Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 46% {45%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 48% {46%}
• Rick Santorum 46% {46%}

• Barack Obama 50% {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] [50%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
• Newt Gingrich 45% {43%} [45%] (43%) {42%} [43%] [40%] (42%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)

• Barack Obama 47% {47%} [47%] (48%) {46%}
• Ron Paul 41% {41%} [42%] (40%) {43%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 49% of the vote in North Carolina. In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the vote in NC.

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 45% {47%} [47%] (48%) {50%}
• Barack Obama 43% {31%} [39%] (38%) {36%}

• Barack Obama 48% {31%} [40%] (34%) {34%} [29%] (38%) {33%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {51%} [45%] (49%) {50%} [56%] (39%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)

• Barack Obama 51% {33%}
  
• Rick Santorum 42% {53%}

• Barack Obama 52% {37%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [38%] [45%] (50%) {47%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%] (39%)
• Newt Gingrich 40% {47%} [47%] (46%) {47%} [48%] [33%] (38%) {43%} [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 60% of the Independent vote in North Carolina (27% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the Independent vote in NC (21% of the electorate).

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% {53%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 39% {39%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)

• Rick Santorum 53% {53%}
• Barack Obama 41% {39%}

• Ron Paul 51% {51%} [50%] (45%) {51%}
• Barack Obama 39% {40%} [41%] (42%) {36%}

• Newt Gingrich 51% {50%} [53%] (49%) {51%} [51%] [41%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (55%)
• Barack Obama 43% {43%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [41%] [50%] (45%) {49%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (38%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 56% of the Male vote in North Carolina (46% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 60% of the Male vote in NC (41% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% {52%}
• Rick Santorum 39% {39%}

• Barack Obama 55% {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%} [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 39% {38%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 56% {55%} [55%] (55%) {57%} [54%] [51%] (55%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (53%)
• Newt Gingrich 39% {37%} [38%] (38%) {34%} [36%] [40%] (38%) {46%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 55% {53%} [53%] (53%) {55%}
• Ron Paul 33% {32%} [34%] (35%) {35%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Female vote in North Carolina (54% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 54% of the Female vote in NC (59% of the electorate).
 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 35% {35%} / 50% {42%} {-15%}
• Mitt Romney 31% {34%} [32%] (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 56% {48%} [51%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-25%}
• Newt Gingrich 30% {28%} [41%] (35%) {29%} [22%] [23%] (28%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 58% {57%} [49%] (53%) {58%} [61%] [58%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-28%}  
• Ron Paul 24% {21%} [26%] (22%) {24%} / 60% {58%} [54%] (54%) {52%} {-36%}

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 39% {29%} [34%] (44%) {31%} / 46% {48%} [44%] (33%) {42%} {-7%} 
  
• Rick Santorum 34% {39%} / 51% {41%} {-17%}
• Mitt Romney 31% {35%} [33%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (27%) {30%} [35%] (36%) {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 57% {44%} [50%] (48%) {46%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-26%}
  
• Newt Gingrich 24% {29%} [41%] (35%) {26%} [26%] [19%] (28%) {24%} [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 61% {60%} [43%] (49%) {56%} [63%] [64%] (57%) {56%} [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-37%}  

Among Men

• Rick Santorum 40% {42%} / 47% {43%} {-7%}
• Mitt Romney 36% {38%} [33%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (36%) {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 52%  {48%} [55%] (46%) {48%} [55%] (48%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-16%} 
• Newt Gingrich 34% {34%} [50%] (44%) {34%} [28%] [19%] (30%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [40%] (43%) / 54% {55%} [45%] (49%) {57%} [60%] [67%] (56%) {55%} [43%] (50%) {46%} [50%] (41%) {-20%}
• Ron Paul 27% {28%} [29%] (28%) {29%} / 61% {57%} [56%] (56%) {50%} {-34%} 

Among Women

• Rick Santorum 29% {28%} / 52% {42%} {-23%}
• Mitt Romney 27% {30%} [32%] (33%) {28%} [23%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 60% {48%} [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (44%) {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-33%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% {23%} [32%] (27%) {25%} [17%] [27%] (25%) {29%} [23%] (24%) {31%} [31%] (26%) / 62% {58%} [52%] (56%) {59%} [62%] [51%] (53%) {45%} [52%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {-37%} 
• Ron Paul 21% {15%} [24%] (17%) {19%} / 58% {58%} [53%] (52%) {55%} {-37%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48% {47%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 49% {49%} [50%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Survey of 1,052 North Carolina voters was conducted February 3-5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% {48%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 35% {34%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 23% {18%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% {30%} [30%] (31%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 24% {27%} [24%] (27%) {25%} [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {18%} [19%] (17%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 15% {16%} [17%] (17%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {10%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.