Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Mitt Romney 30% (25%) {25%} [25%] (30%)
  • Newt Gingrich 30% (12%) {9%} [5%] (6%) 
  • Ron Paul 15% (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) 
  • Michele Bachmann 7% (4%) {7%} [9%] (17%) 
  • Rick Perry 6% (14%) {17%} [30%] (8%)
  • Rick Santorum 4% (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Jon Huntsman 2% (1%) {1%} [1%] (3%)
  • Other 0% (0%) {2%} [2%] (1%) 
  • No one/None of them 1% (2%) {4%} [4%] (2%) 
  • Would not vote 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • No opinion 4% (8%) {7%} [5%] (9%)
Second Choice
  • Mitt Romney 22% (21%)
  • Newt Gingrich 21% (14%)
  • Ron Paul 13% (9%)
  • Rick Perry 10% (11%)
  • Michele Bachmann 10% (9%)
  • Rick Santorum 7% (3%)
  • Jon Huntsman 3% (5%)
  • Other 2% (1%)
  • No one/None of them 6% (4%)
  • Would not vote 1% (1%)
  • No opinion 5% (5%)
Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?
  • Mitt Romney 40%
  • Newt Gingrich 35%
  • Ron Paul 6%
  • Michele Bachmann 5%
  • Rick Perry 3%
  • Jon Huntsman 2%
  • Rick Santorum 0%
  • Other 0%
  • No opinion 8%
Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think:

Has the best experience to be president
  • Newt Gingrich 43% (16%)
  • Mitt Romney 23% (27%)
  • Ron Paul 8% (6%)
  • Rick Perry 5% (8%)
  • Michele Bachmann 4% (7%)
  • Jon Huntsman 3% (2%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% (2%)
Is better qualified to be commander in chief of the U.S. military
  • Newt Gingrich 35%
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Rick Perry 8%
  • Ron Paul 7%
  • Jon Huntsman 4% 
  • Michele Bachmann 3%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election
  • Mitt Romney 38% (33%) [20%] (32%)
  • Newt Gingrich 28% (5%) [5%] (6%)
  • Ron Paul 9% (3%) [4%] (3%)
  • Rick Perry 3% (11%) [30%] (6%)
  • Michele Bachmann 3% (1%) [4%] (7%)
  • Jon Huntsman 3% (0%) [1%] (2%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% (0%) [1%] (1%)
Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party
  • Newt Gingrich 23% (19%) [6%] (9%)
  • Mitt Romney 23% (20%) [18%] (19%)
  • Michele Bachmann 13% (5%) [10%] (11%)
  • Ron Paul 10% (4%) [6%] (8%)
  • Rick Perry 7% (10%) [19%] (7%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% (3%) [4%] (3%)
  • Jon Huntsman 3% (1%) [1%] (1%)
Is the most likely to stand up for what he or she believes in
  • Newt Gingrich 23%
  • Mitt Romney 20%
  • Michele Bachmann 17% 
  • Ron Paul 16%
  • Rick Perry 6%
  • Rick Santorum 4%
  • Jon Huntsman 3%
Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle:

The economy
  • Mitt Romney 31% (22%) [22%]
  • Newt Gingrich 25% (13%) [7%]
  • Ron Paul 13% (7%) [8%]
  • Michele Bachmann 7% (4%) [5%]
  • Rick Perry 7% (10%) [22%]
  • Jon Huntsman 3% (2%) [0%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% (1%) [2%]
The federal budget deficit
  • Mitt Romney 25%
  • Newt Gingrich 25%
  • Ron Paul 15%
  • Michele Bachmann 9%
  • Rick Perry 6%
  • Jon Huntsman 2%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
Healthcare
  • Mitt Romney 25%
  • Newt Gingrich 23%
  • Ron Paul 14%
  • Michele Bachmann 11%
  • Rick Perry 6%
  • Jon Huntsman 4%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
Regardless of who you may support, do you think ___________________ has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president, or not?

Mitt Romney
  • Yes 67%
  • No 26%
Newt Gingrich
  • Yes 61%
  • No 33%
Ron Paul
  • Yes 37%
  • No 51%
If elected, do you think _____________________ would pursue policies that most people in this country would accept, or do you think he would pursue policies that most people would find unacceptable?

Mitt Romney
  • Accept 71%
  • Find unacceptable 22%
Newt Gingrich
  • Accept 66%
  • Find unacceptable 28%
Ron Paul
  • Accept 42%
  • Find unacceptable 46%
Just between Gingrich and Romney, who do you think is closer to you on the issues?
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Newt Gingrich 45%
Survey of 395 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning independents was conducted December 15-18, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 2, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in square brackets. 

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