Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2012 Presidential Survey

Siena College New York 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Mitt Romney 31% [32%] (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 29% [12%] (3%)
• Ron Paul 16% [9%] (8%)
• Rick Santorum 13%
• Don't know/No opinion 10% [15%] (9%)

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 34%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Ron Paul 17%
• Rick Santorum 11%
• Don't know/No opinion 8%

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 33%
• Newt Gingrich 24%
• Ron Paul 15%
• Rick Santorum 15%
• Don't know/No opinion 13%

Among Conservatives

• Newt Gingrich 37%
  
• Mitt Romney 25%
• Rick Santorum 18% 
• Ron Paul 14%
• Don't know/No opinion 7%

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 41%
• Newt Gingrich 23%
• Ron Paul 16%
• Rick Santorum 9%
• Don't know/No opinion 11%

 Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 52% [58%] (52%) / 40% [28%] (29%) {+12%}
• Rick Santorum 43% / 31% {+12%}
• Ron Paul 46% [33%] (33%) / 36% [37%] (32%) {+10%}
• Newt Gingrich 44% [46%] (34%) / 47% [44%] (55%) {-3%} 

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 63% [59%] {55%} [56%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 31% [34%] {37%} [36%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 65% [60%] (57%)
• Ron Paul 29% [31%] (32%)

• Barack Obama 65%
• Rick Santorum 28%

• Barack Obama 68% [63%]
• Newt Gingrich 26% [28%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 64% [57%] {55%} [52%] (52%) / 34% [40%] {43%} [45%] (45%) {+30%}
• Ron Paul 32% [26%] (26%) / 49% [46%] (40%) {-17%} 
• Rick Santorum 28% / 46% {-18%}
• Mitt Romney 35% [36%] {34%} [30%] (32%) / 55% [48%] {45%} [46%] (46%) {-20%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% [26%] (20%) / 67% [58%] (64%) {-43%}

How would you rate the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? Would you rate it excellent, good, fair, or poor?

• Excellent 15% [10%] {9%} [11%] (10%) [13%] {16%}
• Good 34% [33%] {29%} [29%] (26%) [32%] {37%}
• Fair 27% [28%] {32%} [28%] (30%) [30%] {24%}
• Poor 24% [29%] {30%} [33%] (33%) [25%] {23%}

Barack Obama is running for re-election as President in 2012. I know it's a ways off, but as things stand now, would you vote to reelect him or would you prefer someone else?

• Re-elect 58% [51%] {48%} [47%] (47%) [50%] (52%) {54%}
• Prefer someone else 36% [42%] {45%} [47%] (45%) [41%] (44%) {39%}

Survey of 807 registered voters, including a subsample of registered Republicans, was conducted January 29 - February 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points among all registered voters. Party ID breakdown: 48% [48%] {48%} Democrat; 24% [24%] {24%} Republican; 25% [24%] {25%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 41% [43%] {42%} Moderate; 28% [27%] {29%} Conservative; 28% [27%] {24%} Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 2011 are in curly brackets. Click here to view crosstabs.