Inside the numbers:
Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2012 GOP Primary Poll
- Mitt Romney 41%
- Rick Santorum 32%
- Newt Gingrich 14%
- Ron Paul 7%
- Mitt Romney 48%
- Rick Santorum 44%
Given that 32% of voters could still change their mind before Tuesday, this represents a potential opportunity for Santorum. Most Gingrich supporters (55%) say they could still change their mind, and they overwhelmingly prefer Santorum over Romney in a two-man race.
Fifty percent (50%) of Illinois primary voters see Romney as the strongest general election candidate, while 24% say the same of Santorum.
Seventy-eight percent (78%) believe Romney is at least somewhat likely to defeat President Obama and 54% say the same of Santorum. Most (53%) think Gingrich is unlikely to win in November and 79% believe it is unlikely Paul could defeat the president.
Sixty-eight percent (68%) have a favorable opinion of Romney and 67% offer positive reviews for Santorum. The favorable numbers for Gingrich and Paul are 53% and 36%, respectively.