Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% 
  • Mitt Romney 44%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Ron Paul 43%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Newt Gingrich 41%
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 49% of the vote in North Carolina. In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the vote in NC.

Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% 
  • Barack Obama 43% 
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% 
  • Mitt Romney 39%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 29% / 58% {-29%}
  • Ron Paul 27% / 58% {-31%
  • Newt Gingrich 26% / 64% {-38%
Survey of 975 North Carolina voters was conducted April 4-7, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% Democrat; 35% Republican; 20% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 25% Somewhat conservative; 24% Moderate; 22% Very conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.
Trend Lines
  • Barack Obama 49% [49%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% [46%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 48% [48%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {46%}
  • Ron Paul 43% [41%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
  • Barack Obama 51% [51%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] [50%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
  • Newt Gingrich 41% [42%] (45%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {42%} [43%] [40%] (42%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% [54%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%) 
  • Barack Obama 43% [42%] (39%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% [55%] (55%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%} [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%{44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) 
  • Mitt Romney 39% [39%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 29% [31%] (31%) {34%} [32%] (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 58% [56%] (56%) {48%} [51%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-29%}
  • Ron Paul 27% [27%] (24%) {21%} [26%] (22%) {24%} / 58% [57%] (60%) {58%} [54%] (54%) {52%} {-31%
  • Newt Gingrich 26% [28%] (30%) {28%} [41%] (35%) {29%} [22%] [23%] (28%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 64% [59%] (58%) {57%} [49%] (53%) {58%} [61%] [58%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-38%}   

Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Party ID breakdown: 46% [45%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 35% [34%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 20% [21%] (23%) {18%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 25% [25%] (24%) {27%} [24%] (27%) {25%} [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 24% [29%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 22% [20%] (22%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 19% [15%] (15%) {16%} [17%] (17%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [12%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.  

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