Poll Watch: PPP (D) Maine 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Maine 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 49% [49%]
• Mitt Romney 38% [41%]

• Barack Obama 54%
• Herman Cain 37%

• Barack Obama 53%
• Ron Paul 34%

• Barack Obama 55% [53%]
• Newt Gingrich 35% [37%]

• Barack Obama 55%
• Michele Bachmann 35%

• Barack Obama 55%
• Rick Perry 34%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 40% of the vote in Maine. In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the vote in ME.

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 47% [51%]
• Mitt Romney 34% [34%]

• Barack Obama 56%
• Herman Cain 32%

• Barack Obama 52%
• Ron Paul 28%

• Barack Obama 57% [58%]
• Newt Gingrich 26% [28%]

• Barack Obama 58%
• Michele Bachmann 26%

• Barack Obama 58%
• Rick Perry 26%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 36% of the Independent vote in Maine (39% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 40% of the Independent vote in ME (38% of the electorate).

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 53% [62%]
• Mitt Romney 27% [26%]

• Barack Obama 59%
• Ron Paul 25%

• Barack Obama 63%
• Herman Cain 25%

• Barack Obama 65% [67%]
• Newt Gingrich 22% [20%]

• Barack Obama 62%
• Rick Perry 19%

• Barack Obama 65%
• Michele Bachmann 21%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 35% of the moderate vote in Maine (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 43% of the moderate vote in ME (47% of the electorate).

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [44%]
• Barack Obama 41% [47%]

• Ron Paul 46%
• Barack Obama 43%

• Barack Obama 46%
• Herman Cain 45%

• Barack Obama 47% [50%]
• Newt Gingrich 45% [41%]

• Barack Obama 47%
• Michele Bachmann 44%

• Barack Obama 49%
• Rick Perry 42%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 46% of the male vote in Maine (46% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 49% of the male vote in ME (47% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% [51%]
• Mitt Romney 30% [39%]

• Barack Obama 61%
• Herman Cain 30%

• Barack Obama 60%
• Rick Perry 27%

• Barack Obama 63% [55%]
• Newt Gingrich 27% [34%]

• Barack Obama 63%
• Michele Bachmann 27%

• Barack Obama 62%
• Ron Paul 24%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 34% of the female vote in Maine (54% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 42% of the female vote in ME (53% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Herman Cain 32% / 46% {-6%}
• Mitt Romney 38% [34%] / 49% [46%] {-11%}
• Michele Bachmann 23% / 55% {-32%}
• Ron Paul 24% / 57% {-33%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% [28%] / 63% [55%] {-38%}
• Rick Perry 16% / 66% {-50%} 

Among Republicans

• Herman Cain 57% / 24% {+33%} 
• Mitt Romney 54% [49%] / 36% [29%] {+18%}
• Newt Gingrich 48% [55%] / 41% [24%] {+7%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% / 35% {+6%}
• Rick Perry 30% / 50% {-20%}  
• Ron Paul 30% / 52% {-22%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 37% [34%] / 46% [46%] {-9%}
• Herman Cain 29% / 44% {-15%}
• Ron Paul 27% / 49% {-22%} 
• Michele Bachmann 20% / 56% {-36%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% [20%] / 66% [62%] {-46%}
• Rick Perry 10% / 68% {-58%} 

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 39% [34%] / 46% [42%] {-7%}
• Herman Cain 24% / 52% {-28%} 
• Ron Paul 25% / 56% {-31%}  
• Michele Bachmann 17% / 60% {-43%}
• Newt Gingrich 17% [14%] / 72% [64%] {-55%}
• Rick Perry 11% / 70% {-59%}   

Among Men

• Herman Cain 43% / 39% {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 44% [36%] / 47% [51%] {-3%}
• Michele Bachmann 29% / 54% {-25%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% [32%] / 62% [55%] {-30%}
• Ron Paul 32% / 55% {-33%}   
• Rick Perry 20% / 67% {-47%}   

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 33% [31%] / 50% [42%] {-17%}
• Herman Cain 22% / 52% {-30%} 
• Michele Bachmann 17% / 56% {-39%} 
• Ron Paul 17% / 60% {-43%}  
• Newt Gingrich 20% [25%] / 65% [55%] {-45%}
• Rick Perry 13% / 65% {-52%}    

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47% [51%]
• Disapprove 48% [44%]

Survey of 673 Maine voters was conducted October 28-31, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% [39%] Democrat; 35% [36%] Republican; 24% [26%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% [30%] Moderate; 23% [20%] Somewhat liberal; 19% [22%] Somewhat conservative; 14% [17%] Very conservative; 11% [11%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets.