Saturday, February 25, 2012

Poll Watch: American Research Group Arizona 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Arizona 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mitt Romney 39% [38%] (32%)
  • Rick Santorum 35% [31%] (10%) 
  • Newt Gingrich 11% [15%] (32%)
  • Ron Paul 9% [11%] (12%)
  • Undecided 5% [5%] (12%)
Have Already Voted (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Rick Santorum 29%
  • Newt Gingrich 13%
  • Ron Paul 8%
Will Definitely/Probably Vote (52%)
  • Rick Santorum 41%
  • Mitt Romney 29%
  • Ron Paul 10%
  • Newt Gingrich 9%
  • Other 2%
  • Undecided 9%
Among Men (54%)
  • Rick Santorum 43% [37%] (9%) 
  • Mitt Romney 32% [30%] (30%)
  • Newt Gingrich 13% [17%] (35%)
  • Ron Paul 10% [13%] (12%)
  • Undecided 1% [3%] (13%)
Among Women (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (34%)
  • Rick Santorum 26% [24%] (11%) 
  • Newt Gingrich 9% [13%] (28%)
  • Ron Paul 8% [9%] (12%)
  • Undecided 9% [7%] (12%)
Among Tea Party Supporters (52%)
  • Rick Santorum 44% [34%] (13%) 
  • Mitt Romney 34% [41%] (23%)
  • Newt Gingrich 18% [10%] (40%)
  • Ron Paul 1% [7%] (11%)
  • Undecided 3% [8%] (13%)
Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% [35%] (40%)
  • Rick Santorum 25% [28%] (7%) 
  • Ron Paul 18% [15%] (13%)
  • Newt Gingrich 3% [20%] (25%)
  • Undecided 8% [2%] (11%)
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 23-24, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 25-26, 2012 are in parentheses.

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