Sunday, February 19, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Rick Santorum 37% {39%
  • Mitt Romney 33% {24%} [24%]
  • Ron Paul 15% {12%} [6%]
  • Newt Gingrich 10% {11%} [7%]
  • Someone else/Undecided 6% {13%} [17%]
Very Conservative: 31% {38%}
  • Rick Santorum 54% {51%} 
  • Mitt Romney 23% {20%}
  • Newt Gingrich 11% {10%}
  • Ron Paul 7% {9%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 6% {10%}
Somewhat Conservative: 38% {35%}
  • Mitt Romney 40% {24%} 
  • Rick Santorum 34% {41%} 
  • Ron Paul 10% {8%}
  • Newt Gingrich 9% {15%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 6% {13%}
Among Men: 53% {45%}
  • Rick Santorum 40% {35%}
  • Mitt Romney 28% {23%}
  • Ron Paul 19% {13%}
  • Newt Gingrich 9% {13%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 4% {15%}
Among Women: 47% {55%}
  • Mitt Romney 38% {25%}
  • Rick Santorum 34% {42%}
  • Newt Gingrich 10% {10%}
  • Ron Paul 10% {12%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 8% {11%}
    Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
    • Strongly committed to that candidate 64% {47%}
    • Might end up supporting someone else 36% {53%}
    Among Voters Strongly Committed to Candidate
    • Rick Santorum 39% {44%}
    • Mitt Romney 37% {31%}
    • Ron Paul 15% {14%}
    • Newt Gingrich 9% {10%}
      Second Choice
      • Rick Santorum 25% {18%}
      • Mitt Romney 18% {17%}
      • Newt Gingrich 17% {18%}
      • Ron Paul 11% {10%}
      • Someone else/Not sure 29% {37%}
      If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?
      • Rick Santorum 42% {48%}
      • Mitt Romney 33% {27%}
      • Ron Paul 16% {13%}
      • Not sure 8% {12%}
      Who do you think has more similar political beliefs to you, Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum?
      • Rick Santorum 48%
      • Mitt Romney 32%
      • Not sure 19%
      Would you rather have a beer with Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum?
      • Rick Santorum 42%
      • Mitt Romney 29%
      • Not sure 29%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Rick Santorum 67% {67%} / 23% {23%} {+44%}
      • Mitt Romney 55% {49%} [61%] (66%) {66%} / 35% {39%} [23%] (20%) {18%} {+20%}
      • Ron Paul 43% {32%} / 40% {51%} {+3%} 
      • Newt Gingrich 39% {38%} (55%) {52%} / 50% {47%} (24%) {26%} {-11%
      Do you think Rick Santorum is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
      • Too liberal 10%
      • Too conservative 20%
      • About right 63%
      Do you think Mitt Romney is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
      • Too liberal 37%
      • Too conservative 13%
      • About right 42%
      Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
      • Yes 25% {27%}
      • No 60% {58%}
      Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
      • Are an Evangelical 41% {48%}
      • Are not 59% {52%}
      Among Evangelical Christians
      • Rick Santorum 51% {48%} 
      • Mitt Romney 24% {20%}
      • Newt Gingrich 10% {12%}
      • Ron Paul 8% {8%}
      • Someone else/Undecided 6% {13%}
      Among Non-Evangelicals
      • Mitt Romney 38% {29%}
      • Rick Santorum 27% {31%} 
      • Ron Paul 19% {17%}
      • Newt Gingrich 9% {11%}
      • Someone else/Undecided 6% {13%}
      Does Rick Snyder’s endorsement make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or does it not make a difference?
      • More likely 13%
      • Less likely 28%
      • Doesn't make a difference 57%
      If a candidate opposed the bailout of the auto industry, would that make you more or less likely to vote for them, or would it not make a difference?
      • More likely 34%
      • Less likely 27%
      • Wouldn't make a difference 35%
      Do you consider Mitt Romney to be a Michigander, or not?
      • Consider him a Michigander 29% {26%}
      • Do not 62% {62%}
      Do you think Newt Gingrich should drop out of the Presidential race, or not?
      • He should drop out 47%
      • He should not 40%
      • Not sure 13%
      Think Gingrich Should Drop Out
      • Mitt Romney 44%
      • Rick Santorum 33%
      • Ron Paul 17%
      • Newt Gingrich 2%
      • Someone else/Undecided 3%
      Think Gingrich Should Not Drop Out
      • Rick Santorum 37%
      • Newt Gingrich 20%
      • Mitt Romney 20%
      • Ron Paul 14%
      • Someone else/Undecided 8%
        Are you or is anyone in your household a member of a labor union?
        • Yes 27% {24%}
        • No 73% {76%}
        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of birth control?
        • Favorable 56%
        • Unfavorable 22%
        Survey of 602 Republican primary voters was conducted February 17-19, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 68% {70%} Republican; 27% {26%} Independent; 5% {4%} Democrat.  Political ideology: 38% {35%} [43%] (38%) Somewhat conservative; 31% {38%} [34%] (40%) Very conservative; 22% {18%} [20%] (16%) Moderate; 6% {6%} [2%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in curly brackets. 

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