Thursday, December 08, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 46% (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
    • Barack Obama 49% (50%) {49%} [48%] [50%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
    • Newt Gingrich 45% (43%) {42%} [43%] [40%] (42%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)
    • Barack Obama 47% (48%) {46%}
    • Ron Paul 42% (40%) {43%}
    • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
    • Rick Perry 42% (42%) {44%} [46%] (40%)
      Note: In 2008, John McCain received 49% of the vote in North Carolina. In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the vote in NC.

      Among Independents
      • Ron Paul 47% (48%) {50%}
      • Barack Obama 39% (38%) {36%}
      • Mitt Romney 45% (49%) {50%} [56%] (39%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
      • Barack Obama 40% (34%) {34%} [29%] (38%) {33%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)
          • Newt Gingrich 47% (46%) {47%} [48%] [33%] (38%) {43%} [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)
          • Barack Obama 43% (44%) {42%} [38%] [45%] (50%) {47%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%](39%)
          • Barack Obama 45% (44%) {45%} [31%] (42%)
          • Rick Perry 41% (45%) {47%} [54%] (43%)
          Note: In 2008, John McCain received 60% of the Independent vote in North Carolina (27% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the Independent vote in NC (21% of the electorate).
          Among Men
          • Mitt Romney 54% (54%) {53%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
          • Barack Obama 39% (39%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)
            • Newt Gingrich 53% (49%) {51%} [51%] [41%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (55%)
            • Barack Obama 43% (44%) {41%} [41%] [50%] (45%) {49%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (38%)
            • Ron Paul 50% (45%) {51%}
            • Barack Obama 41% (42%) {36%}
            • Rick Perry 52% (46%) {52%} [53%] (49%)
            • Barack Obama 43% (45%) {39%} [39%] (42%)
            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 56% of the Male vote in North Carolina (46% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 60% of the Male vote in NC (41% of the electorate).
            Among Women
            • Barack Obama 53% (50%) {54%} [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%{44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
            • Mitt Romney 38% (40%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)
              • Barack Obama 55% (55%) {57%} [54%] [51%] (55%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (53%)
              • Newt Gingrich 38% (38%) {34%} [36%] [40%] (38%) {46%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (37%)
              • Barack Obama 53% (53%) {55%}
              • Ron Paul 34% (35%) {35%}
              • Barack Obama 56% (54%) {56%} [52%] (54%)
              • Rick Perry 32% (38%) {37%} [40%] (32%)
                Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Female vote in North Carolina (54% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 54% of the Female vote in NC (59% of the electorate).

                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Newt Gingrich 41% (35%) {29%} [22%] [23%] (28%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 49% (53%) {58%} [61%] [58%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-8%} 
                • Mitt Romney 32% (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 51% (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-19%}
                • Ron Paul 26% (22%) {24%} / 54% (54%) {52%} {-28%}
                • Rick Perry 19% (23%) {24%} [34%] (22%) / 65% (57%) {56%} [43%] (36%) {-46%}
                Among Independents
                • Newt Gingrich 41% (35%) {26%} [26%] [19%] (28%) {24%} [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 43% (49%) {56%} [63%] [64%] (57%) {56%} [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-2%} 
                • Ron Paul 34% (44%) {31%} / 44% (33%) {42%} {-10%
                • Mitt Romney 33% (33%) {37%} [35%] (27%) {30%} [35%] (36%) {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 50% (48%) {46%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-17%}
                • Rick Perry 14% (19%) {17%} [44%] (23%) / 67% (54%) {60%} [34%] (38%) {-53%}
                Among Men
                • Newt Gingrich 50% (44%) {34%} [28%] [19%] (30%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [40%] (43%) / 45% (49%) {57%} [60%] [67%] (56%) {55%} [43%] (50%) {46%} [50%] (41%) {+5%}
                • Mitt Romney 33% (39%) {35%} [33%] (36%) {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 55% (46%) {48%} [55%] (48%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-22%} 
                • Ron Paul 29% (28%) {29%} / 56% (56%) {50%} {-27%
                • Rick Perry 22% (27%) {29%} [39%] (26%) / 66% (59%) {55%} [46%] (40%) {-44%}
                Among Women
                • Mitt Romney 32% (33%) {28%} [23%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 48% (47%) {50%} [49%] (44%) {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-16%}
                • Newt Gingrich 32% (27%) {25%} [17%] [27%] (25%) {29%} [23%] (24%) {31%} [31%] (26%) / 52% (56%) {59%} [62%] [51%] (53%) {45%} [52%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {-20%} 
                • Ron Paul 24% (17%) {19%} / 53% (52%) {55%} {-29%
                • Rick Perry 16% (19%) {20%} [30%] (18%) / 63% (55%) {56%} [40%] (32%) {-47%}
                Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
                • Approve 47% (45%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
                • Disapprove 50% (50%) {53%} [53%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)
                Survey of 865 North Carolina voters was conducted December 1-4, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 47% (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 35% (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 18% (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (31%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 24% (27%) {25%} [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (17%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 17% (17%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% (8%) {10%} [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

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