Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Minnesota 2012 GOP Caucus Poll

• Rick Santorum 33% {29%} [17%] 
• Mitt Romney 24% {27%} [18%] (11%)
• Newt Gingrich 22% {22%} [36%] (5%) 
• Ron Paul 20% {19%} [13%] (9%)
• Someone else/Not sure 2% {3%} [15%] (7%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 65% {63%} [37%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 35% {37%} [63%]

Strongly Committed to That Candidate

• Rick Santorum 29% {25%}
  
• Newt Gingrich 25% {24%}
• Mitt Romney 24% {29%}
• Ron Paul 22% {22%}

Might End Up Supporting Someone Else

• Rick Santorum 41% {38%}
• Mitt Romney 24% {26%}
• Newt Gingrich 17% {20%} 
• Ron Paul 17% {17%}

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 25% {25%} [21%] 
  
• Newt Gingrich 20% {20%} [16%]
• Mitt Romney 20% {19%} [16%]
• Ron Paul 10% {9%} [10%]
• Someone else/Not sure 24% {27%} [37%]

Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 35% {39%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% {24%}
• Rick Santorum 17% {13%}
• Ron Paul 11% {10%}
• Someone else/Not sure 14% {14%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 74% {72%} [56%] / 17% {18%} [24%] {+57%}
• Ron Paul 49% {48%} [36%] / 39% {41%} [45%] {+10%}
• Newt Gingrich 47% {47%} [59%] (35%) / 40% {39%} [25%] (41%) {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 48% {50%} [50%] (45%) / 41% {39%} [36%] (37%) {+7%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 33% {30%} [32%]
• No 55% {56%} [49%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 49% {48%}
• Are not 51% {52%}

Survey of 864 likely Republican caucus voters was conducted February 4 and 6, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% {41%} [43%] (37%) Very conservative; 35% {36%} [37%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 17% {16%} [14%] (15%) Moderate; 5% {4%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.