Tuesday, December 06, 2011

Poll Watch: Washington Post-ABC News Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

Washington Post-ABC News Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 33%
  • Mitt Romney 18%
  • Ron Paul 18% 
  • Rick Perry 11%
  • Michele Bachmann 8%
  • Rick Santorum 7%
  • Jon Huntsman 2%
Will you definitely support __________________ as your first choice, or is there a chance you could change your mind and support someone else as your first choice? (If Chance Change Mind): Would you say there’s a good chance you'll change your mind, or is it pretty unlikely?
  • Definitely support 45%
  • Chance could change mind, but pretty unlikely 26%
  • Good chance will change mind 27%
Newt Gingrich supporters
  • Definitely support 37%
  • Chance could change mind, but pretty unlikely 26%
  • Good chance will change mind 34%
Mitt Romney supporters
  • Definitely support 28%
  • Chance could change mind, but pretty unlikely 31%
  • Good chance will change mind 39%
Ron Paul supporters
  • Definitely support 50%
  • Chance could change mind, but pretty unlikely 17%
  • Good chance will change mind 30%
Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think:

Has the best experience to be president
  • Newt Gingrich 43%
  • Mitt Romney 16%
  • Ron Paul 13%
  • Rick Perry 9%
  • Michele Bachmann 2%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election
  • Newt Gingrich 29%
  • Mitt Romney 24%
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Rick Perry 6%
  • Michele Bachmann 2%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president?
  • Michele Bachmann 23%
  • Mitt Romney 18%
  • Ron Paul 16%
  • Rick Perry 15%
  • Newt Gingrich 12%
  • Jon Huntsman 11%
  • Rick Santorum 8%
  • None of these 26%
Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle:

The Economy
  • Newt Gingrich 27%
  • Mitt Romney 20%
  • Ron Paul 16% 
  • Rick Perry 9%
  • Michele Bachmann 8%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
Immigration Issues
  • Rick Perry 21% 
  • Newt Gingrich 20%
  • Ron Paul 11% 
  • Mitt Romney 9%
  • Michele Bachmann 8%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
Social Issues (Abortion/Gay Marriage)
  • Michele Bachmann 22%
  • Mitt Romney 14%
  • Newt Gingrich 13%
  • Ron Paul 11% 
  • Rick Perry 9%
  • Rick Santorum 7%
  • Jon Huntsman 2%
For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to support that candidate, a major reason to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor?

Mitt Romney’s policies on health care when he was governor of Massachusetts
  • Major reason to support 14%
  • Major reason to oppose 45%
  • Not a major factor 34%
Mitt Romney’s religious beliefs
  • Major reason to support 4%
  • Major reason to oppose 15%
  • Not a major factor 78%
Mitt Romney’s business experience
  • Major reason to support 61%
  • Major reason to oppose 7%
  • Not a major factor 27%
Newt Gingrich’s political experience
  • Major reason to support 70%
  • Major reason to oppose 11%
  • Not a major factor 15%
Newt Gingrich’s marital history
  • Major reason to support 1%
  • Major reason to oppose 16%
  • Not a major factor 79%
Newt Gingrich’s position on illegal immigration
  • Major reason to support 38%
  • Major reason to oppose 15%
  • Not a major factor 36%
Survey of 356 likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers was conducted November 30 - December 4, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.

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