Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• David Dewhurst 46% (38%) {36%} [41%]
• Ted Cruz 29% (26%) {18%} [12%]
• Tom Leppert 15% (8%) {7%} [6%]
• Craig James 3% (7%) {4%}
• One of the other candidates 2% (4%)
• Undecided 5% (18%)

Very Conservative

• David Dewhurst 41% (35%) {39%} [45%]
• Ted Cruz 36% (32%) {22%} [14%]
• Tom Leppert 11% (5%) {6%} [3%]
• Craig James 3% (4%) {4%}
• One of the other candidates 3% (3%)
• Undecided 6% (21%)

Somewhat Conservative

• David Dewhurst 53% (45%) {38%} [38%]
• Ted Cruz 24% (23%) {14%} [10%]
• Tom Leppert 19% (7%) {7%} [9%]
• Craig James 1% (6%) {3%}
• One of the other candidates 1% (2%)
• Undecided 1% (17%)

If there was a runoff election for Senate between Ted Cruz and David Dewhurst, who would you vote for?

• David Dewhurst 59%
• Ted Cruz 34%
• Not sure 7%

If there was a runoff election for Senate between Tom Leppert and David Dewhurst, who would you vote for?

• David Dewhurst 58%
• Tom Leppert 31%
• Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• David Dewhurst 61% (47%) {41%} [42%] / 25% (22%) {19%} [16%] {+36%}
• Tom Leppert 36% (20%) {20%} [13%] / 19% (15%) {16%} [13%] {+17%}
• Ted Cruz 38% (31%) {15%} [8%] / 32% (17%) {14%} [14%] {+6%}
• Craig James 14% (14%) {11%} / 32% (21%) {19%} {-18%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 41% (34%) {36%}
• No 45% (48%) {53%}

Tea Party Members 

• David Dewhurst 39% (35%) {39%}
  
• Ted Cruz 38% (35%) {23%}
  
• Tom Leppert 14% (5%) {4%}
• Craig James 3% (5%) {4%}
• One of the other candidates 2% (3%)
• Undecided 4% (18%)

Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• David Dewhurst 53% (41%) {34%}
• Ted Cruz 23% (20%) {14%}
• Tom Leppert 18% (11%) {8%}
• Craig James 1% (8%) {5%}
• One of the other candidates 2% (4%)
• Undecided 3% (15%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 61%
• Are not 39%

Survey of 482 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 22-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 55% (47%) {41%} [38%] Very conservative; 28% (33%) {34%} [41%] Somewhat conservative; 8% (12%) {18%} [14%] Moderate; 1% (6%) {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal; 1% (2%) {2%} [3%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.