Poll Watch: Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 40%
• Ron Paul 17%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Herman Cain 8%
• Jon Huntsman 7%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Michele Bachmann 2%
• Rick Santorum 1%

Is your mind made up to support ____________________ or could you still be persuaded to support another candidate as your first choice?

• Mind is made up 29%
• Could be persuaded 60%

Second Choice

• Mitt Romney 20% 
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Ron Paul 11% 
• Herman Cain 10%
• Jon Huntsman 6%
• Rick Perry 5%
• Michele Bachmann 4%
• Rick Santorum 2%

I'd like to ask about the general election when the Republican nominee will run against Barack Obama. For each of the current candidates I mention, please tell me if you would definitely vote for that person for president, probably vote for that person, might or might not vote for that person, or would you probably not vote for that person.

Mitt Romney

• Definitely 40%
• Probably 27%
• Might or might not 15%
• Probably not 16%

Ron Paul

• Definitely 31%
• Probably 19%
• Might or might not 15%
• Probably not 33%

Newt Gingrich

• Definitely 27%
• Probably 18%
• Might or might not 12%
• Probably not 41%

Herman Cain

• Definitely 25%
• Probably 15%
• Might or might not 13%
• Probably not 45%

Jon Huntsman

• Definitely 23%
• Probably 13%
• Might or might not 15%
• Probably not 42%

Rick Perry

• Definitely 23%
• Probably 14%
• Might or might not 15%
• Probably not 45%

Michele Bachmann

• Definitely 22%
• Probably 12%
• Might or might not 10%
• Probably not 53%

Rick Santorum

• Definitely 21%
• Probably 10%
• Might or might not 12%
• Probably not 50%

In choosing a candidate, which is more important to you: Social and constitutional issues, such as abortion, gay marriage, and gun ownership OR Fiscal issues, such as government spending, taxes, and the economy?

• Fiscal issues 83%
• Social and constitutional issues 13%

Did you participate in the 2008 Republican primary? (If yes) Two candidates this year also ran in 2008. Did you vote for either Mitt Romney or Ron Paul in 2008, or for some other candidate?

• Yes, voted for Mitt Romney 26%
• Yes, voted for Ron Paul 7%
• Yes, voted for someone else 30%
• No, did not participate in 2008 16%

Survey of 504 likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 10-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 55% Independent; 43% Republican; 2% Democrat.  Political ideology: 43% Moderate; 35% Mostly conservative; 15% Very conservative;  5% Liberal