Thursday, April 05, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mitt Romney 42% [25%] (12%) {17%} [14%] 
  • Rick Santorum 37% [43%] (12%) {14%} [11%]
  • Ron Paul 9% [9%] (9%) {9%} [4%]
  • Newt Gingrich 6% [13%] (32%) {6%} [16%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 6% [10%] (9%) {8%} [8%]
If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?
  • Rick Santorum 42% [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 41% [28%]
  • Ron Paul 12% [12%]
  • Not sure 6% [9%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Rick Santorum 62% [64%] (56%) {56%} [54%] / 31% [30%] (30%) {29%} [27%] {+31%}
  • Mitt Romney 57% [46%] (46%) {46%} [52%] / 35% [40%] (39%) {35%} [25%] {+22%}
  • Newt Gingrich 44% [42%] (63%) [54%] / 43% [43%] (24%) [25%] {+1%}
  • Ron Paul 40% [34%] (35%) / 48% [54%] (44%) {-8%}
Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
  • Yes 23% [27%] (31%)
  • No 63% [61%] (57%)
Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
  • Are an Evangelical 38% [41%]
  • Are not 62% [59%]
Among Evangelical Christians
  • Rick Santorum 44% [53%]
  • Mitt Romney 34% [16%]
  • Ron Paul 8% [8%]
  • Newt Gingrich 7% [14%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 6% [8%]
Among Non-Evangelicals
  • Mitt Romney 46% [31%]
  • Rick Santorum 32% [36%]
  • Ron Paul 10% [10%]
  • Newt Gingrich 6% [12%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% [11%]
Do you think that Rick Santorum should drop out of the Presidential race, or not?
  • He should 39%
  • He should not 52%
  • Not sure 9%
Regardless of which candidate you support, do you believe that Rick Santorum has a realistic chance of winning the Republican nomination for President, or not?
  • He has a realistic chance 36%
  • He does not 54%
  • Not sure 10%
Which of the Republican candidates for President do you think would have the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?
  • Mitt Romney 49%
  • Rick Santorum 24%
  • Newt Gingrich 10%
  • Ron Paul 5%
  • Not sure 12%
Survey of 403 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% [38%] (39%) {36%} Somewhat conservative; 37% [35%] (41%) {40%} Very conservative; 17% [18%] (15%) {16%} Moderate; 4% [6%] (4%) {5%} Somewhat liberal; 3% [3%] (2%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in square brackets.

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