Friday, October 14, 2011

Poll Watch: NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Survey
  • Mitt Romney 41% (36%) {42%} [39%] (40%)
  • Herman Cain 20% (3%) {4%}
  • Ron Paul 10% (14%) {10%} [7%] (6%)
  • Newt Gingrich 6% (2%) {3%} [8%] (16%)
  • Jon Huntsman 6% (3%) {3%}
  • Michele Bachmann 4% (10%) {10%}
  • Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {2%} [3%] (2%)
  • Rick Perry 2% (18%)
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Undecided 8% (10%) {8%} [8%] (6%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 68% (66%) {69%} [73%] / 22% (24%) {22%} [16%] {+46%}
  • Herman Cain 62% (36%) {39%} / 25% (34%) {30%} {+37%}
  • Newt Gingrich 45% (29%) {29%} [52%] / 45% (60%) {62%} [32%] {0%}
  • Rick Santorum 33% (30%) {33%} [27%] / 44% (42%) {36%} [20%] {-11%}
  • Ron Paul 37% (39%) {40%} [41%] / 48% (47%) {47%} [29%] {-11%}
  • Michele Bachmann 33% (49%) {55%} / 56% (39%) {28%} {-23%}
  • Jon Huntsman 24% (20%) {14%} / 49% (47%) {36%} {-25%}
  • Gary Johnson 8% / 50% {-42%}
  • Rick Perry 19% (51%) / 66% (27%) {-47%}
    Survey of 736 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 12-13, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.61 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 68% (70%) {74%} [67%] (66%) Republican; 32% (30%) {26%} [33%] (34%) Independent.  Political ideology: Conservative 60% (65%) {63%} [81%] (68%); Moderate 36% (30%) {32%} [15%] (26%); Liberal 3% (4%) {4%} [1%] (6%).  Results from the poll conducted August 15-16, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25, 2010 are in parentheses.

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