Tuesday, December 06, 2011

Poll Watch: New York Times/CBS News Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

New York Times/CBS News Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 31%
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Ron Paul 16%
  • Rick Perry 11%
  • Michele Bachmann 9%
  • Rick Santorum 4%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
(Among Gingrich voters) Would you describe your support for Newt Gingrich as strongly favoring Newt Gingrich, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support Newt Gingrich because you dislike the other candidates?
  • Strongly favor 47%
  • Like but with reservations 42%
  • Dislike other candidates 10%
(Among Romney voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring Mitt Romney, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support Mitt Romney because you dislike the other candidates?
  • Strongly favor 39%
  • Like but with reservations 51%
  • Dislike other candidates 10%
Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?
  • Mind made up 34%
  • Too early to say for sure 66%
Second Choice
  • Mitt Romney 18%
  • Newt Gingrich 16%
  • Ron Paul 15%
  • Rick Perry 13%
  • Michele Bachmann 10%
  • Rick Santorum 7%
  • Jon Huntsman 3%
2nd Choice Among Gingrich Voters
  • Mitt Romney 31%
  • Ron Paul 17%
  • Rick Perry 15%
  • Rick Santorum 11%
  • Michele Bachmann 7%
  • Jon Huntsman 2%
2nd Choice Among Romney Voters
  • Newt Gingrich 27%
  • Rick Perry 18%
  • Ron Paul 14%
  • Michele Bachmann 7%
  • Rick Santorum 5%
  • Jon Huntsman 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Newt Gingrich 55% / 16% {+39%}
  • Rick Santorum 31% / 13% {+18%}
  • Michele Bachmann 42% / 30% {+12%}
  • Ron Paul 39% / 28% {+11%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% / 33% {+10%}
  • Rick Perry 35% / 33% {+2%}
  • Jon Huntsman 11% / 22% {-11%}
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think is best prepared for the job of President of the United States?
  • Newt Gingrich 43%
  • Mitt Romney 20%
  • Ron Paul 11%
  • Rick Perry 8%
  • Michele Bachmann 2%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
  • All of them 1%
  • None of them 3%
  • No answer 6%
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to handle an international crisis?
  • Newt Gingrich 44%
  • Mitt Romney 16%
  • Ron Paul 10%
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Michele Bachmann 3%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Jon Huntsman 2%
  • All of them 1%
  • None of them 3%
  • No answer 8%
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think is most qualified to be Commander-in-Chief?
  • Newt Gingrich 40%
  • Mitt Romney 19%
  • Ron Paul 11%
  • Rick Perry 8%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Michele Bachmann 2%
  • Jon Huntsman 2%
  • All of them 1%
  • None of them 2%
  • No answer 8%
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to deal with the economy and unemployment?
  • Mitt Romney 22%
  • Newt Gingrich 21%
  • Ron Paul 15%
  • Rick Perry 13%
  • Michele Bachmann 4%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
  • All of them 1%
  • None of them 2%
  • No answer 8%
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to handle the federal budget deficit?
  • Newt Gingrich 25%
  • Paul 19%
  • Romney 17%
  • Perry 10%
  • Bachmann 5%
  • Santorum 3%
  • Huntsman 1%
  • All of them 1%
  • None of them 3%
  • No answer 7%
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to deal with health care?
  • Newt Gingrich 24%
  • Mitt Romney 15%
  • Ron Paul 15%
  • Michele Bachmann 13%
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Rick Santorum 4%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
  • All of them 2%
  • None of them 3%
  • No answer 11%
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to deal with the issue of illegal immigration?
  • Newt Gingrich 21%
  • Rick Perry 20%
  • Ron Paul 15%
  • Mitt Romney 13%
  • Michele Bachmann 7%
  • Rick Santorum 4%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
  • All of them 1%
  • None of them 3%
  • No answer 12%
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama in the general election in November?
  • Newt Gingrich 31%
  • Mitt Romney 29%
  • Rick Perry 9%
  • Ron Paul 6%
  • Michele Bachmann 3%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • All of them 5%
  • None of them 2%
  • No answer 9%
If Newt Gingrich became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
  • Enthusiastically support 43%
  • Support with reservations 29%
  • Support only because nominee 13%
  • Not support 12%
If Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
  • Enthusiastically support 34%
  • Support with reservations 29%
  • Support only because nominee 23%
  • Not support 13%
If Ron Paul became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
  • Enthusiastically support 31%
  • Support with reservations 31%
  • Support only because nominee 21%
  • Not support 15%
If Rick Perry became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
  • Enthusiastically support 30%
  • Support with reservations 31%
  • Support only because nominee 20%
  • Not support 16%
If Michele Bachmann became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support her, support her but with reservations, support her only because she is the Republican Party nominee, or not support her?
  • Enthusiastically support 34%
  • Support with reservations 25%
  • Support only because nominee 22%
  • Not support 18%
If Rick Santorum became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
  • Enthusiastically support 28%
  • Support with reservations 23%
  • Support only because nominee 27%
  • Not support 15%
If Jon Huntsman became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
  • Enthusiastically support 10%
  • Support with reservations 23%
  • Support only because nominee 36%
  • Not support 18%
Do you think Ron Paul says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • What he believes 81%
  • What he thinks people want to hear 13%
Do you think Michele Bachmann says what she believes most of the time, or does she say what she thinks people want to hear?
  • What she believes 63%
  • What she thinks people want to hear 27%
Do you think Newt Gingrich says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • What he believes 63%
  • What he thinks people want to hear 30%
Do you think Rick Perry says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • What he believes 56%
  • What he thinks people want to hear 37%
Do you think Rick Santorum says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • What he believes 48%
  • What he thinks people want to hear 24%
Do you think Jon Huntsman says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • What he believes 33%
  • What he thinks people want to hear 23%
Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • What he believes 40%
  • What he thinks people want to hear 53%
Which matters more to you: the candidate's views on economic issues or social issues?
  • Economic issues 71%
  • Social issues 14%
  • Both equally 13%
  • No answer 1%
Survey of 642 likely Republican caucus-goers was conducted November 30 - December 5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

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