Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Illinois 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Rick Santorum 30%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Very Conservative (35%)

• Rick Santorum 45%
• Mitt Romney 31%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Someone else/Not sure 0%

Somewhat Conservative (39%)

• Mitt Romney 60%
• Rick Santorum 20%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Someone else/Not sure 1%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 72%
• Might end up supporting someone else 28%

If the Republican candidates were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Rick Santorum 34%
• Ron Paul 14%
• Not sure 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 57% / 34% {+23%}
• Rick Santorum 55% / 36% {+19%}
• Newt Gingrich 46% / 43% {+3%}
• Ron Paul 35% / 54% {-19%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 25%
• No 61%

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 36%
• Are not 64%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 43%
• Mitt Romney 33%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 53%
• Rick Santorum 22%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Do you think Barack Obama is a Christian or a Muslim, or are you not sure?

• Christian 24%
• Muslim 39%
• Not sure 37%

Among Tea Party Members

• Christian 10%
• Muslim 54%
• Not sure 35%

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• Christian 34%
• Muslim 30%
• Not sure 37% 

Among Evangelical Christians 

• Christian 13%
• Muslim 47%
• Not sure 40%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Christian 31%
• Muslim 34%
• Not sure 35%

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States, or not?

• He was 36%
• He was not 36%
• Not sure 28%

Among Tea Party Members

• He was 17%
• He was not 46%
• Not sure 37%

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• He was 49%
• He was not 30%
• Not sure 21%

Do you believe in evolution, or not?

• Believe in evolution 41%
• Do not 43%
• Not sure 16%

Among Men

• Believe in evolution 48%
• Do not 35%
• Not sure 17%

Among Women

• Believe in evolution 32%
• Do not 53%
• Not sure 15%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Believe in evolution 20%
• Do not 69%
• Not sure 11%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Believe in evolution 53%
• Do not 28%
• Not sure 19%

Do you think that interracial marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 75%
• Illegal 16%
• Not sure 9%

Survey of 506 likely voters was conducted March 17-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 79% Republican; 17% Independent; 4% Democrat. Ideology: 39% Somewhat conservative; 35% Very conservative; 19% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.