Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 35% [28%] (15%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]  
  • Mitt Romney 22% [18%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (20%) {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%]
  • Ron Paul 11% [5%] (5%) {11%} [6%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]
  • Michele Bachmann 7% [5%] (5%) {9%} [16%] (21%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {8%}
  • Rick Perry 6% [6%] (14%) {31%} [33%] (12%)
  • Rick Santorum 4% [1%] (1%) {2%} [4%]
  • Jon Huntsman 3% [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
  • Gary Johnson 1% [1%] (0%)
Very Conservative (42%)
  • Newt Gingrich 38%  
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Ron Paul 10%
  • Michele Bachmann 9%
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Rick Santorum 6%
  • Gary Johnson 2%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
Somewhat Conservative (38%)
  • Newt Gingrich 36%  
  • Mitt Romney 24%
  • Ron Paul 11%
  • Michele Bachmann 6%
  • Rick Perry 6%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Jon Huntsman 2%
  • Gary Johnson 0%
Moderate (16%)
  • Mitt Romney 31% 
  • Newt Gingrich 26%  
  • Ron Paul 15%
  • Jon Huntsman 11%
  • Michele Bachmann 7%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Rick Perry 1%
    Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
    • Strongly committed to that candidate 38%
    • Might end up supporting someone else 62%
    Second Choice
    • Newt Gingrich 17%
    • Mitt Romney 17%
    • Michele Bachmann 12%
    • Rick Perry 9%
    • Ron Paul 7%
    • Rick Santorum 5%
    • Jon Huntsman 3%
    • Gary Johnson 1%
    • Someone else/Not sure 29%
    If the Republican candidate field was down to Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
    • Newt Gingrich 43%
    • Mitt Romney 28%
    • Ron Paul 14%
    • Jon Huntsman 5%
    • Not sure 10%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Newt Gingrich 60% [68%] (57%) {46%} {36%} [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 28% [23%] (30%) {39%} {49%} [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+32%} 
    • Mitt Romney 55% [48%] (55%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 31% [39%] (31%) {32%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+24%}
    • Michele Bachmann 41% [40%] (41%) {45%} [51%] (48%) / 41% [41%] (39%) {36%} [32%] (26%) {0%}
    • Rick Perry 37% [35%] (42%) {58%} [64%] / 47% [49%] (38%) {24%} [17%] {-10%
    • Ron Paul 34% [31%] (29%) [44%] / 52% [52%] (54%) [30%] {-18%
    Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
    • Yes 28% [32%] (32%) {38%}
    • No 57% [54%] (52%) {46%}
    Survey of 658 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 16-18, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42% [36%] (32%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative; 38% [39%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 16% [18%] (17%) {19%} [17%] (20%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 3% [3%] (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [4%] (3%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

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