Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 31% {25%} [30%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (17%) {12%} [16%] (23%) {25%}
• Rick Santorum 27% {31%} [20%] (24%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} 
• Newt Gingrich 24% {23%} [30%] (25%) {51%} [22%] (17%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {14%}
• Ron Paul 8% {8%} [11%] (9%) {7%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (6%) {9%}
• Someone else/Not sure 10% {13%} [9%] (11%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {10%}

Very Conservative

• Rick Santorum 35% {35%}
• Newt Gingrich 28% {32%}
• Mitt Romney 23% {19%}
• Ron Paul 9% {5%}
• Someone else/Not sure 6% {10%}

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 37% {30%}
• Rick Santorum 25% {33%}
• Newt Gingrich 22% {16%}
• Ron Paul 5% {8%}
• Someone else/Not sure 11% {13%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 31% {23%}
• Newt Gingrich 27% {25%}
• Rick Santorum 27% {31%}
• Ron Paul 8% {11%}
• Someone else/Not sure 8% {9%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 31% {27%}
• Rick Santorum 26% {31%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% {20%} 
• Ron Paul 9% {4%}
• Someone else/Not sure 13% {17%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 49% {52%} [45%] (42%) {37%} [34%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 51% {48%} [55%] (58%) {63%} [66%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 42% {43%}
• Mitt Romney 38% {33%}
• Ron Paul 10% {10%}
• Not sure 11% {14%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 58% {58%} [62%] (62%) / 27% {29%} [25%] (22%) {+31%}
• Mitt Romney 51% {43%} [53%] (46%) {50%} [53%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (56%) {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 35% {43%} [34%] (38%) {34%} [30%] (31%) {38%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {+16%}
• Newt Gingrich 48% {45%} [50%] (48%) {73%} [65%] (58%) {42%} {38%} [55%] (62%) {61%} [63%] / 39% {41%}  [35%] (35%) {17%} [25%] (31%) {43%} {47%} [25%] (18%) {21%} [21%] {+9%}
• Ron Paul 32% {28%} [32%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (34%) / 54% {55%} [55%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (45%) {-22%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 32%
• No 52%

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 64%
• Are not 36%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 31%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Newt Gingrich 26%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Someone else/Not sure 9%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 36%
  
• Newt Gingrich 20%
• Rick Santorum 20%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Someone else/Not sure 12%

Survey of 492 usual North Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted March 8-11, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 77% {75%} Republican; 21% {25%} Independent; 3% {0%} Democrat .  Political ideology: 42% {34%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} Somewhat conservative; 37% {49%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {39%} Very conservative; 15% {13%} [14%] (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} Moderate; 4% {4%} [6%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 2% {1%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conductedSeptember 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.