Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Mitt Romney 25% {25%} [25%] (30%)
• Herman Cain 23% {17%} [5%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 14% {17%} [30%] (8%)
• Newt Gingrich 12% {9%} [5%] (6%) 
• Ron Paul 9% {9%} [10%] (10%) 
• Michele Bachmann 4% {7%} [9%] (17%) 
• Rick Santorum 2% {2%} [3%] (3%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% {1%} [1%] (3%)
• Other 0% {2%} [2%] (1%) 
• No one/None of them 2% {4%} [4%] (2%) 
• Would not vote 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
• No opinion 8% {7%} [5%] (9%)

Will you definitely vote for __________________, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (If chance change mind) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?

• Definitely vote 27%
• Unlikely chance change mind 24%
• Good chance change mind 45%

Second Choice

• Mitt Romney 21%
• Herman Cain 17%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Rick Perry 11%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Jon Huntsman 5%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Other 1%
• No one/None of them 4%
• Would not vote 1%
• No opinion 5%

It’s been reported that two female employees accused Cain of making unwanted sexual advances in the 1990s, and they received financial payments to leave the trade association he headed at the time. Cain says he was falsely accused and never sexually harassed anyone. Do you think this is a serious matter, or not serious?

• Serious 39%
• Not serious 55%

Does this situation make you more likely to vote for Cain for president, less likely, or doesn’t it make a difference in your vote?

• More likely 4%
• Less likely 23%
• No difference 69%

Survey of 438 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning independents was conducted October 31 - November 3, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 2, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in square brackets.