Monday, April 09, 2012

Poll Watch: Third Way (D) 2012 Independent Swing State Presidential Survey

Third Way (D) 2012 Independent Swing State Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Among Swing Independents
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 49% / 47% {+2%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% / 47% {-6%}
  • The Tea Party 37% / 49% {-12%}
  • Democrats in Congress 32% / 57% {-25%}
  • Republicans in Congress 31% / 58% {-27%}
Among Swing Independents
  • Barack Obama 57% / 35% {+22%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% / 40% {+1%}
  • Democrats in Congress 33% / 53% {-20%}
  • The Tea Party 28% / 54% {-26%}
  • Republicans in Congress 24% / 65% {-41%}
In the November election for Congress, are you more likely to vote for the Democratic Party candidate or the Republican Party candidate?
  • Democrat 34%
  • Republican 39%
Among Swing Independents
  • Democrat 32%
  • Republican 28%
What do you think would be the most effective way to strengthen our economy?
  • Reducing the budget deficit 37%
  • Reducing regulations and taxes on businesses 32%
  • Reducing income inequality 19%
Among Swing Independents
  • Reducing the budget deficit 42%
  • Reducing regulations and taxes on businesses 28%
  • Reducing income inequality 22%
To grow the U.S. economy, which of the following is most important to do?
  • Provide more economic opportunity for Americans to succeed through hard work 50%
  • Give Americans the greatest amount of freedom to make it on their own 27%
  • Create more economic security so all Americans can withstand life's misfortunes 19%
Among Swing Independents
  • Provide more economic opportunity for Americans to succeed through hard work 55%
  • Give Americans the greatest amount of freedom to make it on their own 20%
  • Create more economic security so all Americans can withstand life's misfortunes 19%
Which of the following do you think is more important - fixing the budget deficit or reducing the income gap between rich and middle class?
  • Fixing the budget deficit 60%
  • Reducing the income gap 35%
Among Swing Independents
  • Fixing the budget deficit 57%
  • Reducing the income gap 38%
Which candidate would you be more likely to vote for? 
  • One who says we should focus on economic growth and opportunity. 83% 
  • One who says we should focus on reducing income inequality. 11% 
Among Swing Independents 
  • One who says we should focus on economic growth and opportunity. 80% 
  • One who says we should focus on reducing income inequality. 15%  
Which statement do you agree with more?
  • The best way to address income inequality is to expand economic opportunities for the middle class. 69%
  • The best way to address income inequality is to ensure the rich are paying their fair share in taxes. 24%
Among Swing Independents
  • The best way to address income inequality is to expand economic opportunities for the middle class. 71%
  • The best way to address income inequality is to ensure the rich are paying their fair share in taxes. 22%
Which statement do you agree with more?
  • The best way to address income inequality is to lower taxes on those who can create jobs and expand economic opportunities for everyone. 54%
  • The best way to address income inequality is to ensure the rich are paying their fair share in taxes. 38%
Among Swing Independents
  • The best way to address income inequality is to lower taxes on those who can create jobs and expand economic opportunities for everyone. 45%
  • The best way to address income inequality is to ensure the rich are paying their fair share in taxes. 45%
Which of the following do you personally think is most fair?
  • Wealthy Americans should pay a higher tax rate than other Americans. 35%
  • Everyone should pay the same tax rate, no matter how much they earn. 33%
  • Every American should pay at least something in taxes, even if they are lower income. 27%
Among Swing Independents
  • Wealthy Americans should pay a higher tax rate than other Americans. 36%
  • Everyone should pay the same tax rate, no matter how much they earn. 33%
  • Every American should pay at least something in taxes, even if they are lower income. 27%
Which candidate would you be more likely to support?
  • One who says, "We need an economy based on opportunity - where hard work is rewarded, the government lives within its means, and economic growth is our top priority. Because more opportunity means a stronger economy." 47%
  • One who says, "We need an economy based on fairness - where the rich pay their fair share, corporations play by the rules, and all Americans get a fair shot. Because a fairer economy is a stronger economy." 42%
Among Swing Independents
  • One who says, "We need an economy based on opportunity - where hard work is rewarded, the government lives within its means, and economic growth is our top priority. Because more opportunity means a stronger economy." 51%
  • One who says, "We need an economy based on fairness - where the rich pay their fair share, corporations play by the rules, and all Americans get a fair shot. Because a fairer economy is a stronger economy." 43%
Survey of 1,000 Independent likely voters in 12 swing states (CO, FL, IA, MI, NC, NH, NM, NV, OH, PA, VA, and WI) was conducted March 8-18, 2012 by Global Strategy Group. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points among Independents; +/- 5.1 percentage points among swing Independents.

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