Poll Watch: Rasmussen Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll

• Tommy Thompson (R) 50% (49%)
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 36% (42%)
• Some other candidate 4% (4%)
• Undecided 10% (6%)

• Mark Neumann (R) 46% (43%)
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 37% (44%)
• Some other candidate 4% (4%)
• Not sure 13% (9%)

• Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 41% (39%)
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 40% (46%)
• Some other candidate 4% (5%)
• Not sure 15% (11%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted February 27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

All three Republicans lead Baldwin among male voters, but only Thompson leads the Democrat among female voters.

Voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties prefer Thompson by 23 points – 51% to 28%. Neumann leads among unaffiliated voters by 13 points, while Fitzgerald edges Baldwin by just four among these voters.

Baldwin is viewed very favorably by 19% of Wisconsin voters and very unfavorably by 31%.

Nineteen percent share a very favorable opinion of Thompson, while 18% regard him very unfavorably. For Neumann who unsuccessfully sought the GOP gubernatorial nomination in 2010, very favorables are 13%, very unfavorables 20%. Fitzgerald who was a key player in the state’s legislative battle over collective bargaining rights for public employees is seen very favorably by 16% and very unfavorably by 26%.