Thursday, December 29, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mitt Romney 36% {35%} [28%] (40%)
  • Ron Paul 21% {19%} [9%] (18%)
  • Newt Gingrich 13% {17%} [4%] (17%)
  • Jon Huntsman 12% {13%} [7%]
  • Michele Bachmann 7% {5%} [21%] (8%)
  • Buddy Roemer 3%
  • Rick Perry 3% {2%} [9%]
  • Rick Santorum 3% {3%} 
  • Someone else/Undecided 2% {4%} [9%] (10%)
Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
  • Strongly committed to that candidate 71% {65%}
  • Might end up supporting someone else 29% {35%}
Second Choice
  • Mitt Romney 18% {16%}
  • Newt Gingrich 15% {17%}
  • Jon Huntsman 13% {10%}
  • Rick Santorum 8% {5%} 
  • Ron Paul 8% {13%}
  • Michele Bachmann 7% {9%}
  • Rick Perry 4% {4%}
  • Buddy Roemer 2%
  • Someone else/Undecided {22%}
If the candidates at the time of the New Hampshire primary were just Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
  • Mitt Romney 37% {37%}
  • Ron Paul 23% {21%}
  • Newt Gingrich 16% {20%}
  • Jon Huntsman 16% {15%}
  • Not sure 8% {7%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 63% {63%} [60%] (68%) / 32% {30%} [29%] (19%) {+31%}
  • Jon Huntsman 55% {47%} [25%] (8%) / 27% {34%} [26%] (13%) {+28%}
  • Ron Paul 47% {53%} [53%] (53%) / 46% {38%} [30%] (21%) {+1%}
  • Rick Santorum 39% {37%} [40%] (30%) / 40% {44%} [25%] (17%) {-1%
  • Michele Bachmann 38% {42%} [64%] (38%) / 48% {46%} [24%] (18%) {-10%}
  • Newt Gingrich 42% {42%} [33%] (45%) / 53% {51%} [51%] (36%) {-11%}
  • Rick Perry 26% {24%} [33%] / 62% {63%} [13%] {-36%}
What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?
  • A candidate's ability to beat Obama 36% {35%}
  • Their issue positions 55% {51%}
Do you think that Ron Paul has strong principles, or not?
  • He does 72% {69%}
  • He does not 12% {8%}
Do you think that Mitt Romney has strong principles, or not?
  • He does 52% {51%}
  • He does not 30% {26%}
Do you think that Jon Huntsman has strong principles, or not?
  • He does 51% {48%}
  • He does not 18% {15%}
Do you think that Newt Gingrich has strong principles, or not?
  • He does 31% {34%}
  • He does not 49% {41%}
Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?
  • Mitt Romney 44% {38%}
  • Newt Gingrich 11% {14%}
  • Ron Paul 10% {9%}
  • Jon Huntsman 8% {9%}
  • Michele Bachmann 6% {3%}
  • Buddy Roemer 1%
  • Rick Perry 1% {1%}
  • Rick Santorum 1% {1%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 18% {24%}
Who do you think is going to win the New Hampshire primary?
  • Mitt Romney 47% {41%}
  • Ron Paul 13% {9%}
  • Newt Gingrich 6% {12%}
  • Jon Huntsman 5% {4%}
  • Michele Bachmann 3% {2%}
  • Buddy Roemer 2%
  • Rick Perry 1% {0%}
  • Rick Santorum 1% {0%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 23% {31%}
Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in New Hampshire?
  • Mitt Romney 40% {35%}
  • Ron Paul 15% {12%}
  • Jon Huntsman 10% {10%}
  • Newt Gingrich 4% {5%}
  • Michele Bachmann 3% {2%}
  • Buddy Roemer 2%
  • Rick Perry 1% {0%}
  • Rick Santorum 0% {1%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 26% {34%}
Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
  • Yes 24% {24%} [33%] (30%)
  • No 66% {68%} [54%] (51%)
Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
  • Are 23%
  • Are not 77%
Do you regularly watch Fox News, or not?
  • Do 51%
  • Do not 49%
Regularly Watch Fox News
  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Newt Gingrich 18%
  • Ron Paul 15%
  • Michele Bachmann 8%
  • Jon Huntsman 6%
  • Rick Santorum 4%
  • Rick Perry 3%
  • Buddy Roemer 0% 
  • Someone else/Undecided 1%
Do NOT Regularly Watch Fox News
  • Mitt Romney 28%
  • Ron Paul 27%
  • Jon Huntsman 18% 
  • Newt Gingrich 8%
  • Michele Bachmann 6%
  • Buddy Roemer 5%  
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Rick Perry 2%
  • Someone else/Undecided 4%
    Survey of 830 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted December 27-28, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 61% {61%} [65%] (67%) Republican; 34% {34%} [33%] (32%) Independent/Other; 4% {5%} [2%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 39% {36%} [36%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 27% {26%} [21%] (22%) Moderate; 25% {27%} [37%] (31%) Very conservative; 5% {4%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal; 4% {7%} [4%] (3%) Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

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