Gingrich 28% {18%} [32%] (34%) / 61% {66%} [50%] (55%) {-33%}
            • Rick Perry 24% (31%) / 61% (40%) {-37%}
            Among Women
            • Herman Cain 30% (14%) / 42% (32%) {-12%}
            • Mitt Romney 27% (31%) {26%} [25%] (31%) / 54% (47%) {47%} [40%] (41%) {-27%}
            • Michele Bachmann 25% (27%) / 53% (48%) {-28%}
            • Newt Gingrich 24% {12%} [21%] (22%) / 57% {68%} [49%] (53%) {-33%}
            • Ron Paul 18% / 55% {-37%}
            • Rick Perry 16% (24%) / 57% (38%) {-41%}
              Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
              • Approve 44% (45%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
              • Disapprove 51% (51%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
              Among Independents
              • Approve 36% (40%) {50%} [49%] (47%)
              • Disapprove 57% (52%) {43%} [43%] (42%)
              Survey of 1,170 Wisconsin voters was conducted October 20-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% (37%) {37%} [33%] (35%) Democrat; 31% (34%) {32%} [32%] (31%) Republican; 32% (29%) {31%} [35%] (33%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (29%) {30%} [31%] Moderate; 25% (21%) {23%} [22%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (22%) {20%} [21%] Somewhat liberal; 17% (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 10% (11%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

              Poll Watch: Rasmussen Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

              Rasmussen Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
              • Tommy Thompson (R) 49%
              • Tammy Baldwin (D) 42%
              • Some other candidate 4%
              • Undecided 6%
              Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. 

              Poll Watch: Critical Insights Maine 2012 Presidential Survey

              Critical Insights Maine 2012 Presidential Survey
              • Barack Obama 41%
              • Mitt Romney 40%
              • Barack Obama 46%
              • Rick Perry 32%
              Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama
              • Favorable 43%
              • Unfavorable 45%
              Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling the economy?
              • Approve 36%
              • Disapprove 54%
              Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling the taxes?
              • Approve 39%
              • Disapprove 49%
              Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 18-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 33% Democrat; 31% Republican; 31% Independent.

              Poll Watch: Fox News Political Survey

              Fox News Political Survey

              Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
              • Approve 43%
              • Disapprove 50%
              Among Republicans
              • Approve 6%
              • Disapprove 89%
              Among Independents
              • Approve 32%
              • Disapprove 51%
              Among Democrats
              • Approve 80%
              • Disapprove 15%
              Among Conservatives
              • Approve 27%
              • Disapprove 67%
              Among Moderates
              • Approve 42%
              • Disapprove 43%
              Among Liberals
              • Approve 72%
              • Disapprove 23%
              Among Men
              • Approve 34%
              • Disapprove 58%
              Among Women
              • Approve 51%
              • Disapprove 42%
              Among Whites
              • Approve 34%
              • Disapprove 58%
              Among Non-Whites
              • Approve 69%
              • Disapprove 25%
              College Degree
              • Approve 41%
              • Disapprove 53%
              No College Education
              • Approve 45%
              • Disapprove 46%
              Income Under $50K
              • Approve 49%
              • Disapprove 42%
              Income $50K+
              • Approve 38%
              • Disapprove 56%
              If you were in Congress, how would you have voted on President Obama's recently proposed $450 billion dollar stimulus package aimed at creating jobs?
              • For it 48%
              • Against it 44%
              Among Republicans
              • For it 15%
              • Against it 80%
              Among Independents
              • For it 37%
              • Against it 51%
              Among Democrats
              • For it 82%
              • Against it 10%
              Among Conservatives
              • For it 31%
              • Against it 63%
              Among Moderates
              • For it 41%
              • Against it 44%
              Among Liberals
              • For it 79%
              • Against it 13%
              Among Men
              • For it 40%
              • Against it 55%
              Among Women
              • For it 55%
              • Against it 35%
              Among Whites
              • For it 39%
              • Against it 52%
              Among Non-Whites
              • For it 74%
              • Against it 22%
              College Degree
              • For it 43%
              • Against it 49%
              No College Education
              • For it 53%
              • Against it 40%
              Income Under $50K
              • For it 58%
              • Against it 37%
              Income $50K+
              • For it 42%
              • Against it 50%
              Which of the following best describes why the economy is not doing better under Barack Obama’s leadership?
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 52%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 37%
              Among Republicans
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 15%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 73%
              Among Independents
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 50%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 35%
              Among Democrats
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 85%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 7%
              Among Conservatives
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 34%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 53%
              Among Moderates
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 63%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 24%
              Among Liberals
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 82%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 10%
              Among Men
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 43%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 44%
              Among Women
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 60%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 31%
              Among Whites
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 45%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 44%
              Among Non-Whites
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 73%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 17%
              College Degree
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 50%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 39%
              No College Education
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 54%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 35%
              Income Under $50K
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 64%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 27%
              Income $50K+
              • His ideas are good, but he hasn’t been able to get them implemented 44%
              • His ideas are bad, and too many of them are being implemented 45%
              Overall, do you think the Tea Party movement is good or bad for the country?
              • Good 45%
              • Bad 37%
              Among Republicans
              • Good 70%
              • Bad 17%
              Among Independents
              • Good 44%
              • Bad 35%
              Among Democrats
              • Good 24%
              • Bad 56%
              Among Conservatives
              • Good 57%
              • Bad 25%
              Among Moderates
              • Good 31%
              • Bad 38%
              Among Liberals
              • Good 27%
              • Bad 59%
              Among Men
              • Good 52%
              • Bad 36%
              Among Women
              • Good 38%
              • Bad 38%
              Among Whites
              • Good 50%
              • Bad 33%
              Among Non-Whites
              • Good 29%
              • Bad 48%
              College Degree
              • Good 45%
              • Bad 41%
              No College Education
              • Good 44%
              • Bad 34%
              Income Under $50K
              • Good 42%
              • Bad 36%
              Income $50K+
              • Good 49%
              • Bad 38%
              Overall, do you think the Occupy Wall Street movement is good or bad for the country?
              • Good 38%
              • Bad 41%
              Among Republicans
              • Good 23%
              • Bad 59%
              Among Independents
              • Good 41%
              • Bad 39%
              Among Democrats
              • Good 49%
              • Bad 28%
              Among Conservatives
              • Good 26%
              • Bad 54%
              Among Moderates
              • Good 43%
              • Bad 34%
              Among Liberals
              • Good 58%
              • Bad 22%
              Among Men
              • Good 41%
              • Bad 43%
              Among Women
              • Good 35%
              • Bad 39%
              Among Whites
              • Good 36%
              • Bad 43%
              Among Non-Whites
              • Good 42%
              • Bad 35%
              College Degree
              • Good 42%
              • Bad 41%
              No College Education
              • Good 34%
              • Bad 42%
              Income Under $50K
              • Good 36%
              • Bad 38%
              Income $50K+
              • Good 41%
              • Bad 44%
              How concerned are you that the Occupy Wall Street demonstrations will eventually turn into street riots?
              • Very concerned 16%
              • Somewhat concerned 31%
              • Not very concerned 28%
              • Not at all concerned 23%
              Do you think the Occupy Wall Street movement is anti-capitalist, or not?
              • Yes it is 37%
              • No it isn’t 46%
              Among Republicans
              • Yes it is 52%
              • No it isn’t 34%
              Among Independents
              • Yes it is 39%
              • No it isn’t 44%
              Among Democrats
              • Yes it is 23%
              • No it isn’t 57%
              Which of the following comes closer to your view? The addition of more government regulation:
              • Helps me and my family by providing order and protecting us from potential harm 28%
              • Hurts me and my family by raising taxes and taking away our freedoms 61%
              Among Republicans
              • Helps me and my family by providing order and protecting us from potential harm 12%
              • Hurts me and my family by raising taxes and taking away our freedoms 84%
              Among Independents
              • Helps me and my family by providing order and protecting us from potential harm 17%
              • Hurts me and my family by raising taxes and taking away our freedoms 65%
              Among Democrats
              • Helps me and my family by providing order and protecting us from potential harm 48%
              • Hurts me and my family by raising taxes and taking away our freedoms 38%
              If you could send just one of the following two messages to the federal government right now, would it be “lend me a hand” or would it be “leave me alone”?
              • Lend me a hand 44%
              • Leave me alone 50%
              Among Republicans
              • Lend me a hand 18%
              • Leave me alone 77%
              Among Independents
              • Lend me a hand 38%
              • Leave me alone 53%
              Among Democrats
              • Lend me a hand 70%
              • Leave me alone 25%
              Among Conservatives
              • Lend me a hand 31%
              • Leave me alone 64%
              Among Moderates
              • Lend me a hand 35%
              • Leave me alone 53%
              Among Liberals
              • Lend me a hand 68%
              • Leave me alone 27%
              Among Men
              • Lend me a hand 32%
              • Leave me alone 60%
              Among Women
              • Lend me a hand 54%
              • Leave me alone 41%
              Among Whites
              • Lend me a hand 38%
              • Leave me alone 57%
              Among Non-Whites
              • Lend me a hand 62%
              • Leave me alone 29%
              College Degree
              • Lend me a hand 39%
              • Leave me alone 54%
              No College Education
              • Lend me a hand 49%
              • Leave me alone 46%
              Income Under $50K
              • Lend me a hand 54%
              • Leave me alone 41%
              Income $50K+
              • Lend me a hand 38%
              • Leave me alone 57%
              What do you think is a greater potential threat to the country's future -- big business or big government?
              • Big business 29%
              • Big government 60%
              Would you rather see your child grow up to be a Wall Street executive or an Occupy Wall Street protester?
              • Wall Street executive 48%
              • Occupy Wall Street protester 26%
              • Neither (vol.) 18%
              Among Republicans
              • Wall Street executive 62%
              • Occupy Wall Street protester 17%
              • Neither (vol.) 16%
              Among Independents
              • Wall Street executive 44%
              • Occupy Wall Street protester 26%
              • Neither (vol.) 20%
              Among Democrats
              • Wall Street executive 40%
              • Occupy Wall Street protester 35%
              • Neither (vol.) 19%
              Survey of 904 registered voters was conducted October 23-25, 2011 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% Democrat; 37% Republican; 22% Independent.

              Thursday, October 27, 2011

              Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey Survey on President Barack Obama

              FDU PublicMind New Jersey Survey on President Barack Obama

              Do you approve or disapprove of way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

              • Approve 44% {44%} (55%) [47%] {54%} (47%)
              • Disapprove 47% {47%} (36%) [42%] {36%} (41%)
              Among Republicans
              • Approve 12% {10%} (21%) [16%] {19%} (15%)
              • Disapprove 83% {86%} (73%) [77%] {74%} (76%)
              Among Independents
              • Approve 37% {38%} (43%) [44%] {55%} (37%)
              • Disapprove 51% {49%} (40%) [38%] {32%} (36%)
              Among Democrats
              • Approve 73% {70%} (82%) [73%] {83%} (77%)
              • Disapprove 17% {20%} (9%) [14%] {8%} (14%)
              Among Men
              • Approve 41% {40%} (54%) [42%] {52%} (41%)
              • Disapprove 51% {53%} (38%) [44%] {42%} (47%)
              Among Women
              • Approve 48% {47%} (56%) [51%] {57%} (53%)
              • Disapprove 42% {42%} (34%) [40%] {31%} (35%)
                Survey of 800 registered voters was conducted October 17-23, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 37% Republican; 18% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

                PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
                • Tommy Thompson (R) 46% {50%} [45%]
                • Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% {42%} [44%]
                • Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% {40%} [46%]
                • Mark Neumann (R) 43% {44%} [41%]
                • Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% [48%]
                • Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 40% [37%]
                • Tammy Baldwin (D) 44%
                • Frank Lasee (R) 37%
                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Tommy Thompson 42% {44%} [42%] / 42% {42%} [42%] {0%}
                • Tammy Baldwin 28% {26%} [27%] / 30% {28%} [25%] {-2%}
                • Mark Neumann 23% {25%} [27%] / 30% {27%} [26%] {-7%}
                • Jeff Fitzgerald 20% [19%] / 33% [34%] {-13%}
                • Frank Lasee 6% / 19% {-13%}
                Survey of 1,170 Wisconsin voters was conducted October 20-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% {37%} [37%] (33%) Democrat; 31% {34%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 32% {29%} [31%] (35%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% {29%} [30%] (31%) Moderate; 25% {21%} [23%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 19% {22%} [20%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 17% {17%} [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 10% {11%} [10%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in square brackets.