Monday, February 27, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mitt Romney 43% [36%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (27%)
  • Rick Santorum 26% [33%] (3%)
  • Newt Gingrich 18% [16%] (28%) {10%} [15%] (19%)
  • Ron Paul 11% [9%] (8%) {12%} [5%] (9%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 1% [7%] (9%) {8%} [16%] (19%)
Have you already cast your ballot for President, or do you plan to vote on election day?
  • Already voted 47%
  • Plan to vote on election day 52%
Already Voted
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Rick Santorum 25%
  • Newt Gingrich 21%
  • Ron Paul 6%
Plan to Vote on Election Day
  • Mitt Romney 39%
  • Rick Santorum 27%
  • Newt Gingrich 16%
  • Ron Paul 15%
  • Someone else/Not sure 3%
    Very Conservative: 42% [42%]
    • Mitt Romney 37% [31%]
    • Rick Santorum 29% [44%]
    • Newt Gingrich 21% [16%]
    • Ron Paul 11% [5%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 1% [4%]
    Somewhat Conservative: 39% [35%]
    • Mitt Romney 49% [43%] 
    • Rick Santorum 30% [29%]
    • Newt Gingrich 14% [14%]
    • Ron Paul 6% [7%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 1% [7%]
    Among Men
    • Mitt Romney 40% [34%] 
    • Rick Santorum 26% [35%]
    • Newt Gingrich 22% [17%]
    • Ron Paul 11% [11%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 1% [2%]
    Among Women
    • Mitt Romney 47% [39%]
    • Rick Santorum 26% [31%]
    • Newt Gingrich 13% [14%]
    • Ron Paul 12% [5%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 1% [12%]
    Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
    • Strongly committed to that candidate 66% [56%] (42%)
    • Might end up supporting someone else 34% [44%] (58%)
    Did you watch the debate in Arizona on Wednesday night?
    • Yes 51%
    • No 49%
    Watched Debate
    • Mitt Romney 43%
    • Newt Gingrich 23%
    • Rick Santorum 21%
    • Ron Paul 12%
    • Someone else/Not sure 1%
    Did Not Watch Debate
    • Mitt Romney 44%
    • Rick Santorum 31%
    • Newt Gingrich 14%
    • Ron Paul 10%
    • Someone else/Not sure 1%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Mitt Romney 62% [58%] (56%) {60%} [62%] / 31% [34%] (34%) {25%} [22%] {+31%}
      • Rick Santorum 54% [61%] / 35% [27%] {+19%}
      • Newt Gingrich 46% [43%] (66%) {47%} [59%] / 42% [48%] (25%) {33%} [22%] {+4%}
      • Ron Paul 33% [30%] (41%) / 53% [57%] (46%) {-20%}
      Watched Debate
      • Mitt Romney 59% / 37% {+22%}
      • Rick Santorum 52% / 40% {+12%} 
      • Newt Gingrich 51% / 40% {+11%} 
      • Ron Paul 33% / 55% {-22%}
      Did Not Watch Debate
      • Mitt Romney 65% / 25% {+40%} 
      • Rick Santorum 56% / 29% {+27%}  
      • Newt Gingrich 41% / 44% {-3%}
      • Ron Paul 34% / 51% {-17%}
      Among Men
      • Mitt Romney 61% / 34% {+27%}
      • Rick Santorum 59% / 35% {+24%}
      • Newt Gingrich 52% / 43% {+9%}
      • Ron Paul 33% / 57% {-24%}
      Among Women
      • Mitt Romney 63% / 27% {+36%}
      • Rick Santorum 48% / 34% {+14%}
      • Newt Gingrich 39% / 41% {-2%
      • Ron Paul 34% / 49% {-15%
        Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
        • Yes 28% [32%] (31%)
        • No 60% [55%] (57%)
        Generally speaking, would you prefer to vote for a candidate you agree with most on the issues or a candidate who you think is best able to beat Barack Obama?
        • A candidate you agree with most on the issues 53%
        • A candidate you think is best able to beat Obama 35%
        Are you more concerned with a candidate’s position on economic issues like jobs, spending, taxes, and bailouts, or a candidate’s position on social issues like abortion, birth control, gay marriage, and immigration?
        • Economic issues 68%
        • Social issues 11%
        Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
        • Are an Evangelical 34%
        • Are not 66%
        Are you a Mormon, or not?
        • Are a Mormon 14%
        • Are not 86%
        Survey of 515 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 26, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 87% Republican; 13% Independent.  Political ideology: 42% [42%] (39%) {34%} Very conservative; 39% [35%] (36%) {39%} Somewhat conservative; 11% [17%] (15%) {22%} Moderate; 5% [4%] (6%) {3%} Somewhat liberal; 3% [1%] (4%) {1%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-25, 2010 are in parentheses.

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