Monday, December 19, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mitt Romney 35% [28%] (40%)
  • Ron Paul 19% [9%] (18%)
  • Newt Gingrich 17% [4%] (17%)
  • Jon Huntsman 13% [7%]
  • Michele Bachmann 5% [21%] (8%)
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Rick Perry 2% [9%]
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 4% [9%] (10%)
Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
  • Strongly committed to that candidate 65%
  • Might end up supporting someone else 35%
Second Choice
  • Newt Gingrich 17%
  • Mitt Romney 16%
  • Ron Paul 13%
  • Jon Huntsman 10%
  • Michele Bachmann 9%
  • Rick Santorum 5%
  • Rick Perry 4%
  • Gary Johnson 3%
  • Someone else/Undecided 22%
If the candidates at the time of the New Hampshire primary were just Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
  • Mitt Romney 37%
  • Ron Paul 21%
  • Newt Gingrich 20%
  • Jon Huntsman 15%
  • Not sure 7%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 63% [60%] (68%) / 30% [29%] (19%) {+33%}
  • Ron Paul 53% [53%] (53%) / 38% [30%] (21%) {+15%}
  • Jon Huntsman 47% [25%] (8%) / 34% [26%] (13%) {+13%}
  • Michele Bachmann 42% [64%] (38%) / 46% [24%] (18%) {-4%}
  • Rick Santorum 37% [40%] (30%) / 44% [25%] (17%) {-7%}
  • Newt Gingrich 42% [33%] (45%) / 51% [51%] (36%) {-9%}
  • Rick Perry 24% [33%] / 63% [13%] {-39%}
What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?
  • A candidate's ability to beat Obama 35%
  • Their issue positions 51%
Do you think that Ron Paul has strong principles, or not?
  • He does 69%
  • He does not 8%
Do you think that Mitt Romney has strong principles, or not?
  • He does 51%
  • He does not 26%
Do you think that Jon Huntsman has strong principles, or not?
  • He does 48%
  • He does not 15%
Do you think that Newt Gingrich has strong principles, or not?
  • He does 34%
  • He does not 41%
Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?
  • Mitt Romney 38%
  • Newt Gingrich 14%
  • Jon Huntsman 9%
  • Ron Paul 9%
  • Michele Bachmann 3%
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Rick Perry 1%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 24%
Who do you think is going to win the New Hampshire primary?
  • Mitt Romney 41%
  • Newt Gingrich 12%
  • Ron Paul 9%
  • Jon Huntsman 4%
  • Michele Bachmann 2%
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Rick Perry 0%
  • Rick Santorum 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 31%
Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in New Hampshire?
  • Mitt Romney 35%
  • Ron Paul 12%
  • Jon Huntsman 10%
  • Newt Gingrich 5%
  • Michele Bachmann 2%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Rick Perry 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 34%
Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
  • Yes 24% [33%] (30%)
  • No 68% [54%] (51%)
Do you think that Barack Obama was born in the United States, or not?
  • He was 53%
  • He was not 27%
  • Not sure 20%
Would you support or oppose repealing New Hampshire’s law allowing same-sex marriages?
  • Support 44%
  • Oppose 39%
  • Not sure 17%
Survey of 1,235 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted December 16-18, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 61% [65%] (67%) Republican; 34% [33%] (32%) Independent/Other; 5% [2%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 36% [36%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 27% [37%] (31%) Very conservative; 26% [21%] (22%) Moderate; 7% [4%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 4% [2%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

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